That’s one reason Democratic strategists are taking steps now to set the terms of the debate in the midterms. To this end, they say they’ve homed in on a key demographic: suburban women who support President Biden but are at risk of either backing Republicans in 2022 or staying at home.
This demographic is somewhat distinct from the relatively affluent, educated White suburbanite demographic that is often discussed as central to the suburban shift to Democrats in the 2018 and 2020 elections.
Instead, this group is a subset of suburban women who are more likely to be non-college-educated and somewhat less affluent, and tend to be drawn from the working class or lower-middle class, or the ranks of small business owners.
“Without a doubt, it’s a key target audience,” John Anzalone, one of Biden’s pollsters, told me.
Democrats see this group as a challenge and an opportunity….
Trump voters are the most loyal Republicans. When he is on the ballot they show up and vote straight R in most cases.
Very few ticket splitters in that group.
I do not believe that is true. What is it based on? Look at many Democrat held Congressional districts and see how much better Trump has done than past R candidates.
In 2020, the evidence suggested that there were many Biden voters who voted Republican downballot.
A lot of Trump voters sat out 2018 but showed up to vote fir their hero in 2o2o and voted straight ticket R. That’s what flipped a few of those house seats that went D in 2018 back to R in 2020.
They didn’t sit out 2018 in the red states and of course Manchin for instance was able to win reelection and Tester in Montana. Clearly, Trump voters were splitting tickets there.
Midterms always have much lower turnout perhaps and that can be expected in 2022 and that might always have some effect in “correcting” seats that were considered somewhat fluke midterm switches.
People voted in 2020 just to vote against Trump and that factor is going to be muted in 2022, which is why it is to the Democrats’ political interest to keep Trump in the news.
Trump will be in the news as long as he us head of the Republican Party.
Regardless of what you think of my wishes I want the Son of a Bitch to go away forever.
But as long as Republicans undoubtedly support him (despite what you and James say to the contrary) it is my duty to point it out.
All indications are that he is “not in the news” as much as some may think, as seen by the lack of social interaction regarding him according to whatever technical metrics are used, the failure of his blog, etc.
But of course he may try to capture the spotlight again before the midterm.
Most Americans ignore Trump. But most Republicans hang on his every word.
That’s hyperbole. If that were true, his blog would have been a hit.
By the way I paid money to get a new license plate to replace the “GOP” ones I have had since I was 17. I was issued a plate at random that starts with CV (which could mean Corey’s vehicle) and then a set of numbers that actually corresponds to a St. Louis area zip code.
Trump’s blog failed because his supporters don’t like to read. He still runs the GOP
They followed him on Twitter previously.
Don’t oversimplify things.
undersimplify*
Twitter is a max of 140 characters. His supporters could share and think they were “owning” their librul friends and family on social media.
The blog was basically Twitter. People have moved on from Trump to some extent. Many will be reluctant to admit it of course in order to “own the libs.”
He’s sort of a symbol for many at this point. Like Che Gueverra with the Left.
True That Scott on Trump’s wings clipped across the board except for the Right
‘Except for the Right’…,..
Scott?
Jack has the Big Guy as the ‘Second Coming’…
Another Lie.
See Scott’s comment as you your views of Trump and how he doesn’t agree with you.
I associate myself with his view btw.
You misrepresented Scott completely James, and I agree with him and Jack.
While I feel that Trump will eventually go the way of OJ Simpson, the operative word is eventually.
Trump controls the Republican Party. They still overwhelmingly believe his big lie about the election and have actively taken pro-active steps to make sure the will of the voters can be overridden because of it.
It that isn’t control what is.
So his blog flopped, this one ain’t doing so well either. His supporters don’t read, they watch Fox News (a station that was losing market share until they started to parrot the Trump election lie). They don’t sit and argue, in your case incoherently James, like political junkies. They want to be told what to believe, they want their white grievances validated.
So, of course Scott is correct. Trump runs the GOP.
Keith?
You agree with Jack that Trump is the second coming?
And Scott made the point here that i have made
Trump is the all mighty to most GOPrr’s
Not ALL….
He, he, he
Sometimes i think if Jack said the earth was flat some here would rush to agree with him…
Even if that was sarcasm….
No matter
We’re having a lively discussion
That is why i do this place….
BTW?
The 75 year old Big Guy has been reduced to doing a road trip thing with Bill O’Reily?
Maybe he sneak on the other guys twitter feed?
Keep pointing it out Scott
I hopeDemocrats use THAT to juice up the midterm vote while some Republicans want NOTHING to do with the ‘loser’
Ah Yes CG …….
‘Red States’
But Democratic support in Blue states remained strong….
Lets see?
Democratic President elected
House loses…. but STILL Dem House….
And
TWO DEMOCRATIC US Senators from Red Georgia?????
Shit!
On the whole
Not to shabby….
Despite the complaining
Give Trump credit for the Perdue loss. Had this “Stop the Steal” nonsense not happened I am sure Perdue would have pulled it off. Had that happened there would not have been large stimulus payments, something Trump also advocated (although he wanted the money taken from foreign aid.)
Too much money is being spent for the Democrats to keep control of either House of Congress. Hence you have suggesting Breyer resign and Munchin being somewhat shunned.
I agree with ur point that Trump has been over sold , especially here….
All the guy is good for is bitching about losing and taking supporters money…
I do NOT support as some Democrats here do
Nationally, looking at just House races, there are very few ticket splitters among self-identified D and R. Of course, over 40 percent of people who call themselves Independent voted for Trump so Trump voters are more than just Republicans of course.
The one noticeable thing in the exit polls are that more Independents voted for Biden and Republican for the House than vice versa.
National results do not tell the entire tale though in swing areas or competitive areas. Look at places like Tim Ryan’s Congressional district in Ohio, which always was solidly Democrat, and which Ryan has continued to win, but all the Trump voters there.
And last November some Republicans voted FOR Biden then went back Republican down ballot…
It would seem that in some places ?
Some Republicans voted AGAINST Trump but came back to GOPer’s down ballot….
Prime example Georgia Senate results….
The above comment illustrates just how much our host obfuscates and attempts to change the subject.
This new poll out of North Carolina is a prime example of what Scott, Jack, and I have been talking about. Once the crackers hear what their leader wants they are all on board.
A new Meeting Street Insights poll in North Carolina shows former Gov. Pat McCrory (R) leading the Republican Senate primary with 45%, followed by Rep. Ted Budd (R) with 19%, and former Rep. Mark Walker (R) at 12%.
However, once respondents are informed Budd secured former President Donald Trump’s endorsement, Budd leads with 46%, followed by McCrory at 27%, and Walker at 8%.
I saw that…..
I wonder how McConnell see’s this?
Hey?
If Trump wants to pick weak general election candidates?
GREAT!
Again
These are safe GOPer seats I’d assume
Ur talking about internal Republican dust ups….
Maybe if he tries hard enough?
Trump can screw this up also….
You continue to lie about what people say here James, and for a blog host that is really a crime and an insult to those people you are misrepresenting. You know that Jack and I don’t see Trump as a second coming, we believe, with lots of information to back it up, that the majority of Republicans see him as their Great White Hope.
The Democrats won the Georgia runoffs, in part, because he wasn’t on the ballot. Not because he had somehow lost his control over the Party. The very next day he had thousands of Republicans invade the Capitol and then the vast majority of Republicans in Congress voted to overturn an election.
If that isn’t control what is?
That’s not the take away from this James. Trump runs the Party, that’s the takeaway.
The GOP should take back both the House and the Senate in 2022.
Too much money has been spent.
Hot Damn!
Yes!
How ya doing Manila!
Glad to hear from ya❗️
Manila ?
I did a post on Sabato’s shop saying it’s possible for Dem’s to defy History and pull out wins
It’s very early still. I think the House is probably a coin toss for 2022.
As for the Senate, I just do not see how Republicans can net one seat. Even if they win Georgia, and maybe even New Hampshire, I think it will be extremely hard to keep Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. North Carolina will also be tougher if Ted Budd is nominated. I also think taking Arizona back will be pretty difficult. So, I think another 50-50 or 51-49 for the Dems is the most likely outcome.