Somewhere Joe Biden & Co. is smiling…..
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
For now, most of Trump’s ~30% winning chances stem from the fact that there are still 2 months to go and the race doesn’t have to tighten that much for the Electoral College to be competitive. But if the polls still look like this in Nov. his chances will be lower (~10% or so).
…
New polls from Hodas & Associates:
- Michigan: Biden 52%, Trump 41%
- Pennsylvania: Biden 51%, Trump 45%
- Wisconsin: Biden 52%, Trump 44%
From Public Policy Polling:
- Minnesota: Biden 52%, Trump 44%
…
A new University of Maryland Critical Issues poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally, 50% to 37%.
A new USC Dornslife poll finds Biden ahead, 52% to 41%.
A new Data for Progress poll finds Biden leading, 53% to 43%.
Niles Edward Francis
@NilesGApol
FiveThirtyEight national average on the Sunday before Labor Day
2016
Clinton: 42.1%
Trump: 38.7%
2020
Biden: 50.5%
Trump: 43.0%
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
National GE:
Biden 52% (+10)
Trump 42%
@YouGovAmerica
/
@CBSNewsPoll
, LV, 9/2-4
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
WISCONSIN
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
@YouGovAmerica
/
@CBSNewsPoll
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
TEXAS
Trump 48% (+2)
Biden 46%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 1%
@UTTyler
/
@dallasnews
, LV, 8/28-9/2
https://scribd.com/document/474962250/DMN-UTTyler-2020-Poll-Codebook-2
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
TEXAS
Biden 44% (+1)
Trump 43%
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 1%
@UTTyler
/
@dallasnews
, RV, 8/28-9/2
https://scribd.com/document/474962250/DMN-UTTyler-2020-Poll-Codebook-2…
Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
NEW MEXICO
Biden 54% (+15)
Trump 39%
Research & Polling Inc./
@ABQJournal
, LV, 8/26-9/2
https://abqjournal.com/1493759/nm-voters-give-both-trump-congress-low-marks.html
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Biden’s lead over Trump has, since January, been steadier than any prez candidate’s in any campaign since 1940. It’s only rivaled by Obama 2012, and unlike that campaign, the GOP candidate this year is pretty never leading in any polling this year.
Exclusive: More Americans predict Trump will win the presidential debates than Biden, USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll shows
Maureen Groppe and Sarah Elbeshbishi, USA TODAY
September 6, 2020
Could the debates do for President Donald Trump what the conventions didn’t?
A USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll indicates many voters think that’s possible.
A greater share – 47% – predicted Trump will win the debates than the 41% who said Democratic candidate Joe Biden will.
That’s despite the fact that only 33% of respondents who watched at least some of the conventions said the political events made them more likely to support Trump; 37% said the conventions made them less likely.
Independents picked Trump over Biden as the likely winner of the debates by 10 percentage points: 47%-37%.
“Trump is gonna run all over Biden,” said Curtis Saffi, 38, an independent from Hampton, Georgia, who plans to vote for Biden. He expects a different outcome, however, in the vice presidential debate.
“Kamala Harris,” Saffi added, “she is gonna be all over (Mike) Pence.”
President Donald Trump’s supporters remain committed, though former Vice President Joe Biden leads in several polls.
President Donald Trump’s supporters remain committed, though former Vice President Joe Biden leads in several polls.
While 79% of Democrats predicted their presidential nominee will come out on top in the debates, 87% of Republicans said Trump will.
“I feel like it’s just gonna be a one-sided show,” said David Brockman, 38, a Trump supporter from Columbus, Indiana, who was among those polled.
Dana Carbonell, 35, a Democrat from Weehawken, New Jersey, said Biden will win if he “does a good job of factchecking Trump.”
Trump, she said, has “got his broken record of lies that he just keeps repeating.”
The first of the three presidential debates will be held Sept. 29….
https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-more-americans-predict-trump-090024826.html
Interesting
However ,as has been shown over and over again,except possibly for the Kennedy Nixon debates in 1960,the debates seem to have little impact on the election.
It will also be interesting to see how Trump performs without an audience to play off of.
Biden as a Senator is used to debates where no one is watching except on television.
Ahh, thank C-Span, for Congressional speeches delivered to no one but a camera operator. Who would actually listen to an oration of that modern Demosthenes, Mitch McConnell ?
Long gone are those fierce debates before excited listeners between the likes of John C. Calhoun, Daniel Webster, Henry Clay and John Quincy Adams (who died on the House floor with his boots on).
I agree Jack.,..
Trump plays off the audience
If the 3 moderators fact check Trump?
It’s gonna be REAL rough 3 debates for the serial liar….
Debates seldom do much of anything….
The winner often lose.,.
Trump is gonna just try to bull shot his way thru them….
I’m getting tired of people with Trump is gonna repeat his magic act again when there is little in common with the political situation now and back in 2016….