First?
There isn’t gonna be a certified Covid-19 vaccine for a while.…
That promise from Donald Trump is another thing he’s made up….
Second?
The virus isn’t going away….
Knuckleheads in the MidWest who refuse to wear masks and distance have helped the virus spike back up….
Third?
On the NY Post and Rudy Giuliani Hunter Biden drop?
Even Fox News is now running a piece saying the story is full of holes ….
Fourth?
The American economy isn’t getting better ….
There is NO Trump last minute ‘surprise’ 6 days out from when they count the vote….
Donald Trump is running around the country burning his airplanes gas trying to plug up the holes in vote against the about listed headwinds….
Joe Biden is trying to expand the number of the state he gets to push his winning margin….
This isn’t 2016….
With under a week to go, he’s still down about 9 percentage points nationally, and there’s little sign of any real movement in either direction. Early last week, I speculated that there was still enough time for significant changes to the race. That’s much less true now. With the debates over, it’s hard to imagine anything that would spark a shift of more than a percentage point or two. And not only is Trump being badly outspent in the final days by former Vice President Joe Biden, but the current spike in the coronavirus, an issue that plays very badly for the incumbent, also is unlikely to help him as the few remaining undecided voters make up their minds.
As Nate Silver put it: “We’re sort of getting to the point where the only way Trump can win is with a major polling error, bigger than in 2016 (or if the election is stolen somehow).”