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Polling Update Sept. 22, 2020…Biden tied in 3 Red states….

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Less polls today….
Biden STILL ahead in swing states…
We have Biden TIED in three Red/Southern States that Trump carried back in 2016….
Hmmmm?
Tuesday, September 22
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Iowa: Trump vs. Biden Des Moines Register Trump 47, Biden 47 Tie
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden MRG Biden 46, Trump 41 Biden +5
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 49, Trump 44 Biden +5
North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 47, Trump 47 Tie
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Georgia* Trump 47, Biden 47 Tie
Vermont: Trump vs. Biden Vermont Public Radio Biden 56, Trump 32 Biden +24
Michigan Senate – James vs. Peters MRG Peters 42, James 40 Peters +2
Michigan Senate – James vs. Peters Reuters/Ipsos Peters 49, James 43 Peters +6
North Carolina Senate – Tillis vs. Cunningham Reuters/Ipsos Cunningham 48, Tillis 44 Cunningham +4
North Carolina Senate – Tillis vs. Cunningham Civitas/Harper (R)* Cunningham 44, Tillis 38 Cunningham +6
Georgia Senate – Perdue vs. Ossoff Univ. of Georgia* Perdue 47, Ossoff 45 Perdue +2
Georgia Senate Special Election – Open Primary Univ. of Georgia Loeffler 24, Collins 21, Warnock 20, Lieberman 11, Tarver 5, Slowinski 3 Loeffler +3
Vermont Governor – Scott vs. Zuckerman Vermont Public Radio* Scott 55, Zuckerman 24 Scott +31
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 50, Disapprove 49 Approve +1

Real Clear Politics

No Late Polls dropping tonight…

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Been putting a little bit more work into how the presidential and Senate outcomes fit together in our model and FWIW we now show Democrats with an 83% chance of controlling the Senate conditional upon a Biden win. Only a 17% chance with a Trump win.

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