Huh?
Republican consultant Alex Castellanos said in a new interview that former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, who dramatically broke with former President Trump last week, has the best shot at the 2024 GOP presidential nomination.
“I think Nikki Haley is the front-runner and it’s going to be very hard to stop her,” Castellanos told OZY co-founder and CEO Carlos Watson. “I think she’s underestimated.”
In a clip from “The Carlos Watson Show” provided exclusively to The Hill, Castellanos went on to say that “politicians in Washington” dismiss the former South Carolina governor as “not really a heavyweight candidate” but that “she’s the real deal” and “the horse to beat.”
…
“We need to acknowledge he let us down,” Haley said. “He went down a path he shouldn’t have, and we shouldn’t have followed him, and we shouldn’t have listened to him. And we can’t let that ever happen again.”
Asked who might be the runner-up for the 2024 Republican nomination, Castellanos, a CNN contributor, said he “wouldn’t rule Tucker Carlson out.”
Asked for comment, a spokesperson for Fox News pointed to remarks the prime-time host made in August when he said he is “certainly not planning anything” and has multiple years left on his contract.
“I’ll just say that I haven’t received any call from Republican HQ,” Carlson told Variety….
Haha!
It’s silly to call anyone the “front runner” for 2024 in February 2021. But if one were to get silly with it the obvious front runner would be the person who leads almost every other candidate by 30, 40 or more points—Donald Trump.
On Haley I did this post with a ‘Huh’?
I saw that. My “silly” remark was aimef at Castellanos. Who I believe is engaging in wishcasting here.
“Wishcasting’, eh?
Never heard that one , but good….
Really?Ive used it several times as regards your “forecasts.”
Alex Castellanos is the former leader of CPAC (the Conservative Political Action Conference) and not to be automatically discounted, but this seems a little stretched.
On the other hand, the last three Democratic presidents before Joe Biden were an obscure state senator from Illinois, and two southern governors who had even less national recognition than Nikki Haley does today.
If the often-ignored party-unity tradition continues of a presidential nominee choosing his or her nearest rival for a running-mate, then — following Castellanos’ estimate — we’d have a wildly improbable, and nearly-certain-to-lose, ticket of Haley-Carlson.
Does anyone here think Trump Republican can embrace an East Indian American Woman as the GOP Presidential nominee with Trump still bull shiting in the back ground and guys like Cotton, Cruz and Hawley carrying the flag?
I commented the other day that Haley is laying claim to be the anti or at least non Trumper candidate.
Your view is that Trump likely won’t even be a factor in 2024,right?
By then he should have “faded away” correct?
That has been your well known view for awhile.Are you changing your mind?
So if you are correct,Haley won’t have much to worry much about Trump.
I said on here last summer that while it was ridiculously early, I thought she perhaps had the best chance of anyone to be the 2024 nominee because I thought that after Trump lost she would try to find a way to position herself as different than Trump while still trying to use her time with Trump to appeal to his supporters. That she would be somewhat of a compromise figure.
But right now, the Trumpists hate her. She was too politically correct for them because she criticized racism in the wake of the George Floyd killing. The “Civil War” is likely to be intense, that it might be hard for someone to try to cut the divide both ways, at least until a Presidential nomination is decided.
Certainly not predictive of much as regards 2024 but just indicative of where Republicans are present.
Politico/Morning Consult poll shows Trump at 53% support as 2024 candidate.Only Mike Pence at 12% hit double digits beside Trump.
Others trailed in single digits,including Tom Cotton at 7% Donald Trump,Jr, Nikki Haley , and Christi Noem at 6% .
Likely the most electable Republican ,Utah Sen. Mitt Romney was at 4%
Yeah polls at this point are largely name recognition. Then again many of these Republicans–at least Pence and Romney–are known national entities.
Also when was rhe last time a President booted from office was included in polls like this? GHW Bush certainly wasn’t considering another run in 1993. I doubt Carter ever did either despite being significantly younger.
I remember reading about Herbert Hoover who apparently harbored some thoughts of returning for a rematch with FDR in 1936.
Hoover actually tried to stir up some interest .Polling was in its infancy in those days though so I’m not sure if his name was included in any such.
Apparently, Herbert Hoover won 12% – 17% in different polls of Republican voters in 1935 and 1936.
https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=55177&ShowAllMUPoll=Y
But the 1936 Republican National Convention did not seem consider him much of a factor.
William Howard Taft did not tun four years after coming in third in 1912. However, in time, he did get the job he really wanted: Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States.
I’ve been looking at a book about Truman recently….
Very interesting….
Amazing actually….
Truman and LBJ were both elevated from the Vice Presidency after their predecessors died mid-term and both then won elections to full terms.
When those terms were closing, Truman and Johnson (unlike Coolidge or Theodore Roosevelt at the end of their first full terms) did seek a second presidential nomination.
Both (like Ford in 1976) did face opposition (Truman from, inter alia, Estes Kefauver and Johnson from Eugene McCarthy) and both withdrew after failing to win the New Hampshire Democratic primary in the middle of an unpopular war in Asia.
Ford was probably included in some polls in 1980 although he never said he was running.
Also he was never actually elected President.
Ford was considered a major player all through the 1980 cycle, even as an unannounced candidate, and then of course almost made a deal to become “co-President” at the convention.
I have also read that Democrats feared Carter would attempt a comeback in 1984 or even 1988.
Ford had the ‘Ooopps’ problem i remember
I remember in summer 1991 when everyone just assumed GHW Bush woukd waltz to a 2nd term that the Democrats should nominate Jimmy Carter in 1992 with a younger VP who would carry on the mantle for 96.
I am not disagreeing with Scott, but I honestly don’t remember ANY move to have Jimmy Carter run after the 1980 disaster.
I don’t think it was any kind of organized effort Zreebs. I just remember when Democrats left and right were saying they would not run in spring and summer of 1991 someone mentioned that if no one else ran the party should draft Carter.
Of course a fee months later we actually had Democratic candidates like Bob Kerrey Jerry Brown Paul Tsongas and an obscure southern governor named Bill Clinton.
Carter WAS a disaster….
But he he DID beat Ted Kennedy…
Or did Ted Kennedy beat himself?
Nikki is now playing the “media “ card.
All good Republicans know that when the going gets rough,blame the media.
Transparent much?
Nikki has been catching flak back in SC over her anti Trump remarks.
Typical Nikki, this was her modus operandi as Governor.Take a stand ,then ,when the pushback comes ,blame somebody else.