I’m NO Nate Silvcer or Nate Cohn…..
But something has caught my attention watching the talking heads today….
We’ll see if their holds in todays Republican primaries…..
Haley isn’t gonna win the nomination….
But?
She seems to be able to get a strong 20% to 30% of the REPUBLICAN vote consistantily….
Those votes are NOT gonna pile up for Democrat Joe Biden….
BUT?
The problem for Trump is if these people do NOT VOTE……
“She might not win, but who knows what she could do to pull votes away from Trump,” Huang said at Haley’s Thursday night rally in Northern Virginia ahead of the state’s March 5 primary.
Democrats who believe that Biden has lost his luster together with anti-Trump Republicans are bracing for a redux in 2024 with the Haley campaign on the verge of collapse.
They see disappointing options on the horizon, and many Haley voters say they are weighing alternative ways to express their displeasure. They are considering writing her name on the ballot this November or staying home altogether.
Haley has been zig-zagging the country, railing against Trump in packed hotel ballrooms, in a last-ditch effort to secure enough delegates to justify staying in the GOP race. However, the odds are not in her favor heading into Super Tuesday. Even in states with March 5 contests that Trump lost in the last general election, Haley is trailing the ex-president….
…
Rick Poplinski, a 57-year-old from the Minneapolis suburb of Eden Prairie, is among the bloc of voters planning to back Haley in the primary, but who are uneasy about a Biden-Trump rematch in November.
“It’s a little unsettling because I’ve never missed a vote,” Poplinski, who described himself as a right-leaning independent, said. “I have no enthusiasm to vote for anybody else that’s out there right now.”
While Poplinski said he would choose Biden over Trump every time, he expressed concern that many of his neighbors would stay home on Election Day….