Another piece pointing to Joe Biden’s weak polling numbers for next years re-election try that HAS BEEN pointed out here at the PDog….
This piece is from FiveThgirtyEight and it says the same thing polled Democrats say….
Joe Biden IS a good man…..
We’re happy to have him instead of Donald Trump….
A Good Majority of DEMOCRATS would like someone ELSE to be the nominee….
(VP Harris and the lefties like Sanders, Warren and Ocasio-Cortes are NOT substitutes for Biden…..The only other person in the primary race is a nobody Marianne Williamson)
Right after that?
A MAJORITY of the same polled say they WOULD vote for Biden if he IS the nominee….
Biden is 80 right now….
He’d be 82 Jan. 2025….
He’d be 86 six years from now at the end of a a second term….
That’s NOT all….
After the attention grabbing Trump roller coaster?
Biden is a side show….
The US Economy FEELS lousy for most Americans….
Democrats have seen ‘culture wars’ gains by Republicans on Guns, Abortion, voting rights, sexual orientation, healthcare and more….
President Biden hasn’t announced his bid to seek reelection yet, but it will likely come soon. That means Williamson will attempt to defeat a sitting president for renomination, which has never happened in the modern primary era.
But the modern primary era has few examples of competitive primaries against sitting presidents, and it’s unwise to forge iron laws of politics (i.e., “sitting presidents are invincible in primaries”) from such a small sample size. And conditions may be ripe for a serious primary challenge against Biden, though it probably won’t be Williamson (more on that in a minute).
Polling suggests that Democrats aren’t thrilled with the idea of Biden as their nominee again. Only 31 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents said they want the party to renominate Biden, while 58 percent said they’d prefer someone else, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll from Jan. 27-Feb. 1. That lack of enthusiasm is unusual. According to historical CNN polling, majorities of Democrats wanted to renominate Bill Clinton in 1996 and Barack Obama in 2012, and a majority of Republicans wanted to renominate Trump in 2020.
Early polling of the Democratic primary contest also shows Biden getting nowhere close to majority support.
But there’s an old saying in politics: You can’t beat somebody with nobody. Harris, Clinton and Sanders are extremely unlikely to challenge Biden, as is anyone with significant stature in the party. So, for now, it’s just Williamson — and she doesn’t fit the profile of someone who could give Biden a real run for his money.
What are Democrats looking for in a Biden alternative? First, they’re not looking for someone more progressive than him. Only 21 percent of Democratic registered voters agree with the idea that Biden is too conservative, according to a Morning Consult/Politico poll from Feb. 10-12. Instead, they are looking for someone more electable. According to an SSRS/CNN poll from last year, a plurality of Democratic-aligned voters who wanted to replace him on the ticket said it was because they were afraid he would lose in the general election. In addition, follow-up interviews with respondents from multiple recent polls have found that many Democrats think the 80-year-old Biden is too old….
Joe Biden’s national disapprovals have REMAINED above 50% for a while now…..
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