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Why Donald Trump might NOT run in 2024…Open Thread for June 2, 2022….

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And Op-Ed in The Hill by Republican , Myra  Adams, that points to two reasons why the Big Guy might be just using the 2nd run music to make money and status ….

Not actually take a BIG risk…..

Trump’s repudiation in Georgia has Republicans speculating about his declining kingmaking powers, openly defying him as he loses his “vise-like grip on the party” and potentially endangering his front-runner status. So, circling back to the most-asked question, my new answer is “Trump won’t run in 2024” — based on personality traits rooted in the words “fear” and “fight.”

We begin with “fear,” indirectly drilled into young Donald Trump’s psyche by Fred, his authoritarian father, who demanded that his son always win and show strength but never weakness. Fred taught Donald that he could lie or twist the truth but never back down. Consequently, Trump developed an unnatural fear of losing or being called “a loser.”

Those grueling family dynamics were chronicled in Mary Trump’s book “Too Much and Never Enough,” subtitled “How my family created the world’s most dangerous man.” Donald Trump’s niece is a Ph.D. clinical psychologist whose best-seller was published in July 2020. Then, during a television appearance on Dec. 3, 2020, Mary explained, “It’s impossible for Trump to believe that he lost the election.”

That inability is why Trump can’t let go of 2020 and will tease a 2024 run for as long as possible. But, ultimately, Trump’s fear of losing is likely stronger than his willingness to take the risk. Moreover, during a second reelection campaign, the former president would be hard-pressed to use the same predictive excuse first heralded in a May 25, 2020, Politico headline: “Trump sees a ‘rigged election’ ahead. Democrats see a constitutional crisis in the making.”….

…

“Trump will never concede the stage or the spotlight to anyone else unless he’s in prison or a hospital. He’s not licking his wounds, he’s licking his chops. Every defeat is someone else’s fault. Every victory is his alone. The notion that he would simply exit stage left because of some political reality, self-reflection, or awareness flies in the face of everything we’ve learned about him.”  …

More…

I have pointed out another reason Trump might not run…

The pile of legal entanglements he HAS brewing right now in several states and from. the government….

Adams does say she might be wrong….

Why?

He might be chasing his media image so hard that he could push to run and LOSE worst in 2024…

Something Joe Biden is counting on….

image…Politico

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  2. NO!!????😳

    Trump Is Finally Boring

    Rich Lowry: “It’s a blessing and a curse for formerly cutting-edge musicians to see their once radically countercultural material show up in TV ads for automobiles or other common consumer products. There’s no danger that Trump will ever be similarly laundered into the mainstream, or graduate into a beloved or respected elder statesman as almost all American presidents do at some point.”

    “But he can become boring, which will put at risk one of the pillars of his appeal as the most wildly entertaining, madcap national political figure of our lifetimes.”

  3. There’s about the same chance Trump won’t run as there is Biden won’t.

  4. Armed Man Arrested Near Brett Kavanaugh’s Home

    “An armed man was arrested early Wednesday near the home of Justice Brett Kavanaugh after making threats against the Supreme Court justice,” the New York Times reports.

    Washington Post: “The man, described as being in his mid-20s, was found to be carrying at least one weapon and burglary tools… Police were apparently notified that the person might pose a threat to the justice, but it was not immediately clear who provided the initial tip.”

    Related story: Politico reports Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) “is demanding the House take up and pass Senate legislation boosting security protections for Supreme Court justices and their families.”

    Politicalwire

  5. Afternoon…….

    Busy day for this dog

    Post’s will be forthcoming this evening….

    • Today’s Primaries

      And one Special Election

      South Carolina – 7 p.m. ET
      Maine – 8 p.m. ET
      North Dakota – 9 p.m. ET
      Nevada – 10 p.m. ET
      And there’s also a special election to fill an open House seat in Texas.

      Pwire

        • Henry Cuellar Hangs On to Win Runoff

          Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-TX), “the embattled nine-term congressman from South Texas in the political fight of his career, won his Democratic primary runoff against a young progressive opponent, overcoming fierce attacks on his record and an F.B.I. investigation with a last-minute push from top national Democrats,” the New York Times reports.

          • As expected….

            Supreme’s cut down New York Gun Law restrictions

            Post coming….

            America keeps its gun culture with help from the High Court

            • Interesting…….

              Gas prices dropped about .20 a gallon around my way in the last two days…..

                  • June 28th Primary elections….

                    By the end of the day on Tuesday, 29.5 states — why do you always have to make things difficult, New York? — will have held their 2022 primary elections. But we still have to get through Tuesday first! On June 28, voters in Colorado, Illinois, New York, Oklahoma and Utah head to the polls (or mail in their ballots) for primaries; Mississippi and South Carolina will also hold runoff elections; and Nebraska will even be holding a special election…

                    FiveThirtyEight has more..….

  7. The 5th January 6 Committee Hearing

    The January 6 Committee today plans to turn its focus to how Donald Trump tried to enlist the Justice Department in his efforts to cling to power…….

    Politicalwire

  8. Well there goes “settled law”. I wonder if Susan Collins is happy with her vote for Brett Kavanaugh.

    • Ah?

      She’s STILL a good party person……

      This is gonna get worst I feel…

      Alito IS getting his revenge against the courts ‘Rights’ rulings…..

      Good to hear from ya Scott!

  9. Morning

    I am thinking that increasingly it seems that Trump WILL be indicted by the Justice Department……

    Garland may not want to….

    But the committee IS forcing his hand…..

  10. Please disregard the header on this post….

    YES…

    The guy HAS to run….

    …Just in case you still aren’t convinced — I know there are some of you out there — then it’s worth considering this Washington Post report today that has people in Trump’s orbit suggesting a range of possibilities for a campaign announcement, from before the midterm election to September specifically to even sooner than that.

    That follows on similar reporting from CNN earlier this month that made clear that a third Trump bid was a question of when, not if. Here’s the key bit from that story:

    “[H]is desire to expedite a campaign announcement — ditching previous plans to wait until after the November midterm elections — grew even deeper after former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson raised serious questions in a televised congressional hearing this week about Trump’s behavior during the final months of his first term, according to sources familiar with the matter.”

    CNN’s Gabby Orr also reported that one person close to Trump said that if he doesn’t formally launch his campaign this month, the most likely alternative would be around Labor Day.
    So, like, yeah. If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s, um, extremely likely to be a duck.

    Especially when you consider this fundamental fact about Trump: He craves attention, buzz and relevance. Why would he willingly pass up all three — which would be the obvious byproducts of another presidential candidacy? Answer: He wouldn’t.

    The operative question then about the 2024 Republican race needs to change from “Is Trump going to run?” to “Who is going to run against Trump?”

    More…

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