The below Real Clear Polls are pre-Trump virus announcement…
Lot of Updates in this post….
We now have several polls showing Joe Biden with slight leads in Georgia and North Carolina ….
Hmmmm?
Friday, October 2 |
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
---|---|---|---|
General Election: Trump vs. Biden | IBD/TIPP | Biden 49, Trump 46 | Biden +3 |
General Election: Trump vs. Biden | The Hill/HarrisX | Biden 47, Trump 40 | Biden +7 |
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden | USA Today/Suffolk* | Biden 50, Trump 46 | Biden +4 |
New Hampshire: Trump vs. Biden | Emerson | Biden 52, Trump 45 | Biden +7 |
New York: Trump vs. Biden | Siena* | Biden 61, Trump 29 | Biden +32 |
Arizona Senate – McSally vs. Kelly | USA Today/Suffolk* | Kelly 49, McSally 40 | Kelly +9 |
New Hampshire Senate – Messner vs. Shaheen | Emerson | Shaheen 55, Messner 40 | Shaheen +15 |
New Hampshire Governor – Sununu vs. Feltes | Emerson | Sununu 55, Feltes 40 | Sununu +15 |
President Trump Job Approval | IBD/TIPP | Approve 46, Disapprove 49 | Disapprove +3 |
President Trump Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports | Approve 46, Disapprove 53 | Disapprove +7 |
Real Clear Politics …(Updated (PM)
New polls suggest Democratic nominee Joe Biden has a shot at blowing out President Trump in the Electoral College, which would have disastrous repercussions for a Republican Party desperately working to protect its Senate majority.
The surveys were released before Trump and first lady Melania Trump tested positive for the coronavirus, extraordinary news with uncertain implications for the race.
The news could pull Trump from the campaign trail at a critical point in the race, but it also raises questions about the health of the president and the stability of his administration…
…
“It’s concerning,” said John Pudner, a veteran Republican campaign operative who now runs the nonpartisan group Take Back Our Republic. “I think Trump’s polling and his miscues at the debate are especially a cause for concern in those tight races in Georgia, South Carolina and Iowa … it’s making his reelection tougher, and it’s making those Senate races tougher to win.”
The difference between a Biden blowout and a narrow Trump victory could be very small.
Even with the cascade of bad recent polling for Trump, the president still has a 20 percent chance of winning the election, according to the FiveThirtyEight model….
Updates done 9:15 East Coast Time…
jamesb says
More good polls for Biden are out,,
I’ll post them in a bit…..