Reaction AGAINST the High Courts Alito 5’s abortion running seems to run deeper than anti-abortion support even in Red States…
The question is?
Will that single issue reaction result in votes for Democrats 2 months from now?
(With a overall ‘Rights’ issue hanging in the background)
For years, Democrats warned that abortion rights were under grave threat. Across the US, anti-abortion activists in red states chipped away at access and pushed for conservative judges to secure their gains. Yet for many Americans, the prospect of losing the constitutional right to abortion that had existed since 1973 remained worrying but remote.
That all changed in June, when in Dobbs v Jackson, the supreme court overturned Roe v Wade, the 49-year-old ruling which had established the right.
And yet, from rural Minnesota to ruby red Kansas and a conservative corner of Nebraska, there are signs of a brewing backlash that Democrats believe will reshape the battle for control of Congress and statehouses this fall….
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Polling has shown that most Americans support at least some abortion rights. According to the Pew Research Center, about 60% say abortion should be legal in all or most cases while just 8% say it should be illegal with no exceptions.
The aggressive messaging from Democrats is a reminder of how rapidly the politics of abortion have shifted….
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Republicans are largely shying away from the issue on the campaign trail. With total bans proving deeply unpopular, some candidates are softening their rhetoric, emphasizing support for exceptions and for the health and wellbeing of women. In Nevada, a battleground state, the Republican candidate for Senate, Adam Laxalt, has argued that his personal opposition to abortion would not change protections already in place.
“My views have not shifted the policy in Nevada, nor has the ruling in the Dobbs case,” Laxalt wrote earlier this month. “Voters in 1990 determined that Nevada is and will remain a pro-choice state.”
But the issue is hard to ignore. Harrowing stories have spread….
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Among Kansans who registered to vote in the wake of the Dobbs ruling, Democrats held an eight-point advantage, according to data from TargetSmart. Among those newly registered voters, 70% were women.
Elsewhere, in a pair of post-Roe special House elections, Democrats outperformed expectations, boosted by strong turnout in suburban areas.