Right now?
President Biden’s chances in those two Southern States are behind….
Georgia is closer with about a 2-3% Trump edge….
North Carolina farther out with a about 5% edge for Trump….
We’re about 10 1/2 months out……
The Biden Campaign n has it’s work cut for them right now….
Donald Trump IS working to help them though….
Joe Biden won Georgia in 2020, stunning Republicans, infuriating Donald Trump and giving Democrats hope that they’d found a new path to the presidency through the South. But ask Democrats about Georgia today, and they might talk about North Carolina instead.
In more than a dozen interviews in recent weeks, Democratic officials have acknowledged an uncomfortable truth: With Biden’s poll numbers flagging, and without Sen. Raphael Warnock on the ballot to pull him across the finish line, the president faces a much more daunting challenge to win Georgia than he did four years ago.
“2024 is going to be an uphill battle for Biden without Warnock on the ticket,” said Le’Wanna Heard-Tucker, chair of Fulton County’s Democratic party.
John Jackson, former chair of the DeKalb County Democratic Party who worked for Warnock’s 2020 campaign, said the same: “I think it’s going to be tough to win Georgia again because not all the factors that led to Georgia going blue last time are there this time.”
The Biden campaign insists it’ll compete to win in Georgia, but if it falls short there, it’s already laying the groundwork for an all-out effort to win another state: North Carolina. According to Democrats tracking the effort, the president’s reelection campaign is convinced that the state — which Democrats haven’t won in a presidential race since 2008 — is finally ready to turn blue.
“From talking with the president and his campaign people, I believe they are going to be all in on North Carolina,” the state’s Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, told NOTUS. “Because if he wins this state, he wins reelection.”…
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The optimism over North Carolina, which state Democrats say started to take shape shortly after Biden took office, is driven by demographic changes, potential weaknesses within the North Carolina GOP — including the state’s near-ban on abortion after 12 weeks of pregnancy and Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s controversial run for governor — and renewed manufacturing investment in the state.
It’s also a sign that the Biden campaign is aware it needs to maintain as many paths to 270 electoral votes as it can, mindful that it might not win all of the swing states it did in 2020 — including Georgia…..
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Publicly, prominent Georgia Democrats say Biden remains on track to win the state. Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff, elected in the 2020 election cycle alongside Warnock, told NOTUS the influx of manufacturing in his state — both Rivian and Hyundai have announced new EV facilities since Biden took office — and the popularity of measures like the infrastructure law would propel the president to another victory next year.
“With so much good news in Georgia over the last three years, I think the president’s in a strong position,” Ossoff said.
Rep. Hank Johnson said he expects both Ossoff and Warnock will use their popularity to help Biden. “Voters care about what they think, and they are available to help drive out votes,” Johnson said.
But privately, some Democratic officials offer a bearish assessment of Biden’s chances in Georgia. A House Democrat from the South who supports Biden’s reelection told NOTUS that Democratic voters regularly approach him fretting about the president’s chances for reelection and that everyone is “freaked out.”
When asked if he thought Biden could win Georgia again, he replied, “I don’t think anyone thinks that.”