That’s the news from the new Census data….
This is an acceleration in the changing racial makeup of America that is unexpected so soon….
The new census data, planned for release on Aug. 12, will show definitively how the ethnic, racial and voting-age makeup of neighborhoods shifted over the past decade, based on the national house-to-house canvass last year. It is the data most state legislatures and local governments use to redraw political districts for the next 10 years.
If the White decline is confirmed by the new data, that benchmark will have come about eight years earlier than previously projected, said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution…
Update….
The actual Census figures release 8/12/2021
On first looks?
This could be VERY GOOD for Democrats since minorities and large cities tend to vote Democratic….
The U.S. Census Bureau reported on Thursday that the American population grew much more diverse over the past decade, with large increases in the populations of people who identify as Hispanic, Asian and more than one race.
The non-Hispanic white population declined by 2.6 percent since 2010, the bureau reported. The African-American population grew 5.6 percent since 2010. The Asian population grew by 35 percent. The Hispanic population rose by 23 percent. People who reported being more than one race spiked, an unexpected surge that will draw considerable focus from demographers.
People who identified as non-Hispanic white made up 69 percent of the population in 2000. On Thursday, the Census Bureau reported that share stands at 58 percent.
Across the country, 36 percent of adults are non-white, up from 25 percent a decade ago. Children are now 47 percent non-white, up from 35 percent in 2010.
The Census Bureau also reported details on the overall slowing of population growth across the country over the past decade. In all, 52 percent of all counties lost population, according to the new data, the first detailed information on race, ethnicity and population at the local level from the 2020 census.
Population growth was most pronounced in larger counties; small counties as a group lost population.
But there was growth, too.
The top five largest cities in the country are now New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston and Phoenix. Philadelphia is now the sixth largest city, bumped from fifth by Phoenix, which was the fastest growing of the top 20 largest cities. Its population rose by 9.4 percent.
The Villages, a retirement community in Florida, is the fastest growing metro area in the country.
McKenzie County, N.D., was the fastest growing county over the past decade, growing by more than 100 percent.
Overall, the nation’s population growth slowed dramatically over the past decade — up by just 7.4 percent compared to the previous decade, the slowest rate in nearly a century.
The new data show which cities and regions are gaining or losing population — and will also offer the most detailed picture of race in America since the last decennial census in 2010.
The numbers will immediately have a practical effect on the political map: They are the basis for redistricting, a process in which state legislatures redraw voting lines based on the changes in their states’ populations….
Note….
Hispanic/Latino population has OUTGREW the Black population gains….
Multi-Racial numbers are up 276%….
And this will make the authoritarian impulse now percolating in the Republican Party even more pronounced.
It’s them migrant’s!
They shouldn’thave been counted!
Because of the Democrats, THEY are stealing YOUR America from YOU.
Just like those invading Irish, Italians, Slavs, Germans and Jews have been stealing the Real America from the Real Americans for 180 years.
And each one of the group’s u mention DSD
suffered bias and persecution but present day members know little to nothing about it and don’t relate to others in the same boat today!
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Early read: based on the strong urban and weaker rural numbers I’m seeing, this is a *much* more favorable Census count than minority advocacy groups/Dems had feared.
…
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Redistricting implications here, Democrats maybe not as doomed as the conventional wisdom (which tbh has been a little underbaked and oversold) may have held.
…
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Vast swaths of rural America–and an outright majority of all counties–lose population, per Census
I’m extremely sorry (not glad) that the March of the Death Cult into Middle America can only accelerate this trend.
Of course, vaccine hesitancy, denser housing and greater exposure in front-line jobs will also deplete some urban and suburban minority communities.
Some there will think for themselves and not follow the politicians politics’
The Latino population growth is YUGE!
Look at Miami Dade County in FL and the Texas/Mexico border. Might actually benefit Republicans in some key spots.
Good point SE….
We MUST NOT overlook that the OVERALL Hispanic/Latino and Asian-American vote IS Democratic….
But in certain places?
The Hispanic vote trends FOR GOPer’s….
Biden has been slow on the Cuba policy….
And the immigration politics cuts BOTH ways…..
Some want it….
But those who have gone thru the system legit do NOT support shortcuts……
And MOST Americans do NOT want open borders….
Like most things?
Complex and Nuanced….
Economic’s also play a part….
Them that ‘have’ tend top vote Republican….
Them that do NOT?
Tend to vote Democratic
Biden won Miami Dade by 7 points – which is poor historically for a Democrat, but my guess is that Republicans will have a hard time to match those numbers in 2024.
True
But as u point out?
Every vote counts and we always want MORE.,..specially to take back Florida
Hispanics tend to be very culturally Conservative and Catholic Church/Iglesia Pentecostal Evangelical. QAnon gained real currency within these subgroups over the course of the Pandemic.
Biden as an incumbent should do better next time, but DeSantis could make a real play for these voters.
I’m with ya SE…….
As we ALL have pointed out…
Biden WILL carry the minority vote….
But he should not take it for granted ….
I must say
It seems like the Dem’s could just break the 2010 scenario next year
Well?
I HOPE SO😌
Not likely that Democrats keep the House even in a good year for them.
Ur on SE……
I think Pelosi can wiggle holding her House Speaker title….
Maybe if she can get bands of “Moderate” Republicans to vote for her, though that would mean certain political death for those members.
The majority is just so narrow and the pickings somewhat slim that I am skeptical of any other result than Speaker Kevin McCarthy transpiring.
I expect her to retire in 2023
NY Rep Hakeem Jeffries is expected to succeed her as the House Democratic leader…..
In the end ?
The moderates WILL NOT piss Pelosi and Biden off i’d be willing to bet…..
And changes ANYWHERE would have to get past Manchin and Simea Also
My personal preference is for the extraordinary talented Adam Schiff to replace Pelosi. Jeffries may be the favorite, but I doubt he is a shoe-in. Jeffries would also be a good choice.
There WHERE reports Schiff wanted to return back to California in some elected office….
Keith might something about that?
As soon ss she actually signal’s she’s gonna leave yea…..
The politicking will het serious…..
But Pelosi will have juice until she actually walks out the door and heads back to California I’s assume
BTW?
This came in my Email today…..
Hakeem Jeffries for the People
James,
Before you log off for the weekend, we have a quick ask to make of you:
Will you make a contribution to our campaign to help reach our mid-quarter fundraising goal? Every contribution helps keep Hakeem fighting for us in Congress >>
I think conservatives bought into their own narrative that Americans are “fleeing the cities” so much that even Democrats worried it would be true.
Apparently NOT…..
Amen….
The fact that rural areas are losing people will make redistricting harder for Republicans. Some of those rural districts will have to be consolidated.
Yeah the narrative from the MAGAs in the comment section of my local paper was all about “of course Dam rum cities are losing population”. The thing is the article noted that in St. Louis City the population losses have stabilized and heavily Democratic and inner suburban St. Louis County saw small gains while a few rural counties in Missouri had population losses in double digits.
Guess what party those rural counties regularly vote for?
But the comments are still “Dem run cities losing people lol”
An example is Illinois. The rural areas of the state lost population, but Chicago gained population. So even though Illinois will lose a seat due to redistricting, it might be a Republican one. I say “might” because Dems will struggle to hold Bustos’s seat.
That’s what “conservatism “and Trumpism is all about.
Inventing their own narrative and the convincing themselves that it is true.
However, these numbers are going to make them even more dangerous.I expect to see the sort of underlying racism and bigotry we have been seeing for awhile now from their politicians and commentators to become even more explicit, their propensity for threatening behavior and even violence to be more prevalent and the open carrying of firearms to be an almost common occurrence.
These people feel that they are in a war to save themselves and their “culture.” In my view there remains among many Democrat a certain naïveté about what has happened to the Republican Party.That if we can simply get rid of Trump,things will revert to what they were when the Bushes,McCain and Romney types were running that show.Those days are gone forever.And people we often make fun of and call kooks?Are increasingly moving into control positions within the Party.
GOPer’s will double up their efforts to try and disenfranchise minorities as their number’s increase….
Voter suppression is already trying to get more extreme….
But?
Democrats are focused on Biden’s stimulus efforts….
I DO believe that Sanders will try to put in voting policy stuff in the budget….
He and others will have to work hard to keep it there…..
All of us have an incredible ability to convince ourselves what we want to believe is true. But it seems that Republicans in 2021 seem to be taking this to a new level: the terrorists trying to overthrow the government acted like tourists, masks are harmful, immigrants are the cause of the COVID-19 deaths among the unvaccinated…
This is way past amusing.