The word in the media has been that Democrats are losing the nation’s Hispanic voters in bulk…
This had set off alarm bells for Democrats even though on the whole?
Democrats DO get the majority of all minoerity votes overall.
A new poll should relax the Democrats a bit….
(Except in Southern Texas)
And there is a part in the linked piece below about the DIFFERENT defination of what ‘Progressive’ means to Hipsanics that Democrats should be aware of….
Heading into the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans have been riding a wave of positive press about their gains among Hispanic voters as Democrats fret about hemorrhaging support from the fast-growing demographic.
But while Democrats clearly have a problem, the GOP’s growing support among Latinos is less dramatic than some headlines suggest, according to a new poll conducted by a top Latino Democratic pollster and underwritten by a conservative Spanish-language network.
About 48 percent of Hispanics nationwide consider themselves Democrats, and only 23 percent identify as Republican, the poll found. Hispanic voters give President Joe Biden a positive job-approval rating, 48 percent to 29 percent, in contrast to disapproval of 54 percent to 44 percent among registered voters overall in the most recent NBC News poll.
By a margin of 10 percentage points, they said their opinion of the administration has improved in the past year, while a third said their opinion hasn’t changed.
Still, the poll bears numerous warning signs for Democrats. By a double-digit margin, more Hispanic Democrats are considering leaving their party compared to Hispanic Republicans. Such potential party-switchers are mainly becoming independents or third-party voters — and they also tend to line up more with Republicans on some issues.
Overall, Hispanic voters are more likely than not to think the country is moving in the wrong direction, by a margin of 5 percentage points, according to the poll. Also by a margin of 5 percentage points, a majority agreed with the statement “The Democratic Party has been kidnapped by progressives.” On each of these, independents aligned more with Republicans than Democrats….
…
Democratic strategist Evelyn Pérez-Verdía, who specializes in Latin American affairs and Hispanic outreach, said Trump exploited a measure of anti-Blackness in pockets of various Hispanic communities and Latin America.
…
…She also singled out her party’s left flank for not understanding that words like “progressive” in Spanish have a totally different connotation for those who fled socialist governments in Latin American countries.
“Please also blame the ‘progresistas’ who have given us the finger when we have told them for years that this word makes Foreign-born Latinos (now U.S. Citizens) in the U.S. run the other way,” she said….
jamesb says
— One key question in American politics is the trajectory of Latino voters. Donald Trump performed better in 2020 with Latino voters than he did in 2016, particularly in places like South Texas and South Florida.
— However, an analysis of the longer-term trend in Latino presidential voting shows that this growing voting bloc is not necessarily trending one way or the other.
— Presidential incumbency appears to have a stronger influence on Latino voters than on other demographic groups…..
Sabato’s Crystal Ball