Donald Trump get his….
But NOT the whole ball of wax….
His endorsed people got marginal wins mostly from Republican voters…
Trumpism is alive for GOPer’s …But it does seem to be running out of gas….
What works for the Greand ole Party is probably gonna cost them in November….
Democrats could be smiling on the above….
Progressive Democrats seem to be holding tbheir own even as they are outspent by moderate and establishment party members….
Tuesday brought more reason to doubt Trump’s status as a GOP kingmaker, even as Trump-y candidates continue to win plenty. Trump notched one big win but two high-profile losses, with the biggest race yet to be decided.
The big win was in the North Carolina Senate race, where Rep. Ted Budd’s candidacy was among Trump’s earliest endorsements; Budd overcame early grumbles about his campaign to defeat former governor Pat McCrory. That’s a clear win for Trump.
Trump-endorsed state Sen. Doug Mastriano also won the nomination for Pennsylvania governor, but he was already well on track to victory before Trump backed him in recent days. So that one doesn’t really count for much.
Trump risked more in primaries for Pennsylvania Senate and Idaho governor, and the last one fell through — badly. Idaho Gov. Brad Little easily turned aside far-right Lt. Gov. Janice McGeachin, who never really caught on despite an early Trump endorsement. Little currently leads by more than 20 percentage points.
Trump also lent embattled Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.) a late attempted lifeline, but it wasn’t enough. Cawthorn fell to state Sen. Chuck Edwards. As with Herbster, other high-profile GOP officials endorsed against Trump’s pick, and Cawthorn’s major personal issues ultimately overwhelmed him.
In the Pennsylvania Senate race, Trump-backed Mehmet Oz currently leads by 0.2 percentage points, but many absentee ballots remain to be counted, and rival Dave McCormick’s campaign is expressing confidence they’ll swing the race for him….
…
In Ohio this month, J.D. Vance received 32 percent of the vote. In Nebraska last week, Charles W. Herbster got 30 percent. And on Tuesday alone:
-
Dr. Mehmet Oz was hovering around 31 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania.
-
Bo Hines took 32 percent in a House primary in North Carolina.
-
Lt. Gov. Janice McGeachin of Idaho lost her primary for governor with about a quarter of the vote.
All of these candidates were endorsed by Mr. Trump in competitive primaries. And the outcome of these races has established the value of his endorsement in 2022: About one-third of Republican primary voters will back the Trump candidate.
In some races, like Mr. Vance’s for Senate and Mr. Hines’s, that’s enough to win and for the former president to claim credit. Elsewhere, as in Mr. Herbster’s bid for governor, the Trump-backed candidate fell short….
…
None of this bodes well for Mr. Trump’s Georgia picks, who are facing cash disadvantages and, unlike in the primary contests so far this year, entrenched incumbents. The Georgia primaries are next week….
…
Progressives have a big night
John Fetterman was expected to win the Democratic Senate primary in Pennsylvania for so long that it could be easy to overlook how big a win it was for the progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
And the evening got better after that.
In Oregon, first-time candidate Carrick Flynn, who had the support of the leadership-aligned House Majority PAC, conceded to Andrea Salinas, a progressive state lawmaker endorsed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), in the open 6th Congressional District. In the state’s 5th District, moderate incumbent Rep. Kurt Schrader (D-Ore.) was trailing progressive Jamie McLeod-Skinner by a wide margin with 46 percent of the expected vote in.
In Pennsylvania, Summer Lee was leading Steve Irwin by a razor-thin margin with 93 percent of the expected vote in.
In North Carolina, two progressives, Nida Allam and Erica Smith, went down in open seat House primaries. But even with those losses — and even if the results in Oregon and Pennsylvania turn — it will go down as a good night for the left.
At a minimum, they have Fetterman and Salinas. And in the Senate, the rest of the map was pretty promising for progressives as well. A night that produced Fetterman — and Charles Booker and Cheri Beasley in Kentucky and North Carolina, respectively — as Democratic Senate nominees is a night progressives can learn to love.
It does seem like McCormick
willmay pull out a win in Pa….Steve Kornacki
@SteveKornacki
Update on PA: Oz now leads McCormick by 2,564 votes (0.2%). It appears the biggest source of remaining *election day* vote is in Allegheny County — around 6-7,000 votes. This is McCormick’s home county and he is currently winning the same-day vote there 39-33% over Oz…
…
CRYSTAL BALL: Our reactions to what was the biggest primary night of the year so far. This week’s results prompted 2 rating changes:
#PAGov
Toss-up -> Leans D
#OR05 (Schrader)
Likely D -> Leans D
#PASen (which has a close R race) stays a Toss-up.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Tuesday’s primaries are fueling questions about the strength of Donald Trump’s endorsement even as the results underscored the extent to which the former president has molded the party in his image.
While Trump’s favored Senate candidate in North Carolina, Rep. Ted Budd (R), won his primary decisively, others who had received his endorsement, including Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.) and Idaho Lt. Gov Janice McGeachin, were defeated. Even more disappointing for Trump, his endorsed candidate in the Pennsylvania Senate primary, Mehmet Oz, remains locked in a tight battle with hedge fund manager Dave McCormick.
While last night’s primaries are far from a defeat for the former president, they could stoke further questions about the extent to which he can clear primary fields and play kingmaker for the GOP….
More…
The first paragraph is the point most of us here have been making and that you want to avoid.
“…even as the results underscored the extent to which the former President has molded the party in his image.”
Trumpism now rules the Republican Party.Indeed most of the candidates Trump did not endorse still showed their fealty to him.Indeed many claimed that they were as ,if not more ,supportive of Trump than the candidate he backed(see McCormick in Pa for example).
You are simply obsessed with Trump while blithely ignoring the fact that his attitudes are now paramount in the Republican Party and it really makes no difference who thenominee is in 2024(though Trump remains far and away the favorite).
All the other potential candidates who could possibly be the nominee will steadfastly bow and scrape before Trump as their inspiration and model.
The difference for ME is I do NOT see the GOPer’s strictly in terms of TRump has media reporters and editors ride on…
Ther ARE people who ARE winning primaries and are even in office who do NOT define themselves in terms of Trumpism….
Now?
I’ll go a step further….
I have done a recent stuff on how Trumpism is SEPERATE from the evolving RIGHT wingnut shit…
Donald John Trump isn’t REALLY about ideology ….
He’s about his ego and making money….
He don’t give a rats ass about the party….
You gloss over this…
I do NOT….
In addition?
I have reported here how DeSantis , Pence and others ARE RUNNING for the 2024 Republican Presiddntial NOMINATION….
Last I heard?
The top guys haven’t said they’s step ASIDE for ‘The Donald’….
On the marginal comment….
Few of Trump’s endorsed guy score clear blow out wins that one would expect if the ‘HEAD’ of the party said vote ‘my’ guy…..
Heck even some of Trump’s guys LOST….
Dr Oz , and Trump guy is hanging by a thread….
Kinda sloppy ruling, eh?
But Jack?
The BEST damn poart about this?
Cook and Sabato immediately swung several November races TO THE DEMOCRATS….
I’m sticking to my story….
Biden & Co. WANT knucklehead Trump to be the nominee….
It’s always BETTER to run against a LOSER with a TON of excess baggage than a young guy sowing his oats on the LOSER’s back…
Finally Jack….
The media goes with ‘The Donald’ show hands down…..
Makes the ratings and keeps the stock price for their companies good….
Joe Biden is just plain dull….
Lousy presence….
Lousy political moxie….
Still thinks like he’s in Congress or the Vice President…
Just riding on NOT being Donald Trump….
He had my vote last timne and he’ll have it again is he runs….
But he’s just NOT a media guy….
He’s just who he IS…..
Trump draws the spotlight even he scratches his ass….
Michael Beschloss
@BeschlossDC
Madison Cawthorn has just written that “the time for gentile politics as usual has come to an end.”
Also I like this editorial comment
“His (Trumps) endorsed people got marginal wins mostly from Republican voters.”
Well uh you see James these were REPUBLICAN primaries so one would think that the overwhelming number of people who voted in them would be Uh ,well
REPUBLICANS!
Any more self evident facts to share with us seekers of knowledge?