Nate Cohen ove at the NY Times looks at the quest for House Speaker and the differnt House GOP power groups….
The Jordan loyalist right wing (~ 40%)
No matter how you cut it, around 40 percent of Republicans backed Mr. Jordan at every stage. They backed him against a mainstream conservative leader like Mr. Scalise, and they backed him even after Mr. Jordan’s bid on the floor was clearly doomed.
It almost goes without saying that these Republicans are more aligned with the right wing than the party’s mainstream….
The Jordan-accepting rank and file (~ 25%)
To become his party’s nominee for speaker, Mr. Jordan won additional support from a group of conservative members who preferred Mr. Scalise but who ultimately gave Mr. Jordan a chance to lead the party.
This group of rank-and-file Republicans backed Mr. Jordan in a secret ballot vote, so it’s reasonable to suppose that their backing was genuine, even if he wasn’t their first choice….
The Jordan-acquiescent rank and file (~ 25%)
Unlike the rank-and-file members who willingly accepted Mr. Jordan after the downfall of Mr. Scalise, these Republicans struggled to come around to the idea of voting for Mr. Jordan. This was not their idea. They didn’t want him. And many said they wouldn’t vote for him on the floor.
In the end, they voted for him anyway.
Many of these relatively moderate members might have felt a desire to help unify the party….
The Jordan dissenters (~ 10%)
Not everyone got in line. In the end, 20 to 25 Republicans opposed Mr. Jordan on the floor — in public. As a result of these public votes, this is the group we understand the best. It’s also a group that’s more complicated than you might think.
Let’s start with the unsurprising stuff: This is a relatively moderate group…..
…
The dissenters may have been enough to bring Mr. Jordan down, but in the future they might not be enough to prevent the party’s most conservative faction from winning power in Congress.