Joe Biden looking good in the states he needs going down to the end….
Some states to watch for a possible Joe Biden blow out win next Tuesday….
North Carolina , Iowa, Arizona and Georgia?
Lindsey Graham fighting an record ad throw down against him this time. down in South Carolina…
With Kelly ahead in Arizona I’m inclined to think Biden will carry that state….
Same in North Carolina where the Governor and Us Senator races look strong down ballot for Democrats and could carry Biden to a narrow victory there…
Donald Trump’s arrival average has NOT risen above 48% since 2017 in the RCP average…
| Tuesday, October 27 |
@Politics_Polls
SOUTH CAROLINA
Trump 50% (+6)
Biden 44%
Jorgensen 1%
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
Harrison (D) 46%
Graham (R-inc) 46%
@Politics_Polls
Kelly (D) 53% (+7)
McSally (R-inc) 46%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Wins (D), LV, 10/21-25 projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027
@Politics_Polls
ARIZONA
Biden 52% (+7)
Trump 45%
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Wins (D), LV, 10/21-25 projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Updated rough personal rankings of the Trump ’16 turf likeliest to flip to Biden:
1. Nebraska’s 2nd CD
2. Michigan
3. Pennsylvania
4. Arizona
5. Wisconsin
6. Florida
7. North Carolina
8. Maine’s 2nd CD
9. Georgia
10. Iowa
11. Texas
12. Ohio
@Redistrict
More than 71 million early votes cast so far (over half of the total votes cast in 2016),
per @WinWithJMC
@NateSilver538
Really not much of a difference between the polling averages in Georgia (Biden +1.2), Florida (Biden +2.0) and North Carolina (Biden +2.0) right now
@NateSilver538
There’s no sign of tightening. Also no sign of widening.
We have 34 post-debate polls, and the average change is … 0.1 points toward Trump.
Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
To me, the fact that Trafalgar is publishing ridiculous ~60-person *crosstabs* of PA’s 18 districts is the biggest tell they don’t really know what they’re doing. https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-102520/