Closing on a week out from Elections Day…..
Joe Biden is Up in places Donald Trump needs….
And?
I’d disregard the Trafalgar North Carolina poll….
Rasmussen and them are polling Trump up in the state while EVERYONE else has Biden ahead…
Not by much…(RCP Biden +1.2)
| Sunday, October 25 |
| Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida: Trump vs. Biden | CBS News/YouGov | Biden 50, Trump 48 | Biden +2 |
| Georgia: Trump vs. Biden | CBS News/YouGov | Biden 49, Trump 49 | Tie |
| North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden | Trafalgar Group (R)* | Biden 46, Trump 49 | Trump +3 |
| North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden | CBS News/YouGov | Biden 51, Trump 47 | Biden +4 |
| Texas: Trump vs. Biden | Dallas Morning News* | Trump 45, Biden 48 | Biden +3 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | IBD/TIPP | Biden 51, Trump 45 | Biden +6 |
| General Election: Trump vs. Biden | USC Dornsife | Biden 53, Trump 43 | Biden +10 |
| Georgia Senate – Perdue vs. Ossoff | CBS News/YouGov | Perdue 47, Ossoff 46 | Perdue +1 |
| North Carolina Senate – Tillis vs. Cunningham | CBS News/YouGov | Cunningham 49, Tillis 43 | Cunningham +6 |
| Texas Senate – Cornyn vs. Hegar | Dallas Morning News* | Cornyn 42, Hegar 34 | Cornyn +8 |
@Redistrict
A few days out, the picture of this race is pretty clear: 1) Biden’s lead (52%-43%) larger & more stable than Clinton’s in ’16 2) Far fewer undecided/third party voters than ’16 3) District-level polls (which showed big problems for Clinton in ’16) back up national/state polls
@WinWithJMC
And now, we’re up to 61 million voted.
@Politics_Polls
#Latest@TheEconomistForecast:
Chance of winning the electoral college:
Biden 93%
Trump 7%
Chance of winning the most votes:
Biden >99%
Trump <1%
Estimated electoral college votes:
Biden 345
Trump 193