29 days out from the Election Day count and as is typical with Donald Trump?
Things are going in different directions….
Trump is the hospital , but doing breakout’s…
He’s in the hospital because he IS sick….
Joe Biden is out traveling around campaigning…
Biden and just about EVERY Democrat is taking in MORe money their Republican opponents ….
Trump’s polling numbers nationally are getting worst….
Trump’s state by state numbers are better….But not by much….
Trump’s chances of winning the election are about -20%….
Several Republican US Senator’s look like they are gonna lose ….
There loss would mean a loss of their parties majority in the Senate…
The Republicans thought they had a bright spot in adding a conservative women to the nations highest court before the election…
But?
Even that might not happen with senator’s dropping out of work with the virus….
Donald Trump has NOT been a good luck charm for his party….
Trump’s Republican critics have long argued that he was a virus infecting their party that would eventually destroy it. Trump skeptics-turned-supporters, which could describe most Washington Republicans, made a different calculation: If the worst elements of Trump could be contained, then Republicans could keep a Democrat out of the White House, lock in a majority on the Supreme Court and protect their redoubt in the Senate. Even before Trump’s diagnosis, the cost of the deal with Trump was starting to look high. But the path to pushing through Barrett and retaining the Senate and even White House was hardly insurmountable.
That an actual virus has now infected Trump, his wife, his campaign manager, the head of the RNC, several advisers, and three senators — many of them at a celebration of Barrett’s nomination — thus throwing all three of the GOP’s 2020 goals into chaos, is a plot twist that would be rejected by any writer as just a little too on the nose.
“Trump has done more to derail the Barrett nomination than any Democrat,” said one dejected former senior White House official. “They are screwing themselves, that’s for sure.”
As grim as the exercise might be, Republicans across Washington are trying to game out the politics of the president’s illness. “I don’t know exactly how this plays,” Graham said. “I’m hoping the president recovers fully and quickly.” He noted that several world leaders have recovered from coronavirus without major interruptions and that Woodrow Wilson caught the Spanish Flu (though it was after his reelection).
The thinking among Republicans about the potential scenarios they might face over the next few weeks range from this could actually help Trump to we are on the cusp of party-wide catastrophe….
The Always Trumpers
“More than 85% of elected Republicans who have been in Congress throughout President Trump’s term have largely stood by him through seven crises that would have crushed most politicians,” Axios reports.
“The data shows how Trump’s grip on the Republican Party has tightened — especially in the last two years — as his dissenters have largely piped down, been tossed out, or currently face the threat of losing re-election.”
“Critics and dissenters don’t fare well because that’s not what their Republican constituents want. They want Trump and what he represents — suggesting that his style of politics, and the generation of Republicans he tamed and trained, could outlast his presidency and further transform what once was the party of the sunny Ronald Reagan.”