The march to the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination starts….
Yes….
Most people think Donald Trump owns the prize…..
(Some Democrats are praying that he does get it)
The sweepstakes contestants have dropped down to a scant few, mainly Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis….
Trump & Co. are hopping for a blow out win the settle the spot right away….
The weather could also be a factor….
It’s brutal there….
The big wildcard is the weather, with snow blanketing the state and temperatures in Des Moines forecast to range from a low of minus 19 degrees to a high of minus 1 degree.
“Nobody can predict what the electorate is going to look like tomorrow,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis told reporters at a campaign stop in Dubuque on Sunday.
Still, virtually everyone expects former President Trump to win.
Trump leads by 35 points in the Iowa polling average maintained by The Hill and Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ). The final, highly respected Des Moines Register poll, released Saturday evening, put Trump up by 28 points.
But Trump’s final push for an overwhelming victory has been disrupted by the weather conditions, forcing the cancellation of three of the four rallies he had planned for the final weekend of campaigning.
In the one rally that did go ahead, in Indianola, Trump urged his supporters to caucus as if “we’re one point down.”
That remark reflected a fear of complacency among the Trump team….
…
The Haley campaign amplified a new poll released Sunday, from CBS News/YouGov, which showed the former ambassador defeating President Biden by a bigger margin than either Trump or DeSantis. The poll showed Haley beating President Biden by eight points whereas Trump and DeSantis had advantages of just two points and three points, respectively.
Haley these days gives a stump speech almost by rote, which includes reminders that Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections and that they should not suffer through another “nail biter” this year.
However, the efforts by Haley and DeSantis to assail Trump on grounds of electability have been undermined by Biden’s low approval ratings. …
…
But, for all the candidates, it’s getting to the point when their outcome lurches out of their control. Instead, their fates will be in the hands of Iowans making their way to 1,567 caucus sites on Monday evening…..
Results sites …(RRH Elections)
Anyone want to guess the final caucus spread percentages?
Oh yea……
Trump LOST the 2016 Iowa GOP Caucus to Ted Cruz….
Imagine THAT….!
I’m NOT gonna do running blogging…..
But results should be coming in about a hour from now….
Buffalo beat the Steelers…..
Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
Iowa early entrance polls via
@CNN
:
College grads:
35% Trump
29% Haley
25% DeSantis
Non-college grads:
65% Trump
14% DeSantis
11% Haley
Republicans against Trump
@RpsAgainstTrump
Iowa Caucus results (2% in):
Trump 55.3%
Haley 19%
DeSantis 17%
Ramaswamy 7.4%
Decision Desk HQ
@DecisionDeskHQ
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): IA President Republican Caucus
Donald J. Trump (R): 528
(56.59%)
Ron DeSantis (R): 171
(18.33%)
Nikki Haley (R): 159
(17.04%)
Vivek Ramaswamy (R): 66
(7.07%)
Trump is projected to win the Iowa contest…..
No surprise….
the news will be about second place….
Only 1% of the caucus votes are in……
Approve or publish my post…
Ur up…….
You beg and beg and beg for people to post comments here and when I have gone ahead and done so, on the topic of the Presidential election, you do not allow it to be posted.
Why?
Why was there such a delay? It was supposed to go on this thread. It now appears on a different thread. I guess that is better than nothing, but obviously posting here is a waste of time if it takes that much effort.
Everyone of the extremely select set of people who will ever read this here or ever post here agrees about Trump.
It may not matter.
Your party began a narrative over 30 years ago that it is “the economy stupid”, and that is all that should matter.
Not foreign policy or national security. Just the economy
Not the character or morality or basic decency of the person who would be President. Just the economy.
Not the survival of democracy itself or the character of the nation. Just the economy.
This has become ingrained in the American consciousness. I do not think that is a good thing, but it would be no great surprise to see one of the E,pstein associates win another election…..
CG @ Politicaldog…..
Stop whining…..
Ur up…..
U did say u didn’t want to be here anymore…..
I’m glad to see u back for however u stay again….
You are hardly one to tell people not to whine. You are incredibly whiny and childish.
Now, my post is under your name. I just don’t get why this is so difficult. is there a particular word that set off some kind of AI censor? I cannot see why.
My sobriety count restarts tomorrow.
I added Ur name there for attribution….
Past Iowa Caucus winners…..
2016…Cruz
2012…Santorum
2008…Huckabee…..
Just saying….
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 2,504 51.2 –
Ron DeSantis 1,039 21.3 –
Nikki Haley 947 19.4 –
Vivek Ramaswamy 360 7.4 –
Ryan Binkley 28 0.6 –
Asa Hutchinson 5 0.1 –
Chris Christie 3 0.1 –
Other 3 0.1 –
An estimated 4.2 percent of votes have been counted….
WashPost…
DeSantis ahead of Haley early results….
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 20,247 52.0 –
Ron DeSantis 7,781 20.0 –
Nikki Haley 7,520 19.3 –
Vivek Ramaswamy 3,031 7.8 –
Ryan Binkley 236 0.6 –
Asa Hutchinson 60 0.2 –
Other 32 0.1 –
Chris Christie 17 0.0
An estimated 35.1 percent of votes have been counted.
Haley closing…..
Republican caucus results
Trump is projected to win. An estimated 38 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 23,472 52.7 12
Ron DeSantis 8,921 20.0 0
Nikki Haley 8,329 18.7 0
Vivek Ramaswamy 3,415 7.7 0
Ryan Binkley 278 0.6 0
Asa Hutchinson 65 0.1 0
Other 36 0.1 0
Chris Christie 17 0.0 0
An estimated 38 percent of votes have been counted….
WashPost….
Haley falls back from Desantis….
“Pro-Palestinian” protestors march outside Sloan Kettering Cancer Center New York City and yell “shame” and the child cancer patients watching in the windows.
Childhood cancer patients are “complicit in genocide.” McDonalds and Starbucks too.
https://nypost.com/2024/01/15/metro/pro-palestinian-protesters-target-nycs-memorial-sloan-kettering-cancer-center/
CG?
The hate is deep backed in on BOTH sides……
None of the sides are without faults…..
There ARE STILL over 120 hostages in captivity….
Don’t speak to me about this. You notice that on your daily “Israel is evil” posts, not one person ever comments. Not one person. Ever. They are wise to ignore you.
Israel is NOT evil….
They HAVE suffered and their people are being held….
Their people have been killed….
Palestinians have suffered and been killed….
If I was to have beef?
It would be that the Israeli PM seems to be abandoning those 120+ hostages who families ARE suffering like those Palestinians who lost their love ones…..
My daily posts do get visits and views….
Not hundreds or thousand’s ….
But more each day…..
As I have said before ….
For me?
It’s NOT about the numbers , though I would love more….
It’s about tonight when we talk and exchange views that hopefully help us understand thing’s…
And maybe even change the world one tiny bit at a time….
And in the last month the views have actually begun to climb CG…..
It makes me proud to have carried on the P1 legacy….
My only wish is to have more people commenting and able to not run away from debating with people with different views….
Maybe you should figure out a way to avoid the posting issues I had this evening or provide an explanation as to whatever the issue might have been instead of resolving the issue by putting it under your name.
Not trying to be mean, but “running something”, other than your mouth, is not your strong suit.
I explained your situation as the way the site works…..
That IS the reason….
U run a site U know you have to work around constraints in how things work and dealing with bots, spams and people trying to mess with ya….
U’ll have to go my explination guys….
That’s all….
I’ll be back in a bit with the tail end of the rsults which should be the same as they are right now at 90%…
Republican caucus results
Trump is projected to win. An estimated 90.7 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 53,219 51.0 16
Ron DeSantis 22,210 21.3 4
Nikki Haley 19,859 19.0 4
Vivek Ramaswamy 8,007 7.7 0
Ryan Binkley 730 0.7 0
Asa Hutchinson 188 0.2 0
Other 80 0.1 0
Chris Christie 32 0.0 0
An estimated 90.7 percent of votes have been counted.
I didn’t catch any explanation. The rules on my site are very easy, though I do not get nor ever asked for many comments.
The only posts I have not approved in years has been from the Texan about you and your family.
Otherwise, if someone posts something, whether I agree with it or not, I post it, in its entirety, under the name they chose to post it under. I would not allow anything that included gratuitous profanity, but you swear all the time on here, and I do not use those words in my posts anyway.
Republican caucus results
Trump is projected to win. An estimated 89.3 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 52,263 50.9 16
Ron DeSantis 21,857 21.3 4
Nikki Haley 19,558 19.1 4
Vivek Ramaswamy 7,910 7.7 0
Ryan Binkley 776 0.8 0
Asa Hutchinson 185 0.2 0
Other 74 0.1 0
Chris Christie 32 0.0 0
An estimated 89.3 percent of votes have been counted….
WashPost…
CG?
Every night I say a prayer for those suffering on BOTH sides……
I hope G-d hears you, for all those who are suffering. I hope many others are doing the same.
Also, please remember that Jewish-Americans, people in your own country, have been suffering for the past 100 days plus. The actions taken by those who are marching and accosting innocent people, including children with cancer are contributing to that suffering, as do all the chants and calls for the destruction of Israel or the de-hamanization of the Jewish people. The callous “both sides have issues” shrugging definitely does not help. One would be hard pressed to find any group of Jewish-Americans whatsoever who are doing similar things to “the other side.”
CG?
I HAVE Lived thru things my whole life…..
Hear me?
Be back later…..
And thanks for the conversation…..
U are alway welcome by me to stop in…..
Republican caucus results
Trump is projected to win. An estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate Votes Pct. Del.
winnerDonald Trump 56,260 51.0 20
Ron DeSantis 23,420 21.2 8
Nikki Haley 21,085 19.1 7
Vivek Ramaswamy 8,449 7.7 3
Ryan Binkley 774 0.7 0
Asa Hutchinson 191 0.2 0
Other 84 0.1 0
Chris Christie 35 0.0 0
An estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.
Trump
DeSantis
Haley
In that order…..
Why on earth, James, would you post CG’s commentary under your own name?
Can’t you understand why that might upset him — in fact also upsets many of your tiny band of readers such as me?
For that matter, you credit me with cartoons collected by Herb Engstrom.
Does plagiarism mean nothing to you?
Calm down DSD….
I gave his name on the bottom….
The way the site works THAT IS the way it goes….
He’s fine….
Republican caucus results
Candidate Pct. Del.
winnerTrump 51.0 16
DeSantis 21.2 4
Haley 19.1 4
Ramaswamy 7.7 0
Other 1.0 0
Est. 79% counted
Very interesting…….
Preview of the morning pieces on this …..
Trump wins BIG….
But on a hair over 50%…..
Looks like DeSantis’s op on the ground gets him second place BUT?
Haley does BETTER than expected ….
Haley NEEDS NH to keep her narritive of being in second place…..
This IS a Three person race for sure…..
With Trump leading ….
With a good margin ….
But for Me?
There seems to be a LOT GOPer’s out there that might not vote….
Did I say I was fine?
It should be very simple to post something here. After all, I had to sign up and use a password to get access years ago. I wish I was smart enough to erase it from my internet history so I can’t post here, but have yet to do so. When I had a several paragraph substantive on topic political comment and hit “Post Comment”, it did not appear. I tried several times. Same thing. Tried to do something to alter one particular name in case it was an issue. Same thing.
Only when I complained and “whined” several times, did it finally appear, with someone else’s name as the author… oh, but my handle was at the bottom. I guess that’s “fine.”
It looks like Haley is NOT gonna get a win tonight OVER DeSantis, who has NOTHING to be proud about….
Republican caucus results
Candidate Pct. Del.
winnerTrump 51.0 16
DeSantis 21.3 4
Haley 19.0 4
Ramaswamy 7.7 0
Other 1.0 0
Est. 85% counted