A pair of polls out of Florida paint a mixed picture of the state’s closely watched Senate race, suggesting an unpredictable contest in one of the nation’s most unpredictable battlegrounds.
One survey conducted by St. Pete Polls for the website Florida Politics shows Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and his main Democratic opponent, Rep. Val Demings, neck-and-neck. Rubio leads Demings by a scant 2 percentage points, 48 percent to 46 percent. That’s still within the poll’s 2.2-point margin of error.
Another poll commissioned by the gaming company BUSR and fielded by Susquehanna Polling and Research shows Rubio leading in the race against Demings 50 percent to 39 percent, giving him an 11-point lead that sits well outside of the survey’s 3.7 percentage point margin of error.
The polls, two of the first to survey Florida voters on the Senate matchup, offer a murky picture of the state of the race nearly 15 months out from the 2022 election. Both pollsters —Susquehanna Polling and St. Pete Polls — hold B-plus ratings from the data website FiveThirtyEight.
Despite the differences, both polls show a closely divided state.
According to the St. Pete Polls survey, Rubio has the support of 82 percent of Republican voters, while Demings notches 79 percent support among Florida Democrats.
The Susquehanna poll, meanwhile, shows Rubio’s support running even deeper among his base, with 91 percent of Republicans backing him. Eighty-one percent of Democrats stood behind Demings in that poll, while independent voters were near evenly divided between the two candidates…