Some Trump state’s polled….
The Arizona poll below has to be an outlier….
|Friday, October 23|
The GOP polls on the district level have Trump doing 5 points worse than his 2016 baseline over the last few months… We’re talking the released ones, which are traditionally biased. It’s a dead giveaway that the GOP internal polling has Trump getting beat “big league”.
Dems are deluding themselves if they think rural white voters aren’t going to turn out. It’ll be through the roof. To me, the biggest remaining question mark is rural *nonwhite* turnout – esp. in FL/GA/NC/TX.