Andrew Yang HAD led the Brooklyn Boro President and former NYPD cop up until two weeks ago , when a couple of polls had Adams move ahead….
In the new poll he regains the lead b y 1%…
Yang has had a rough time from the Big Apple media….
The primary will feature ranked choice voting….
In the new poll’s ranked choice run?
Adams leads…
The race IS a horse race….
The undecided’s are in the double digit range….
Andrew Yang and Eric Adams are in a virtual dead heat in the latest poll for the June 22 Democratic mayoral primary, where likely voters’ top concerns are crime rates and public safety.
Yang, the former presidential candidate, edges out Adams by one point with 19 percent of respondents listing him as their first choice in the new Manhattan Institute survey conducted in mid-May.
But Adams, the Brooklyn borough president and retired cop, ultimately edges out Yang by four points, with 52 percent of the vote in the city’s new ranked-choice system.
Ranked-choice voting allows New Yorkers to mark their top five candidates on ballots. If no one captures 50 percent of the vote in the primary, then the candidate with the fewest No. 1 picks is eliminated and those votes are parceled out according to the remaining order of preference. The process continues until two contenders remain. The one with more votes ultimately wins.
The Manhattan Institute poll predicts a lengthy process of 11 rounds of ballot recalculations resulting in an Adams win.
Almost half of respondents, or 46 percent, said crime rates and public safety were their top two priorities. Those issues were followed by housing at 35 percent and the economy at 30 percent.
Fifty percent of voters have a favorable view of the NYPD and just 18 percent want to see fewer cops in their neighborhoods.
Both Yang and Adams have said they do not support defunding the NYPD and want to increase patrols in the subway system.
After the two frontrunners, former Sanitation Commission Kathryn Garcia is the first pick of 11 percent of likely voters followed by civil rights attorney and former MSNBC host Maya Wiley with 10 percent, although Wiley comes in third in a ranked-choice simulation…
image…NY Post
Update on polling for the Dem NYC Mayor primary next month/June 22…
Top Pollsters don’t want to do anything with ranked vote….
Much of the focus of the New York City mayoral race has centered on one or two perceived front-runners: Andrew Yang, the 2020 presidential candidate, and Eric Adams, the Brooklyn borough president.
But that perception is almost entirely based on what has been an unusually quiet polling season. None of the three major public pollsters in the New York City region have done comprehensive surveys in the mayor’s race.
And of those big three pollsters — Quinnipiac University Poll, Marist College Institute for Public Opinion and Siena College Research Institute — two have no intention of conducting any such polls before the June 22 Democratic primary. At this point in 2013, the three pollsters had together put out more than a dozen independent horse-race polls on the Democratic primary.
This year, New York voters will have to continue to rely on polls from outfits with less of a New York track record, or on surveys released by parties with possibly ulterior motives, including mayoral campaigns and special interest groups…
More…
One of the reasons the NYC Mayors race polling maybe ‘iffy’,,.The voting is ranked
Kathryn Garcia Grabs First Lead In NYC Mayoral Race
A new Emerson/WPIX poll in New York City found Kathryn Garcia leading the Democratic mayoral race with 21%, followed by Eric Adams at 20%, Andrew Yang at 16% and Scott Stringer at 10%.
Politicalwire