New Q Poll give’s Biden a National Lead Over Trump….

This is actually a 1% drop for Biden  from Quinnipiac’s end of January poll and is VERY differnt from  polling we see from Right leaning Real Clear Politics which almost always just lists Biden trailing Trump…(The Economist has had Biden ahead by 1% consistently )

Biden has been gradually rising in other polls and now is showing 3.5%,  or less behind Trump in the key swing states that he won in 2020….

Added to all ths is Biden close to Trump in North Carolina , which Biden’s people think they CAN get in November…

Hmmmmm?

The Trump legal and gaffs stuff seems to be sinking in to voters who are already making up their minds polling reports….

The Q polling does confirm that 3rd party people on any state ballot would pull from Biden NOT Trump, with Biden VERY narrowly keeping his lead….

Of course this poll is just a snapshot of voters NOW….

Not in November….

But it IS heartening news for Biden & Co. and Democrats….

But has warning signs on Biden’s vigor and Foreign Policy …..

 

In a hypothetical 2024 general election presidential matchup, President Joe Biden holds a small lead over former President Donald Trump with 49 percent of registered voters supporting Biden and 45 percent supporting Trump, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

This compares to Quinnipiac University’s January 31 poll when Biden had 50 percent support and Trump had 44 percent support.

In today’s poll, Democrats support Biden (93 – 4 percent), while Republicans support Trump (91 – 7 percent). Independents are divided, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.

When the hypothetical matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 38 percent support, Trump receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 15 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 3 percent support….

…

Voters 67 – 31 percent think that President Joe Biden is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, compared to 68 – 28 percent in Quinnipiac University’s September 2023 poll.

Voters 57 – 41 percent think that Donald Trump is not too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, compared to 63 – 34 percent in September…

…

“A Biden-Trump split decision on physical and emotional fitness leaves both looking vulnerable. Yes, Trump wins walking away on the age and stamina question, but voters have more confidence in Biden’s empathy toward them and his emotional stability to handle the job,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy….

…

BIDEN JOB APPROVALS

Voters give President Biden a negative 40 – 57 percent job approval rating.

Voters were asked about Biden’s handling of…

• the response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: 47 percent approve, while 48 percent disapprove;
• the economy: 42 percent approve, while 55 percent disapprove;
• foreign policy: 36 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
• gun violence: 32 percent approve, while 59 percent disapprove;
• the response to the war between Israel and Hamas: 31 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove;
• the situation at the Mexican border: 29 percent approve, while 63 percent disapprove.

…

Given a list of 10 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 21 percent of voters say preserving democracy in the United States, 20 percent say the economy, 17 percent say immigration, and 10 percent say gun violence. No other issue reached double digits.

Among Republicans, the top issue is immigration (35 percent) followed by the economy (24 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (13 percent).

Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (32 percent) followed by gun violence (17 percent) and the economy (10 percent).

Among independents, the top issue is the economy (24 percent) followed by preserving democracy in the United States (18 percent) and immigration (16 percent).

…

“Trump’s tough, hardball stance with NATO countries lands with a thud as American voters affirm the 31-member security alliance isn’t just good for Europe, it’s good for the United States,” added Malloy….

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“The tale of two existential conflicts is a tale of two political parties bitterly divided. Republicans have Israel’s back but are wary of a continuing commitment to Ukraine. Democrats are fiercely committed to arming Ukraine and far less enthusiastic about arming Israel,” added Malloy….

More….

Note….

The poll is a big one with 1,421 registered voters and has MOE of 2.6%….