Democrat Tom Suozzi and Democrat running as a Republican Mazi Pilip BOTH have NOT showcased their national party headliners….In this Long Island, NY Special Election ….
In fact they have pointed to their age issues….
POLLS Close @ 9PM EST…
The race to replace former Rep. George Santos in suburban Long Island appears to be a harbinger of the national mood in a presidential election year.
But the two main characters in the nation’s political story are too unpopular to set foot in the district.
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have avoided New York’s 3rd Congressional District on Long Island — a sign of voters’ deep displeasure, which has been registered in public polls. Democrat Tom Suozzi has decided it would be better for Biden to stay away, and Republican nominee Mazi Pilip spent much of the race brushing off Trump before welcoming his help in the final stretch….
…
The strategic decision by the two candidates in the nail-biter race underscores the dissatisfaction Americans have with the elderly men likely to capture the two major party nominations this year. Both have high negatives and intractable problems for swing voters like those going to the polls on Tuesday: Biden would be 86 when his term ends and has been pilloried by the right and far left for his handling of the southern border crisis. Trump, meanwhile, continues to deny he lost the election in 2020 and is facing 91 felony charges….
…
“Biden and Trump are proxies for a range of issues and those issues in turn are proxies for Biden and Trump,” Larry Levy, executive dean of the National Center for Suburban Studies at Hofstra University, said. “If you think Biden is a liability for your opponent, then you link Suozzi to the president and the border policies. If you think that Trump is a liability for your opponent on abortion, then you link your opponent to the former president. That sometimes takes a deft touch.”…
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Neither congressional contenders want to turn off base party supporters who remain loyal to either Biden or Trump. But they also cannot afford to lose voters who hold otherwise unfavorable views of the president and former president during a race in which polarizing national issues like border security and support for Israel have been debated…..
image…Republican nominee Mazi Pilip and Democrat Tom Suozzi, facing off in a high-profile special election, are eschewing their party’s de facto leaders. | Courtesy of News 12 Long Island
james, since you have said you have specific localized insight into this special election, what is your prediction on the vote percentages for the two candidates?
I’m gonna guess the polls are close to being correct….
Suozzi win by 3-4%…..
The weather could depress the vote TODAY….
But as posted …
The Early vote has been heavy from strong Dem area’s….
Both candidates showed up to talk a local news channel….
Link…
Snow has lightened up as the storm moves East Ward
Should stop in a hour or two…
But roads ARE covered and being plowed…..
I would guess something like 2 points, or around 50-48.
You are saying 3-4 points. Based on your previous coverage, one would assume you saw a double digit spread.
Nah….
This district IS a Democratic one…
But DID elect Santos….
CNN showing empty voting location right now in Glen Cove …..
Reporter query got 8 for GOP…..
7 for Suozzi….
Remember….
Early vote WAS heavy…FROM Dem area’s…
The BORDER has been a DOMINATE issue…..
At LEAST $12M spent….
Suozzi came from Mayor to Congress in the area
Snow is ovet in the 3rd CD…
Roads are passable
If someone wants vote
They CAN by the 9pm cutoff
In reading a bit about this race, I see that Suozzi is very pro-Israel and has called out those in his party who are not. I also note that he said he did not want Joe Biden to campaign for him in a district that he had taken by 9 points, but there may be several reasons for that.
Both candidates are pro-Israel, which is good, but I think Suozzi has a good point regarding the reality of politics today that it might be more important to have an additional pro-Israel voice among House Democrats, in the same way it might be more important to have more pro Ukrainian Republicans elected as a counterbalance to the trend in the party.
So, if I lived in this district, I would probably vote for Suozzi.
Wow….
I ‘ve NEVER seen so many national reporters on Long Island!
And after a small snow storm to boot!….
The weather IS actually good right now….35 degree’s…..
Road’s fine….
Good Moon to be seen….
I seem to remember that Democrats HAVE does VERY well in Special Elections since 2020….
Reporters are saying Suozzi campiagn headquarters is UP and Pilip’s is subdued and worrisome….
Results should come back pretty soon…
You must have forgotten about Joey Buttafuoco.
Jeez?!😳
ALL these National Reporters on Long Island!….
6% In….
Suozzi…65.1
Pilip…..34.9
For Dem Queens…
Santos did BETTER than this in Queens…
CNN brough back John King…
MSNC…. Kormacki
MSNBC
2024 N.Y. DISTRICT 3 SPECIAL GENERAL
U.S. HOUSE
AP logo
estimates
13% of votes counted
AP estimates less than 25% of votes have been counted.
CANDIDATE VOTES PCT.
Thomas Suozzi
DEM
15,470 61.5%
Mazi Pilip
GOP
9,670 38.5%
Updated
Feb 13, 2024, 9:21 PM
Sorry had the count in the wrong post….
SPECIAL GENERAL
U.S. HOUSE
AP logo
estimates
14% of votes counted
AP estimates less than 25% of votes have been counted.
CANDIDATE VOTES PCT.
Thomas Suozzi
DEM
15,994 61.5%
Mazi Pilip
GOP
9,990 38.5%
Updated
It appears the Nassau Votes are slower incoming….
Can I request that you please do no more than one vote count update every 15 minutes, if all you are posting are numbers?
You are spamming, There is no reason to do it.
Or do continual updates in the main post as you have the ability to do. Please do not do it in the comments.
Gonna keep doing this way….
It’s getting the most looks….
from the site and twitter….
It’s getting looks because I am looking.
But you are driving me away now with your business practice. So, the “looks” will now go down.
No problem…..
AP estimates less than 25% of votes have been counted.
CANDIDATE VOTES PCT.
15% in
Thomas Suozzi
DEM
16,630 60.8%
Mazi Pilip
GOP
10,718 39.2%
Updated
Kornacki…..
The Qns numbers are stronger that when Santos won as a Republican….
If the Nassau vote numbers do NOT approaach what Santos’s number were?
They probably will be able top call Suozzi….
Pilip HAS to produce MORE votes in a LESS populated but larger area….
Waiting for a big Nassau County vote dump…
STILL waiting for a good sized Nassau vote dump….
82% of the Qns vote is in…..
To clarified my comment in 9:43PM….
There ARE MORE actual voters in Nassau….
But if those votes are split ?
Pilip has a issue….
Special
U.S. HOUSE
AP logo
estimates
51% of votes counted
CANDIDATE VOTES PCT.
Thomas Suozzi
DEM
55,154 58.7%
Mazi Pilip
GOP
38,843 41.3%
Updated
Feb 13, 2024, 10:00 PM
This is the first Nassau BIG drop…..
Pilip is 9% points behind….
Again….
Strong Qns and divided Nassau means Pilip may NOT be able to catch up….
Remember….
This District voted Biden by 5% in 2020….
MSNBC is NOW saying out LOUD that Suozzi ‘IS LEADING”…..
Again….
Democrats have been doing GOOD in Specail Elections after 2020…
Steve Kornacki is trying NOT to call the race FOR Suozzi….
The Democrat’s think they have aleready Won….
BREAKING….
AP calls the race for Suozzi….
John King…..
Qns has MORE people per square black….
Qns is solid Dem….
Suozzi is doing 60% in the Qns vote….
We’ve won another’s one tonight. Tom Suozzi won going away.
Tomorrow the NYTimes will tell you this is bad news for Joe Biden and means nothing for next November.
The Democrats are more engaged and will carry Uncle Joe to victory.
Another phony Republican goes down!