A new Pew Research analysis finds that even as Donald Trump was narrowing Democrats’ margins with white women and Hispanic voters in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden was surging with other groups, like suburbanites, white men and voters who identified as independents.
Politico: “Pew’s survey of ‘validated voters’ — members of their survey panel whom they could match as people who cast ballots on state voter files — is among the deepest analyses of who voted in the last presidential election and how. And because Pew also conducted similar studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates, it’s possible to track how both parties’ coalitions evolved across the Trump era — and where the battle lines for the 2022 midterm elections may fall.”
Nate Cohn: “Married men and veteran households were probably not the demographic groups that Democrats assumed would carry the party to victory over Donald Trump in the 2020 election. But Joe Biden’s apparent strength among traditionally moderate or even conservative constituencies, and especially men, is emerging as one of the hallmarks of his victory.”