The states that gave Donald Trump his surprise win 4 years ago are in Joe Biden’s column…
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota….
Four years ago Hillary Clinton was 5.2% pts ahead of Trump down from only a high of 7.0% on October 17….
Joe Biden is down from 10.3% October 11 to 7.8% pts ahead yesterday …..
In the last year?
Donald Trump has NEVER come closer than 4.8% pts BEHIND Biden ….
Against Hillary Clinton?
Trump actually topped Clinton TWICE in the polling numbers ….
|Monday, October 26|
If the polls aren’t tightening since the debate—and with 62 million people having voted—we’re sort of getting to the point where the only way Trump can win is with a major polling error, bigger than in 2016 (or if the election is stolen somehow)…
Our current trifecta chances:
Chance of winning the electoral college:
Chance of winning the most votes:
Estimated electoral college votes: