Folks?
Donald J. Trump IS serious about trying to get a second term to help solve his TON of legal problems and avenge his loss in 2020 and go after those who have gone after him….
Politico points to efforts by Trump & Co. to work to MAKE sure that any state Republican Party can’t go rouge on them to another candidate thru technicalities in getting the Presidential nomination….
Biden has also been told to cut his traditional running at the mouth under worries that his comments could , and would, be ‘used against him’…He WILL be spending a shit load of time in court during the next 14 years +……
Sounds like a guy who might NOT so sure he has the sweepstakes prize locked up, eh?
On the other hand?
This campaign stuff IS a good way to keep Trump from just worrying about his legal problems, eh?
In recent weeks, Trump allies have worked with officials in various states to ensure that rules around the rewarding of delegates benefit them. Trump’s campaign has warned state party officials against dealing with super PACs, with an eye on choking off the efforts of Never Back Down, the super PAC supporting Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Trump has worked donors in an attempt to either get their money or persuade them not to give to others. He’s had meetings with policy advisers and has churned out policy videos. He’s done tele-rallies. And Trump has made countless personal calls to Republican officials, like Suarez, in an effort to win their support.
“One thing is certain, no one is taking their eye off the ball, which right now, is about winning the nomination,” said an adviser to Trump, granted anonymity to speak more freely about the campaign’s approach.
The approach Trump’s team has adopted is a reflection of the unprecedented and unorthodox place his campaign is in. He has publicly taken on the posture of an incumbent, privately adopted the mindset of a fighter, all while trying to avoid the fate of a convict.
The results: A man who once couldn’t resist a camera or crowd is doing a lot of his work outside of public view. While he has worked the phones, Trump has done far less on-the-ground campaigning than his competitors, his campaign says in part due to his near-universal name recognition and constant media attention. He rejected the opportunity to appear at the first GOP debate and is unlikely to appear at the second debate, in California, which is hosted by the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, an institution he has feuded with in the past.
“President Trump is outworking every single person in this race and it shows — he’s dominating in every single poll both nationally and statewide,” said Trump spokesperson Steven Cheung. “There is nobody who can come close to everything he has done and will do to ensure he’s the nominee and turn the focus to prosecuting Joe Biden’s disastrous record.”
Instead, he’s done spot appearances publicly. During the last debate, he counter-programmed the event by sitting for an interview with Tucker Carlson. According to one person close to the campaign, he might choose to hold a rally the evening of the second debate, although no decisions have been made.
Trump’s allied super PAC is largely mirroring this pick-and-choose your spots approach. Maga Inc. has spent more than $22 million on national advertising this year — more than any other campaign, and much of it focused on attacking DeSantis. But it has also periodically gone dark. And since Aug. 27, the super PAC has not aired a TV ad, according to ad tracking data. They stopped airing ads about DeSantis in late June….
New Open Thread IS HERE…..
From CG’s daily piece….
…Republicans seem intent on once again picking Donald Trump though and frankly the rank and file members of that party think Trump will beat Biden easily. After all, they delusional enough to think he won the last time as well, Seeing Biden’s low poll numbers and Trump being basically tied with him in the “corporate media woke polls” have them thinking Trump is in good shape to retake the White House. Of course, they are not realizing that Trump has a ceiling of support that he cannot get past and that the undecideds in these polls are very unlikely to ever decide to vote for Trump. These Trump supporters also do not seem to understand the logistics that will be involved for Trump’s future as he will be quite busy as a criminal defendant fairly soon.
For now, the Republican race remains in a holding pattern. Trump looks like a solid favorite. Today, he and Ron DeSantis both visited the same Iowa vs Iowa State football game in the state that will host the first Caucus. If Trump takes Iowa by a solid margin next winter, is the whole thing over? That is really hard to say, but for now, the bottom line is backing Trump is pretty much a solid tenant of reality for many Republicans…..
Link…
This isn’t gonna happen ….
BUT?
Most Want Age Limit for Politicians
Over three-fourths of Americans think there should be a maximum age limit for elected officials, according to a CBS News/YouGov survey.
I’m for it.
Age limit should be the oldest known person in history. 130. And if that record is ever broken, do like that old song “I Want to Take You Higher” and take it higher.
Now, mental faculties tests should be in place and made as rigorous as possible to weed out the McConnell’s, Trump’s, Thurmond’s, Feinstein’s, Conyers’, and Byrd’s from running again.
Age limits are NOT gonna happen….
WOW!
What Insight!
Thanks!
Morning……….
Bless America…….
The Good, Bad and Ugly…….
Lord keep this place in one piece…….
Morning…..
Good Afternoon…..
Ron DeSantis’ war on black voters in Florida (The Root)
https://www.theroot.com/inside-florida-gov-ron-desantis-war-on-black-voters-1850327451
A bit old, but a good article on how Tennessee can be made competitive.
https://bluetent.us/articles/campaigns-elections/what-would-it-take-for-democrats-to-win-in-tennessee/
As I have said, there IS a way to win, but it will be a long and hard process.
https://bluetent.us/articles/campaigns-elections/how-democrats-can-win-in-alabama/
Last but not least, some solid analysis of NC.
https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2023-08-31/uniquely-competitive-north-carolina-emerges-as-key-2024-battleground
IF???????
Biden was able to somehow, with House Republicans RightWingNut help pull Tennessee, Georgia AND North Carolina?
You ARE talking about a BLOW OUT Win‼️😳
Oh, Biden’s not pulling TN. That’s obvious. I’m gaming out Democratic wins long term. I think the state could be competitive middle of next decade if we do everything right.
They said the same thing about Texas……
Except for the Big cities?
Forget it…..
Tennessee???!
Got to start sometime. Electoral coalitions change, especially as the Boomers die off, so now is as good a time as any to start building for the future.
I’m interested to see if Mississippi elects a Democratic Governor this year and perhaps(dare I even say it) a Senator next year.
I would love to post these deep dives into state politics on Daily Kos Elections. Unfortunately, I was banned 5 times from that site during my younger days as a right wing troll
More like wishful thinking……
But between Abortion and some of the crazy stuff along with redistricting?
Some interesting things are possible
Things change (often fast and hard), but Kentucky, Tennessee and West Virginia all went for both Carter and Clinton in 1976, 1992 & 1996.
In 1980 & 2000, not so blue…
Yup DSD…….
We won’t hold our breath
Morning…..
I wonder what the dynamic will be after the November election next year?
With Trump convicted and losing?
And after ALL the appeals?
And the Democrats having congress and the WHITE HOUSE
This article on the prospect of Biden replacing Harris made a big splash today. Dont know that this is a feasible solution, but solid read no less.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/09/the-case-for-biden-to-drop-kamala-harris.html
This again? Look Vice Presidents are almost never popular and the idea that a President can improve standing by just switching out their running mate has been pure fantasy for the last several decades.
I seem to recall every President in my memory being encouraged to change out the VP candidate.
Reagan was told to get rid of “wimp” Bush and pick up Jack Kemp.
Bush 41 was told to drop the hot potatoe Dan Quayle for gulf war hero Colin Powell
Bush 43 was told to drop the incredibly unpopular Dick Cheney for someone who could run in 2008.
Obama was told to drop Biden–who was popular–to make way for Hillary Clinton.
Trump fans wanted to replace Pence with a gallow!
I don’t recall talk of Gore being replaced in 1996 but there was probably at least one article about it.
It simply doesn’t happen anymore.
Prove me wrong!
I only post articles of interest. Replacing Harris isn’t a feasible idea, even if I wish Biden had picked Tammy Duckworth in 2020.
Interestingly, Bush the First might have had a better chance if he had ditched Quayle for Colin Powell or (ugh) even Schwarzkopf. Quayle running off at the mouth about Murphy Brown and single mothers did not help the campaign.
As someone here pointed out earlier, while it was not unheard of in the 19th century (e.g. Andrew Johnson over VP Hannibal Hamlin in 1864), the only two examples of knocking a sitting VP off a re-election ticket in the last century are Henry Wallace in 1944 and Nelson Rockefeller in 1976.
Imagine how much better a country we’d be if Henry Wallace had succeeded FDR and continued/broadened upon the New Deal/New Bill of Rights foundation that Roosevelt laid. Truman wasn’t bad, but Henry Wallace would have been way better.
Henry A. Wallace might not have taken such a firm stand against Stalin; perhaps NATO would have started without the U.
I only looked at the domestic side before making that comment. No wonder he got dropped from the ticket.
Morning people…..
Any storm trouble DSD?
Thanks for asking; no, Rhode Island was spared the worst, which was headed for Nantucket, Cape Cod and the coast of Maine.
Good!
Hey SE?
Average in the early 2 polls in Tennessee has Trump up 20.6%…….
As has be pointed out Biden is holding the states he won in 2020……
So he’s actually comfortably AHEAD for next year’s election Regardless Right Now..,,
Which is probably why he’s not worried as much as others….
Colorado College game tonight!
Deion 3rd Win!?
Harris isn’t going anywhere cause Biden isn’t going anywhere
Headline at Political Wire….
“Trump Lead Keeps Expanding”
What?Readers here know better though because our moderator assures us (as he has for seven years now) that Trumps support is collapsing almost daily, that he is finished, that Republicans “really “ don’t like him,etc etc.
If Political Wire wants to survive?I suggest they hire our moderator.He KNOWS what’s “really “ happening!
I’ll take bets as to how fast their robust comments section dries up with James in charge.
Trump’s Lead Keeps Expanding
A new Fox News poll finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential field nationally with 60%, followed by Ron DeSantis at 13%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 11%, Nikki Haley at 5%, Mike Pence at 3%, Tim Scott at 3% and Chris Christie at 2%.
…
2024 Republican Presidential Nomination Quinnipiac Trump 62, DeSantis 12, Ramaswamy 6, Haley 5, Pence 5, Christie 2, Scott 3, Elder 0, Hutchinson 1, Burgum 0 Trump +50
Yup he’s been realitivly quiet the last week and his lead in the polls have actually gone Up….
Part of this IS a function of DeSantis going in the toilet and Vivek, crazy as a fox nipping at his heels….
Again Jack?
Good majority…
But a far cry from the 80%’s he used to enjoy….
BTW?
Me and Democrats ARE Happy with this….
Morning people….
That was my exact thought Jack when I saw this poll. Trump, even from a jail cell, is the Republican nominee next year.
One thing that I have noticed here. James did not “report” on the conviction (22 years as I recall) of Proud Boy Enrique Tarrio one of the masterminds of the attempt to overthrow our government on January 6th.
You remember, January 6th is in the rearview mirror.
Sort of like Donald Trump is fading.
Hey Keith?
Proud Boys leader and 4 lieutenants charged with seditious conspiracy
Feds add new charges against ‘Proud Boys’ leaders in Capitol protest …
Another Proud boy senetenced to hard time…..FBI look for more Jan. 6 Capitol suspects
Proud Boy Joe Biggs gets 17 years in Jan. 6 Federal Capitol Case….
More Oath Keepers convicted of Conspiracy connected to Jan. 6 Protest…..
Despite ALL the Proud boys & Co. convictions?
The Jan. 6 news IS still sparse….
You simply cannot admit that you were wrong even when it’s shoved in your face.
And, everyone here, all five of them, know that.
Stop with the ridiculous deflections please.
I wasn’t………
Proud Boys sentence stories are once a week?
No, no, a 22 year sentence was handed down for a domestic Republican terrorist and not a post for you.
I won’t play this game James.
There is a reason you don’t have more folks here and it’s you.
Truthfully Keith?
Some here attack others NOT Democrats so HARD?
They drop out…..
Of course U play games….
I just listed SEVERAL posts about Proud boys getting convicted ….
I regularly mention OTHERS besides that group being indicted and arrested….
I report an overview of things to boot….
These knuckleheads GOT media time overload ON Jan. 6…..
Like Donald Trump will in the end?
The ‘System’ will put them in their place….
The message HAS been made clear….
Even with Trump’s urging?
There are NO MORE Mass protest crowds anywhere…..
And YES Keith….
Republicans that hid behind their desk’s in fear for their lives?
Want the memories of that day to go away….
It mostly will….
Until the Federal Jan. 6 trial……
What, James?
Aren’t you just giving those terrorists the oxygen of free publicity that they so desperately need? ☺
Oh please, the man who posts every poll, every piece of gossip somehow forgets to post a historic conviction of a domestic terrorist that will directly support an ongoing trial in DC that could convict Donald Trump.
And you think James didn’t want to give him publicity?
How about scaring the shit out of other Proud Boys who will be called into service for Trump?
Seriously, James said January 6th was in the rear view mirror. Do you agree Dave?
Here we go!
Go where James?
You said something that you cannot defend, that happens here frequently.
You clearly didn’t think a 22 year sentence for a domestic terrorist was an important issue to report. My view, you knew it didn’t support your initial ill advised statement that January 6th was in the rear view mirror, because it does anything but that. So, you didn’t want to bring attention to it.
Posting something on a historic verdict is anything but giving terrorist publicity.
Don’t drop the soap Enrico.
It still is for most Americans….
The good thing IS the System has caught up to over 1,000 perp’s and will continue to go after more….
Quiet or NOT….
The message HAS spread wide and far….
Such actions will cost ya….
Including the guy who wanted it….
As the Proud Boys get carted off to prison, a setback in Michigan.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66814555.amp
Look at the story and it doesn’t seem quite so bad. These three were the last of 22 defendants, many of whom were convicted and sentenced. In particular, the BBC story says that:
“Ringleaders Adam Fox and Barry Croft Jr were convicted of kidnapping conspiracy last year. Fox was sentenced to 16 years in prison while Croft was handed a sentence of 19 years and 7 months. Joseph Morrison, the leader of the Wolverine Watchmen, was sentenced to 10 to 20 years in prison.”
So it’s not as if every conspirator got off scot-free.
I didn’t follow any of these trials, but my experience reporting on a few trials many years ago taught me to be very careful of judging a jury’s verdict when you haven’t heard all the testimony in person (let alone sat in on the jury’s deliberation.
The jury may have been wrong or may have been right after hearing and deliberating over all the evidence and arguments, but I know I’m really in no position to decide that.
What’s really disappointing, James, is the NC poll that has Trump up 6. Even Texas is apparently more competitive. And Biden leads in Georgia and Arizona, albeit narrowly.
My idea of moving up to Concord(Cabarrus County, Charlotte Metro) to try helping to build the local party and eat into the Republicans margins(Alamance County, Winston Salem and Greensboro Metro areas is also an idea) is gaining some traction.
I’ll be happy with Biden posting a win with the same EV numbers
I want to see him expand his coalition. And he has an above average record on which he can run to do such, to say nothing of the low quality of Trump and DeSantis.
Contrary to my posts about the decades long project of making AL, AR, KY, MS, SC, & TN competitive, I think Biden’s best shots at expanding the coalition are the aforementioned NC & TX, plus AK, KS, MT, UT, the ME Electoral Vote Trump won twice, and a second Electoral Vote from NE.
FDR and Harry Truman had large governing majorities and electoral successes to enact the necessary sweeping changes our country needed.
If Biden gets a landslide win, a modest-to-robust House majority, and picks off Ted Cruz while losing only Manchin and a real Democrat winning Arizona, Build Back Better will become reality and we can finally tackle extending paid time off after pregnancy, child tax credits, free College, Single Payer Healthcare, America’s responsibility towards combating Climate Change, etc. When the people see what Democrats can do, Republicans don’t stand a chance.
The problem SE?
Democrats like GOPer’s now?
Do NOT row together…….
Democratic majorities do not assure the gains their voters would like….
Just as the problem’s McCarthy has the other way
Get enough of them in there, and the Gottheimer/Golden types matter a lot less.
Getting them would not be so easy
Winning Utah
Biden should go to Salt Lake City and bring up his friendship with the greatest Mormon that ever lived, Harry Reid. The man who made prescient, prophetic statements about Mitt Romney and the billionaire classes taxes, and leveraged his legislative might towards passing ObamaCare.
And in Utah Trump’s side show would be right behind……
Mike Pence, “Resistance Hero,” simps for America’s worst Senator.
https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4207860-pence-on-military-holds-tuberville-is-right-and-the-pentagon-is-wrong/amp/?fbclid=IwAR0-e7pmgx6JFp04TFjzIs_1ztTj5-OrnPa6eYWSAn4-8tPsDYti66-Tnfg
James has the New York Times on the blog sidebar. They just dropped a banger of an interview with the odious Jann Wenner, founder of Rolling Stone magazine. In addition to the ludicrous and quite sexist comments he made about female performers, he also defended how his magazine handled the University of Virginia Story, in which a woman fabricated an allegation of rape to RS reporters, saying it was essentially right on the money in terms of what goes on in colleges. That may have a grain of truth to it, but it misses the point and gives the seditionists ammo to attack the press.
He also still holds up Hunter S. Thompson as a beacon of factual, literal accuracy. I can’t even.
I’ll check on the Rolling Stone piece later
I confess I am way more of a dreamer than most on here.
In the age of backlash against anti abortion policies and election denialism, my dreaming ways make for a lot more spot on predictions than I’m accustomed to making.
Ain’t nothing wrong with dreaming SE…..
We ALL do it……..
A marker for Jack’s view of the Grand ole Party and its memebers….
Republicans against Trump
@RpsAgainstTrump
With Trump cheating on his wives with porn stars and raping E. Jean Carroll
Kristi Noem having an affair with Trump advisor Lewandowski,
CPAC chair Matt Schlapp accused of groping 3 men,
Lauren Boebert in a groping session at a theater in front of children.
Matt Gaetz accused of sex with underage girls,
I’m starting to think the Republican party can not call itself the “family values” party.
“Family Values” is just a dog whistle for hating gay people and people of color.
‘Do as I say…NOT DO’, eh?
Afternoon All….
The battle for the Republican presidential nomination is really much ado about nothing .
Sure Trump is presently demolishing his opposition but let’s make some contrary assumptions…
So let’s just suppose that Desantis ( or any of the others for that matter) catches fire and somehow wins the nomination….
Does anyone here really believe that a defeated Trump will appear at the convention,raise the victors hand and announce his full support ?Sure that’s going to happen!
Nope, if Trump starts losing ,as he did in 2020 ,he will denounce the process as “crooked,” will demand the convention nominate him and if they don’t?At best, will simply tell his supporters (remember around 30% of Trump supporting Republicans consistently say that Trump is more important to them than the Republican Party) not to vote or ,at worst ,will actually run as aThird party candidate (with his widespread support ,he will have little problem qualifying for all states ballot) .
In either case, the Republican candidate is doomed.
So?The Republicans either nominate Trump and are likely to lose or nominate someone else and DEFINITELY lose.
If the Trump third party scenario played out ,then the 2024 election would have overtones of the 1912 election where former President Theodore Roosevelt was denied the Republican nomination which went to incumbent William Howard Taft.
Roosevelt became the candidate of Progressive Party(popularly known as the Bull Moose Party) and outpolled Taft in both popular and electoral votes,essentially handing the election to Democratic Woodrow Wilson.
I’m gonna post ur 3:50pm comment up Jack….
On point!….
KY-Gov: THere’s no two ways about it; Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) is in the driver’s seat for reelection against AG Daniel Cameron (R). We already knew that Beshear was popular and leading in the polls, but now we know that he’s leading in the money race as well. In fact, he’s not just leading Cameron, but lapping him several times over. Beshear has taken in about $15 million so far, while Cameron has taken in less than $3 million.
Cameron is a better candidate then Bevin was. Then again, Beshear is a stronger candidate than he was when he beat Bevin. So I’d definitely give Democrats the edge here.
Louisiana probably flips back to the Republicans this year barring something unforseen, and Mississippi looks to be the wild card.
Some interesting, nuanced, in depth looks vis a vis Romney’s farewell tour
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2023/11/mitt-romney-retiring-senate-trump-mcconnell/675306/
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2023/09/mitt-romney-retirement-senate-constitution/675327/
Afternoon All…..
Afternoon All….