Political Dog 101

Politics, News, Comments & Other Good Stuff....

The 2022 Midterm Elections…..

By

Date November 8, 2022….

What’s at stake….

Control of the US Senate….

Control of the US House….

Governor Seats across the country….

State and Local offices….

 

Early voting HAS been going on across the country….

In some places mail-in Voting had begun….

Voting hours begin at 6:00AM on the East Coast and will extend to 12:PM on the East coast for the West Coast voting…

We welcome Updates and Comments from anyone checkin here….

 

We’ll give results and hop around to info on specific contest’s around the country….

 

Of course the media attention on Congressional races will be IF the Democrats can keep their majorities in the US House and US Senate….

And we’ll see how the polls came out vs the actual results…

Pundits and media will also focus policy ramifications of the vote looking at Abortion, The Economy, and other issues…

I hope we can be informative to those who might come to this place…..

Poll closing time link.…

If you are voting on Election Day, poll closing times vary by state. If you are waiting in line when the polls close, stay in line, because you still have the right to vote.

Recent Posts

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Gonna be a LOT of last minute pundit adjustments….

    I’m sticking with my guess of…..

    US Senate….+1-3 Dem’s

    US House…..+10-15 GOPer’s

    • Anything Is Still Possible in the Midterms

      Nate Cohn: “Everything from a Democratic hold in the Senate and a fairly close race for the House to something like a Republican rout is well within the range of realistic possibilities on Tuesday.”

      “Why such a wide range? With so many races on edge, it wouldn’t take much for the final outcome to feel very good, or very bad, for either party.”

      “In the Senate, the races likeliest to decide control remain exceptionally close, with the poll averages showing essentially a dead-heat in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona and even New Hampshire. With just a few lucky breaks, either party could win control.”

      “There’s a similar story in the House. While Republicans are plainly favored to win the chamber, dozens of races are tossups. It wouldn’t take much for Democrats to keep the race fairly close, perhaps delaying a call on House control for many hours or perhaps even days.”

      Vox: How the polls might be wrong (again) this year.

    • 11 States That Count Votes Slowly

      HuffPost: “At least 11 states with highly competitive races will likely take 24 hours or more to report enough of their vote totals to declare winners. The races in Alaska, Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin include four marquee Senate races and 33 competitive House races.”

      “That means that it’s highly unlikely we’ll know right away which party will control both chambers in Congress.”

      CNBC: Here are the states where recounts are more likely.

  6. Poll Closings at 7 p.m. ET

    November 8, 2022 at 7:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

    Here are where the polls are closing this hour:

    7 p.m. – Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia

    7:30 p.m. – North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia

    Politicalwire

      • Vermont is finally sending a woman to Congress. Becca Balint has been elected to represent Vermont’s statewide congressional district, which fellow Democrat Welch left open to run for Leahy’s seat.

        Bloomberg

        • BREAKING: Republican Rand Paul wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Kentucky. #APracecall at 7:14 p.m. EST.

          AP Politics

          • Current results from Georgia (which should be from the same areas) have Warnock outperforming Abrams by 8.2 percentage points on the margin.

            Getting a large number of Kemp-Warnock ticket-splitters will be crucial for Warnock’s path to victory.

            #ElectionDay 

            Ryan Matsumoto

  9. @PollProjectUSA
    ·
    Follow
    CNN Exit Poll: National

    2022 Electorate by Education:
    White, College Degree: 40%
    White, No Degree: 36%
    Voters of Color, College Degree: 11%
    Voters of Color, No Degree: 13%

    • Wes Moore, a Democrat, will be Maryland’s first Black governor and just the third Black governor of any U.S. state.…

      NY Times

      • Wes Moore, a Democrat, will be Maryland’s first Black governor and just the third Black governor of any U.S. state…

        Decision Desk HQ

        • So far, Democrats are running ahead of our expectations outside of Florida (in places with meaningful vote, which may still be contaminated with early votes); they’re way running behind in Florida. It’s almost entirely cancelling out at the moment

          Nate Cohn

          • Dan McKee will win reelection in Rhode Island governor’s race, the AP projects.

            Boston Globe

  12. Good Evening James, Enjoy the night…

    Hoping Dems can at least hold the senate…possibly doable because of the Republican Candidates…

    New York Governor…Let’s see….tightened up a lot…lets see if she can pull it out…either way if she wins she needs to look at some policies that have hurt the Dems

    • Dan McKee will win reelection in Rhode Island governor’s race, the AP projects.

      AP Politics

      • With 52% of the expected vote reporting in Georgia, the Senate race has narrowed to Warnock 50%, Walker 48%.

        538

        It depends where tge test of the votes come from

        • With 52% of the expected vote reporting in Georgia, the Senate race has narrowed to Warnock 50%, Walker 48%.

          AP POlitics

          • BREAKING: Republican Mike DeWine wins reelection for governor in Ohio. #APracecall at 9:03 p.m. EST.

            AP Politics

            • New York voters elected to send Senator Chuck Schumer back to the Senate #Election2022  trib.al/z53Sn8r

              Bloomberg

          • CNN PROJECTION: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, a Democrat, will win reelection in New York, defeating Republican Joe Pinion cnn.it/3zZZbPC

            • BREAKING: Marjorie Taylor Greene, one of America’s most conservative members of Congress, won re-election in her northwest Georgia district.

              Latest updates: trib.al/RJC9MZa

              Bloomberg

              • BREAKING: Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins reelection to U.S. House in New York’s 14th Congressional District. #APracecall at 9:27 p.m. EST.

            • BREAKING: Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins reelection to U.S. House in New York’s 14th Congressional District. #APracecall at 9:27 p.m. EST.

              Decision Desk

              • BREAKING: Democrat Michael Bennet wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in Colorado, NBC News projects. nbcnews.to/3NOb9BF

                • CNN projects Michael Bennet is reelected in Colorado. With that win, the idea of Republicans running the table and ending with 54-55 seats is essentially ended.M

                  Chris Clizzia

                  • Decision Desk HQ projects Maggie Hassan (D) wins re-election to the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire.

                    #DecisionMade: 10:30pm EST

                    Follow more results here: results.decisiondeskhq.com/nov8-2022-elec…

                    • AP Politics

                      @AP_Politics
                      ·
                      22m
                      BREAKING: Democrat Hakeem Jeffries wins reelection to U.S. House in New York’s 8th Congressional District. #APracecall at 10:25 p.m. EST.

                    • Jon Cooper
                      @joncoopertweets

                      NEW: With 62% of the votes counted, the NY Times is now saying the Pennsylvania Senate race is leaning toward John Fetterman.🤞

                    • Decision Desk HQ

                      @DecisionDeskHQ
                      Republicans’ chances of winning a U.S. House majority are dropping significantly, according to our live model. Our mean seat projection is down to 224 Republican seats.

                    • Dash Dobrofsky
                      @DashDobrofsky
                      Charlie Kirk just went on his podcast and said he was “panicking” over Kari Lake’s underperformance. Kirk warned that “I’m telling you right now, the modeling’s not there. We are on track to lose.” According to Charlie Kirk, Katie Hobbs is on track to win her seat in Arizona.

                    • Manu Raju
                      @mkraju
                      Chuck Grassley, 89, keeps the Senate seat he’s held for more than four decades, CNN projects

                    • Jennifer Bendery
                      @jbendery
                      Some of the congratulatory calls Biden has made tonight, via the WH press office:

                      Mass Gov.-elect Maura Healey
                      Senator-elect Peter Welch
                      Colorado Gov. Jared Polis,
                      Rep. Abigail Spanberger
                      Rep. Jennifer Wexton
                      Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer

                      …
                      Jennifer Bendery
                      @jbendery
                      More congratulatory calls from Biden tonight to…

                      Sen. Tammy Duckworth
                      Sen. Richard Blumenthal
                      Pennsylvania Gov.-elect Josh Shapiro

                    • POLITICO
                      @politico
                      Democratic AG Josh Shapiro has won the race for governor in Pennsylvania.

                      He beat out Doug Mastriano, a MAGA hardliner who establishment Republicans thought was too extreme to lead the state. https://politi.co/3DMsVAy

                    • Decision Desk HQ
                      @DecisionDeskHQ
                      ·
                      1m
                      DDHQ Race Update (est. 75% in): PA US Senate

                      John Fetterman (D): 1,809,797
                      (49.90%)
                      Mehmet Oz (R): 1,728,602
                      (47.66%)
                      Erik Gerhardt (L): 49,108
                      (1.35%)

                    • Jeff Fecke Retweeted

                      Atrios and Parody Lonnie Musk
                      @Atrios
                      ·
                      10m
                      “real clear politics is a partisan republican propaganda outfit” is something some of us tried to explain like 15 years ago

                    • AP Politics
                      @AP_Politics

                      BREAKING: Democrat Ilhan Omar wins reelection to U.S. House in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District. #APracecall at 10:05 p.m. CST.

                    • Duty To Warn 🔉
                      @duty2warn
                      Kathy Hochul opens up 450K vote lead in NY w 68% in.

                      ….

                      Decision Desk HQ
                      @DecisionDeskHQ

                      Decision Desk HQ projects Kathy Hochul (D) elected governor in New York.

                      #DecisionMade: 11:31pm EST

                    • Joe Walsh
                      @WalshFreedom
                      I’m no expert, but this isn’t looking like a red wave. Democrats have a real shot to keep the Senate and really limit their losses in the House. Compared to his predecessors, Biden looking to have a a relatively pretty darn successful first midterm for an incumbent President.

                    • Ga 71.74 reporting……

                      Warnock trails Walker by 17.000 votes roughly….

                      Neither has 50% which means a runoff is probably coming in a month….

                    • Dash Dobrofsky
                      @DashDobrofsky
                      New: Letitia James has won her reelection as New York’s Attorney General. This allows her to continue heading the state’s $250 Million lawsuit against the Trump Organization for its years of alleged tax fraud.

                      (The AG did NOT do much campaigning letting Trump do it for her there)

                    • AP Politics
                      @AP_Politics
                      BREAKING: Democrat Steny Hoyer wins reelection to U.S. House in Maryland’s 5th Congressional District. #APracecall at 11:23 p.m. EST.

                    • Jon Cooper
                      @joncoopertweets
                      I’ve seen enough. Democrat Kathy Hochul has DEFEATED Trump sycophant Lee Zeldin to win reelection as New York’s governor. 👏👏

                    • The Lincoln Project
                      @ProjectLincoln

                      “Definitely not a Republican wave, that’s for darn sure.” –
                      @LindseyGrahamSC

                    • David Weigel
                      @daveweigel
                      One take that sounded like Twitter craziness but now feels right – Rs flooded the zone with narrative-friendly polls in the last week, results not matching up.

                    • Joe Walsh
                      @WalshFreedom
                      I’ll say it: For an incumbent President facing what is typically a disastrous first midterm, Joe Biden is gonna end up having a damn good night.

                    • Jennifer Bendery
                      @jbendery
                      Maddow saying NBC Decision Desk definitively saying we will not know tonight (like, all night, not by midnight) which party will control the House.

                    • Jennifer Bendery
                      @jbendery
                      NBC’s Garrett Haake reporting live from Kevin McCarthy’s victory party where… the Doobie Brothers are playing and there is no party right now.

                      “Very different vibe here than was expected tonight.”

                    • Duty To Warn 🔉
                      @duty2warn
                      Katie Hobbs has maintained her lead (AZ Governor) over deplorable MAGA Republican Kari Lake 56%-43% with 54% of the vote in.

                    • It appears that no matter what?

                      ANY GOP US House margin would be hair thin…….

                      And the infighting would make Manchin BS look like child’s play….

                      Biden , Schumer and even Pelosi HAVE TO smiling!

                    • Kari Lake looks like she gonna lose ungracefully…..

                      Aaron Rupar
                      @atrupar
                      Kari Lake is giving a speech in which she’s winking and nodding at election conspiracy theories and indicating she won’t accept defeat

                    • MeidasTouch
                      @MeidasTouch
                      Steve Kornacki says there is now a nearly equal chance for Democratic or Republican control of the House. This is officially a toss up! The Republican advantage is gone.

                    • Joe Scarborough
                      @JoeNBC
                      This election is a nightmare for Republicans. They botched a national election with inflation running rampant across the country. Rs ran Newt out of town for far less than this in 1998. Wonder how Trump and McCarthy fare after the DeSantis coronation and the GOPs disaster.

                    • Ok….

                      I’m about to drop off here and get some sleep….

                      Very HAPPY about Democrats….

                      Will do a after action report in the morning when some of the dust settles….

                      No matter HOW the media editors and GOPer’s want to spin things?

                      Donald Trump has a GOOD amount of his political ‘juice’….

                      Most of the hair on fire stuff the media was selling was just as much BS as a Trump rally….

                    • OH SNAP‼️
                      Joyce Alene

                      @JoyceWhiteVance
                      NBC CALLS IT: John Fetterman wins Pennsylvania Senate race, defeating TV doctor Mehmet Oz and flipping key state for Democrats

                    • Jeff Fecke
                      @jkfecke
                      If Cortez Mastro wins then it doesn’t matter what happens in Georgia.
                      Quote Tweet

                      Polling USA
                      @USA_Polling
                      ·
                      13m
                      NV Results:

                      SEN:
                      Cortez Masto (D): 54.3%
                      Laxalt (R): 42.9%

                      GOV:
                      Sisolak (D): 53.2%
                      Lombardo (R): 43.6%

                      – 44% Reporting –

                    • Nevada win for Democrats would have them keep the US Senate….

                      Arizona is a problem place …But Kelly does have good lead in the US Senate race…

  13. Important note on the GA Senate battle.

    With 61% counted, Warnock is poised to flip Fayette County, last won by a major Democrat in 1980. Trump won it 53-56 in ’20, after winning it 56-36 in “16. Warnock now leads by 4%. In Spalding County, Walker only leads 53-44, whereas Trump won 60-39.

  14. Nathan Mackenzie Brown 🔬🌎
    @NathanMackBrown
    BREAKING: Fox News predicts Gretchen Whitmer will win Governor of Michigan.

    So much for the anti-COVID yahoos who tired to take her down.

  15. Kansas Gov is called fir Democrat Laura Kelly….
    CNN…

    There are are now 8 US women Governor’s

  16. As things currently stand, Republicans are projected to win 209 seats in the U.S. house, and have net a gain of 6 seats.

    39 races remain too close to call, according to DDHQ’s race call team.

    results.decisiondeskhq.com/national/2022-…

    • I miss this one….

      If he’s right?

      The media displays of 48 Dem/49 GOP should be 49/49…..

      Dave Wasserman
      @Redistrict
      I’ve seen enough: Sen. Mark Kelly (D) wins reelection in #AZSEN, defeating Blake Masters (R).

    • Dash Dobrofsky
      @DashDobrofsky
      Steve Kornacki predicts Catherine Cortes Masto (D) will take the lead over Adam Laxalt (R) by 11p tonight. He also predicts election-denier Blake Masters will have an “impossible task” of catching (D) Mark Kelly. And I predict Democrats will end this midterm with 51 Senate seats.

      • Nevada US Senate Update.….

        The race for the prized Nevada Senate seat has come down to the wire as Republican candidate Adam Laxalt looks to hold on to his waning lead Saturday.

        “Here is where we are — we are up only 862 votes,” he said in a Saturday tweet. “The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots.”

        …

        Laxalt acknowledged the tight race and said the mail-in ballots were coming in with higher margins favoring Democrats than his campaign had originally anticipated.

        “If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win,” he added. “If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us…..

        More…

          • Duty To Warn 🔉
            @duty2warn
            On MSNBC, the House seat projection for Dems BUMPED AGAIN – TO 216! It had bumped from 213 to 214 to 215 … now projected at 219 R to 216 D. Remember – it only takes 218 to win the House. We need to hold all D seats and get 2 more flips from “expected R.”
            Come on, California!

            • Nevada US Senate Update….

              A tiny margin separates the two candidates in Nevada’s pivotal Senate race, and a GOP strategist told CNN the mood inside Republican Adam Laxalt’s campaign is “awful.”

              Different factions of the Republican’s operation have begun the internal blame game, feeling it is a forgone conclusion that Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto will take the lead soon, the strategist said. When asked by CNN to describe the current mood, the strategist said, “shocked and depressed.”

              Publicly, Laxalt laid out what he described as a “narrowed” path to victory in a pair of tweets Saturday.

              As of Friday evening, Laxalt had a lead of only 862 votes over Cortez Masto. An early lead for the Republican eroded further Friday as election workers counted and released the results of more ballots.

              “Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated,” Laxalt wrote. “This has narrowed our victory window.”

              In Clark County, Nevada’s largest, CNN estimates there are roughly 24,000 more mail-in ballots to be counted, along with about 15,000 provisional ballots and ballots that need to be cured.

              Laxalt said the race will come down to those ballots, saying that “if they continue to trend heavy DEM then (Cortez Masto) will overtake us..

              More…

Discover more from Political Dog 101

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading