Another indication that Donald Trump relying on another miracle is probably not gonna happen….
@baseballot
The @FiveThirtyEight
nat’l polling average with 40 days until E-Day:
nat’l polling average with 40 days until E-Day:
2020: Biden+7.4*
2016: Clinton+2.8
2012: Obama+3.8*
2008: Obama+1.1
2004: Bush+5.0*
2000: Bush+0.6
1996: Clinton+13.9
1992: Clinton+11.4
1988: Bush+5.1
1984: Reagan+16.9
1980: Reagan+4.6
1976: Carter+4.9
@baseballot
*Trump ’20 (maybe), Obama ’12, and Bush ’04 were experiencing their convention bounces at this point in the race.
@baseballot
I wrote back in 2015 that Dems needed an unpopular GOP president to rebuild their strength on the local level. Well, it’s happening….
