I hear all the noise about it’s ‘Trump’s’ party…….
Yea….
But?
Quietly?
The ‘party’ IS shrinking…..
Typical for Trump…..
Things he touches turns to shit…..
In the days after the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, the phone lines and websites of local election officials across the country were jumping: Tens of thousands of Republicans were calling or logging on to switch their party affiliations.
In California, more than 33,000 registered Republicans left the party during the three weeks after the Washington riot. In Pennsylvania, more than 12,000 voters left the G.O.P. in the past month, and more than 10,000 Republicans changed their registration in Arizona.
An analysis of January voting records by The New York Times found that nearly 140,000 Republicans had quit the party in 25 states that had readily available data (19 states do not have registration by party). Voting experts said the data indicated a stronger-than-usual flight from a political party after a presidential election, as well as the potential start of a damaging period for G.O.P. registrations as voters recoil from the Capitol violence and its fallout.
Among those who recently left the party are Juan Nunez, 56, an Army veteran in Mechanicsburg, Pa. He said he had long felt that the difference between the United States and many other countries was that campaign-season fighting ended on Election Day, when all sides would peacefully accept the result. The Jan. 6 riot changed that, he said….
The GOP is shrinking AND it’s Trunp’s party.
And the more it shrinks the harder it is for the non Trumpers left in the party to exert influence.
Depends who is leaving and who is staying.
That’s common sense.
Are the Trump people leaving? To some extent, that is to be expected. They were not in the party before Trump either, why would they necessarily be after?
As those people leave, others who may have felt left out, may come back.
St Louis is a much smaller city than it once was, but as the population shrank, groups that were once out of power were able to garner more influence internally.
Those interviewed in this story cited the Jan 6 riot as reason for leaving the party.
Are some Trumpists who were disillusioned that Trump didn’t actually succeed in overturning the election? Possibly. But they do not seem to be the ones noted in this article.
Also from a logical standpoint it would make sense that more Never Trumpers are leaving the party than Trump supporters as the vast majority of GOP officials are sticking by and defending Trump.
Now I do think that a fair amount of Trump supporters who were not involved in the political process prior to 2015 may bore of politics without Trump and tune out of the GOP in time. I’ve also said that wiuld be best for the party, even if it results in short term political losses.
St. Louis is a much smaller city than it was 100 years ago you are correct. And a major reason for that is the freezing of the city limits when the city “divorced” from the county in 1876 resulting in it’s footprint today being the same 62 square miles. Had it been allowed to annex areas that are now inner suburbs and rach the 150-200 sq mi footprint most large cities possess the population would be about twice what it is now.
There’s a lesson there for the GOP actually about not being able to grow in the inner suburbs because of some outdated thinking.
Thousands of people were not interviewed for the story. People could be leaving for a variety of reasons. Articles can have agendas of course.
In many specific ways I have “left” (or tried to) leave the party in regards to my past involvement within it, but my state does not have party registration so there is nothing really relevant beyond what my primary voting history may say (i.e. took a D ballot in 20 after taking an R ballot every two years since ’98, but most likely taking an R ballot in 22)
This does not mean that those leaving the party because of anti-Trumpism means they have moved any more to the left or are necessarily in league with Democrats. They can in many cases still vote in primaries and certainly can in general elections if Republicans do nominate candidates that are acceptable.
CG?
Look at urself as aprime example
I watch Republicans in TV who are upset with Jan.6 and therfore have begun to do what u have done which is to try and separate from Trump snd maybe even those in the party carrying water for Trump….
These people are not just switch to the Democratic party…
But as long as GOPer’s keep up the Trump aggressive thing?
The Grant ole Party is gonna continue to bled support….
And it’s not gonna be just from the suburbs
Democrats won’t get them
But they are down to needing 11 GOPer’s it seems from the original 17….
I keep saying
‘We’ll See….
Speaking of general long-term urban flight from places like St Louis, Detroit, Cleveland, etc.
Exactly the same thing happened in (or to) what is now the City and County of San Francisco. At one point in the 19th century she could have annexed San Mateo County (immediately to S.F.’s south) but San Francisco’s citizens were not interested.
Now San Mateo County (capital: Redwood City) splits Silicon Valley with Santa Clara County (San José plus much more). San Francisco is also a high-tech centre, but more for firms that can fit into an office building (or could pre-pandemic) as opposed to one that needs a whole campus (like Apple’s in Cupertino, Santa Clara County) or a server farm or a factory.
The pressure of Silicon Valley, as Keith can tell you in far greater and more accurate detail, has put enormous pressure on housing prices in the whole Bay Area. In San Francisco, it’s caused great inequities and conflict as ethnic and bohemian neighborhoods like the Mission District get taken over (and their residents squeezed out) by workers in Silicon Valley. Friction is only increased when older residents see huge busses pull up on their streets every morning to transport tech workers south to Silicon Valley.