This while Donald Trump is tanking in the polls and is sick at home….
And Joe Biden maintains his polling lead while out and about campaigning….
More than 3 million general election ballots have been cast with less than a month before Election Day, according to a CNN and Edison Research survey of election officials in 26 states reporting voting data.
Ballots returned have exceeded 2 million in 10 of CNN’s most competitive-rated states. Registered Democrats comprised more than half of the ballots cast in six of those states — Florida, Iowa, Maine, Nebraska, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — that reported party data on the ballots. That’s not necessarily an indicator of the ultimate outcome, though, since polling shows President Donald Trump‘s supporters strongly prefer to vote in-person on Election Day.
While the returns represent a small fraction of the expected number of ballots to be cast in 2020 — Trump and Hillary Clinton received about 130 million votes combined four years ago — some states have reported the number of ballot requests and returns have already set records, in part due to the coronavirus pandemicprompting more people to vote by mail or early.
North Carolina is one such state, where ballot requests have skyrocketed compared to 2016 levels….
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Roughly 30% of those ballots requested have been returned so far in the Tar Heel State, and Democrats continue to outpace Republicans in casting their votes early. In fact, North Carolina Democrats have returned more than half of all ballots so far, despite comprising less than 36% of registered voters in the state. Republicans, meanwhile, make up over 30% of registered voters but only account for about 17% of ballots returned so far….
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Nationwide, more than 32 million ballot requests have been made — primarily for mail-in ballots — in the 37 states currently reporting. Another 43 million ballots have been or will soon be mailed to voters in the nine states — along with Washington, DC — that are automatically mailing ballots to eligible voters.
At least 5 million ballots in two critical states, Ohio and Arizona, begin to go out Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. In-person early voting in the states begin on those days as well….
The early-voting totals so far in the general election have only bolstered the case for a record turnout. Although early voting is not a reliable predictor of election outcomes, the sheer number of votes that have been cast by mail or in person more than a month before Election Day has astonished voting experts. More than 4.7 million Americans have already voted early or mailed back their ballots, and turnout in some states, including Wisconsin and Virginia, has exceeded 15 percent of the total votes cast in 2016. In Wisconsin’s Dane County, nearly one-third of the 2016 vote is already in, with four weeks still to go. Many of these people are surely regular voters simply taking advantage of an opportunity to vote early or by mail that they didn’t have before. But in states like North Carolina, nearly one-quarter of the votes cast so far come from people who did not vote in the state four years ago, according to an early-voting database that McDonald publishes using publicly-available records. The “sky-high interest” and early-voting levels have even prompted one major, bipartisan polling team to change how it models the electorate to reflect the likelihood of higher turnout. Democratic voters have been dramatically outpacing Republicans so far, a reflection of the partisan divide that has accompanied Trump’s attacks on voting by mail….
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1313655008173404161
I suppose that was inevitable.
Good ‘Stairs’ ad….
Argentina comes the America Donald Trump White House show!