Early pundit view….
Right now there are protest’s building in the streets for the Supreme’s to follow thru with their draft and throwout Roe v Wade and against them….
Will the blow back against the move result in increase in support for Democrats in this fall’s House and Senate elections?
Polling shows a majority of American’s support women having the Abortion ‘Right’s ‘ Justice Alito has ranted against….
Maybe is the answer right now….
Looking forward, it’s very much unclear what will happen with abortion in the 2022 election. For starters, we do not even know if the U.S. Supreme Court’s eventual opinion in Dobbs vs. Jackson Women’s Health Organization will be the same as the one that Politico reported on earlier this week. We also know that, abortion aside, this looks like a Republican-leaning political environment, both based on history and the president’s weak approval ratings.
But our analysis does suggest that 1. The public, broadly speaking, is more supportive of abortion rights and more concerned about women’s access to abortion services than notand 2. There are voters who may be animated by Roe vs. Wade being overturned, which could give Democrats a desperately-needed shot in the arm this November given their many other political problems this year. Whether abortion would trump the concerns that persuadable voters have on other issues — such as inflation and broader economic concerns, where the Democrats appear very vulnerable — remains to be seen, but we may find out if and when the Supreme Court releases their potentially explosive actual opinion on abortion….