Joe Biden keeping his lead across the board as Trump goes back to his 2016 extensive travel campaign mode….
It’s been a tough few weeks for the President ….
And only 7 weeks to go…
@PpollingNumbers
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Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
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@PpollingNumbers
New Hampshire:
Biden 45% (+3)
Trump 42%
Jorgensen 4%
Nevada:
Biden 46% (+4)
Trump 42%
Jorgensen 3%
Hawkins 0%
Wisconsin:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 0% (LV, 9/9-11)
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Little has changed in the polling, but as we get closer to the election — just 51 days away — FiveThirtyEight’s forecast is slightly more confident Joe Biden will win.
Biden now has a 75% chance he will prevail.
The Economist gives Biden an 86% chance.
More polls ….
This isn’t 2016….
Trump is slipping….
Biden crusin…..
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Since we officially launched our forecast on Aug. 12 (numbers before that reflect backfill), Arizona is the state where Biden’s winning odds have improved the most, from 55% to 67%.
Next after that are MN (↑ from 72 to 83) and WI (↑ from 70 to 78).
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/arizona/
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Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
Right now, RCP average has Biden up by more in AZ (+5.6) than PA (+4.3), MI (+4.2) and FL (+1.8). Pretty clear that AZ, as we expected, is shaping up as biggest Trump ’16 -Biden ’20 shift of any of the core battlegrounds.
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Josh Kraushaar
@HotlineJosh
NEW Garin/Hart/Yang (D) poll of Jewish voters: Biden 67, Trump 30.
Trump scores the highest level of Jewish support for any Republican nominee since HW Bush in 1988. Tied with Romney in 2012.