American’s ARE moving from Blue states to Red state’s in increasing numbers…
This IS going to increase problems for Democrats in Congress and in electing President’s….
Or?
Could the influx of Democrats from Blue states to Red state’s turn those state’s more towards Democrat’s?
California and New York could see their House delegations shrink on the basis of population trends, while delegations in the South could grow, according to an analysis of recent U.S. census data.
The analysis by the Brennan Center projected that California would lose four of its 52 congressional districts in reapportionment, the once-in-a-decade process in which population determines representation in Congress, if current trajectories hold.
California lost more than 75,000 residents in the last year, according to the new census numbers….
…
The Golden State doubled its congressional delegation between 1940 and 2010, the analysis found. The first time the state lost representation was after the 2020 census, losing one seat after the state’s population declined in the decade.
Brennan’s data found that New York would lose three congressional seats in 2030 if current trends continue.
Census data shows that the Northeast saw the largest decline in population across the country, and that New York saw the largest losses in 2023 of any state. Nearly 102,000 people left the state in 2023.
Illinois, which lost almost 33,000 people, would lose two seats, and Pennsylvania, which lost more than 10,000 residents, would give up one seat, projections show….
…
More than 1 million people moved to the South in 2023. About 700,000 people came to the South through domestic migration, and 500,000 moved to the region through international migration, the census found.
While the region gained population across the board, people generally relocated to Texas and Florida.
Texas earned two new congressional districts after the 2020 census, while Florida added one. If trends continue, Texas could gain four congressional seats in 2030 and Florida could gain three, the analysis found…..
Note…
Expect several states to contest the census results for any significant population loses ….
Lower numbers also mean lower funding level’s across the board from the Fed’s…..
Democratic Socialist Dave says
It’s worth looking at the underlying reports and analysis of both the Census Bureau and the Brennan Center. There are nuances and countertrends that may prove important 8 years from now, in 2031-32, e.g. that eleven states that were losing people a year ago have now increased their population.
Census
Brennan Center
jamesb says
Yup…..