Democrats?
Be afraid….
VERY Afraid….
Yesterday’s vote’s where NOT really about Donald Trump….
(Who WILL claim it WAS ALL him…It wasn’t…But the media WILL highlight it anyways)
They were about a party that seems to be down on their luck and in many ways not in synch with voters….
With no Trump to drive voter turnout?
A LOT of Democrats stayed home….
Added to that was a economy that experts may say is recovering …
But that most everyone feel’s is costing them more money….
While the media dn some focus on the pandemic?
Most voters do not…
Republican’ for sure don’t
(We may be seeing another spike developing)
Mandates causing firings do not make Republicans want to come out and vote for Democrats….
In Virginia?
A lousy candidate with a lousy campaign does NOT produce a win even if the media and establishment Democrats go to bat for the guy…
Wise Democrats ran away from ‘Defund the Police’….
Dumb ones lost their races to the idea…
Single issue things like teaching about America’s past racism also cost Democrats votes….
This is just a continuation of the issue of progressivism….
Swings to the left work in some places…
But they scare away voters in others….
And that brings us to a BIG problem Democrats have right now….
President Joe Biden is in a nose dive in approval polling…
He IS carrying Trump screw ups on his back along with a economy that stopped a year ago and is trying to back while business raises its prices to try get back some the money it lost…
Inflation of consumer price’s climbing and gas prices doing the same means the party in power gets kicked and loses votes…
This time is no different….
All the talk about raising taxes for the rich a few weeks ago in buttressed by stories now about how those tax increases won’t amount to much of anything…
And?
Voters are treated to everyday stories of how Biden and Democrats want to spend TRILLIONS, but are fighting among themselves to figure out how…
Lets face it…
The Republicans row together ….
They may not like the guy who stole their party from them….
But they fall in behind him….
Screw-ups and illegality and all…
Yesterday was a warning ….
It probably falls on deaf ears….
Democrats like to go their own way…
It has cost them for the last FIVE years as Republicans , riding on Donald Trump’s back took over the Presidency and the Congress….
Democrats got back things last November, but just bearly….
Now?
They are working hard to give the Republican back things….
Reminds me on my football team….
They NY Giants ….
They actually play in Jersey and they they keep giving away wins by their own mistakes….
Democrats awoke Wednesday to a sobering reality. A year after celebrating victory in the 2020 elections, their slender congressional majorities are now even more at risk than they feared, and it is not clear that President Biden or his party have a workable plan to rebalance a political landscape tilting significantly against them….
…
Next year, the entire Democratic Party will face the voters, with Republicans more confident than ever that they have the issues, whether education, inflation or the border, as well as the strategy and a strong tail wind to drive Democrats from power in the House and Senate, and thereby short-circuit the final two years of Biden’s first term in office. How quickly Democrats absorb Tuesday’s results and begin to respond will determine how well they can hold down expected losses in the coming midterms….
…
But Democrats would be foolhardy to underestimate what happened Tuesday. To lose a state like Virginia, which has been trending Democratic for a decade, and to struggle so much in New Jersey suggests that, unless things change, only the bluest of states or districts are likely to be safe in 2022.
National and local factors contributed to Tuesday’s results. Biden’s sagging approval ratings and the failure of Democrats, after months of negotiations, to pass two major pieces of the president’s domestic legislative agenda were part of it. So too were powerful local issues such as schools and public safety, which worked to the advantage of the GOP. In Virginia, Youngkin, a political newcomer, proved to be a more adept candidate than former governor McAuliffe, whose campaign was as much about the past as the future….
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It wasn’t just Virginia or New Jersey that suggested Democrats will need to regroup. In races across the country, there were signs that voters see the party as having moved too far to the left, even as its progressive wing has been flexing its muscles….
…
In Virginia, the exit polls showed that a majority of voters said the party is too liberal. New Yorkers elected Democrat Eric Adams as their new mayor after a campaign in which he made public safety a prime issue and presented himself as more centrist than liberal. In Minneapolis, voters overwhelmingly defeated a referendum to dismantle the police department a year after the Black Lives Matter movement had elevated the issue of police reform to the front of the progressive agenda. In Buffalo, Mayor Byron Brown, who lost the primary to socialist India Walton, appeared to have been reelected as a write-in candidate….
…
Biden’s first order of business will be to bring a quick conclusion to the debate over his social spending and climate bill and force votes in the House and Senate. That will only be a start to the work his jittery party now demands. Democrats worried that they could have a long night Tuesday. It turned out even worse than they feared….
Note…
TI would not be surprised if the whispers about someone else besides Joe Biden being the 2024 Democratic Presidential candidate would begin to get a bit attention …
Right on time, eh?
Trump Claims Credit for Youngkin’s Victory
Former President Donald Trump says if he had not supported Glenn Youngkin (R), the new governor-elect would have lost by a big margin, The Hill reports.
Said Trump: “I’ve heard Virginia is blue, but I’ve never believed it was blue. Without MAGA he would have lost by 15 points, more … instead of giving us credit they say, ‘Oh, he’s more popular than Trump.’”
( Another Lie…Ole’ Terry did this ALL by himself!)
I STAND by my feeling that Biden’s BEST bet for re-election IS running against Donald Trump….
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
This differs, by the way, from the California recall, where red areas got redder and blue areas got bluer or at least didn’t shift much from 2018/2020. Of note, Elder was a Trumpist candidate while Youngkin and Ciattarelli were not exactly.
…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
As a corollary, Democrats probably should consider strategic adjustments in response to last night—exactly how they should change it and on what issues is a harder question, of course—rather than just attributing it to a poor national environment.
I echo this…..
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Entirely plausible scenario is that GOP has a bunch of good outcomes in 2021/2022 without Trump but then nominates Trump anyway and has a bad 2024.
Quote Tweet
Josh Jordan
@NumbersMuncher
· 14h
And just like that the Republican party announces they have learned all the wrong lessons tonight. twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/…
At least seven people who attended the pro-Trump rally on Jan. 6 in Washington that preceded the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol were elected to public office Tuesday.
BuzzFeedNews first reported last week that at least 13 Republicans who traveled to Washington on Jan. 6 to protest the results of the 2020 election were running for office this year. None were charged with crimes, and all denied being part of the pro-Trump mob that stormed the Capitol to try to stop the certification of President Biden’s electoral college win. The attack resulted in five deaths and left some 140 members of law enforcement injured….
More…
More additions to the domestic terrorist wing of the Republican Party.
Sort of like the “provisional wing” of the Irish Republican Army!
Larry Sabato liked
Anthony Antoine
@AnthonyNBC12
Flag of United States POLITICS: “This wasn’t a bunch of Biden voters suddenly voting Republican for governor and other offices. This was a giant turnout of Republicans.” –
@LarrySabato
, UVA Center for Politics.
No, Jack, the domestic-terror wing of the GOP (and for that matter the domestic-terror wing of the 1865-1965 Dixiecrats) would bear a closer formal correspondence to that of the [Official or Provisional] IRA to [Official or Provisional] Sinn Féin (the Republican political party) before the Good Friday agreement (and subsequent mutual disarmament of the Loyalist and Republican paramilitaries).
(Note 1) The Provisional Army Council of the IRA (the Provos) broke away from what was later called the Official IRA. Technically speaking, it was a (sometimes deadly-hostile) splinter or split-off from the pre-1969 IRA, rather than a wing.
Consequently, Note (2)
Who might be constitute the GOP’s secret Army Council (of the American Republican Army) ?
And would the Never-Trumpers be the Provo GOP and the Trumpers the Official GOP, or the other way around.
I was never much on Irish politics.
I just remember the “provisional “ wing of the IRA was often referred to as more violent,
I am very familiar with the segregationists in the south as I was a teenager in thee sixties and the difference between the Ku Klux Klan and the White Citizens Councils.While the Klan engaged in actual terrorism,the WCC was made up of the “better” class,often professionals like bankers and lawyers.The WCC would often express “concern “ over Klan violence although it was often the result of WCC attacks on certain persons or groups.Former Republican National chairman Haley Barbour whose father was a WCC member referred to the WCC as a force for stability in the south during the civil rights era.
The WCC evolved into the the Council of Conservative Citizens , a group that had guest speakers such as former Republican Senate Leader Trent Lott .
Dylan Roof the murderer of the AME church people in Charleston said he was influenced by CCC literature.
Dave Wassermam
Murphy’s (D) margin of victory in #NJGOV is on track to be a slightly larger than Youngkin’s (R) in #VAGOV, but the scariest part for Dems may be how consistent the pro-GOP swing was on Tuesday…
NJ: Biden +16 to Murphy +3.5 (?)
VA: Biden +10 to Youngkin +2.5