CNN Politics has a list of ten….
Senate elections typically happen only every two years — except sometimes they’re three years in a row.
Democrats picked up two seats in November 2020. They won two more in Georgia runoffs in January 2021. And in 2022, they’ll be fighting to keep control of the evenly divided chamber, where Vice President Kamala Harris is the tie-breaking vote.
But the fight for control is already center stage, since Congress — and the 50-50 Senate, in particular — helps shape how successful President Joe Biden will be in enacting his agenda. Democrats are eager to grow their majority so they can pass legislation with a more comfortable margin, while Republicans want the Senate back so they can check the Biden White House.
History is on Republicans’ side. The party that loses the presidency usually gains seats in the midterm elections. By the numbers, at least, Republicans are more on defense heading into 2022: Of the 34 Senate seats up next year, Republicans are defending 20 to Democrats’ 14. Not all of those are competitive, though: Only eight seats are currently rated as “battlegrounds” by Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales.
The seat most likely to flip partisan control next fall, according to CNN’s inaugural ranking, is in Pennsylvania, currently held by GOP Sen. Pat Toomey, who’s not running for reelection. The top 10 Senate seats most likely to flip are based on CNN’s reporting, as well as historical data about how states and candidates have performed. As the cycle heats up, polling, fundraising and advertising spending data will also become factors.
In this first edition, the top 10 slots happen to be evenly divided between GOP-held and Democratic-held seats. Three open seats are on the list, all currently held by Republicans who are retiring, making their seats more competitive than they otherwise would have been….
More and the list…..