The first term President isn’t running against Joe Biden , the Democrat….
He’s running against self inflicted wounds…..
This isn’t 2016…..
Trump isn’t riding the white vote like he did the last time….
His racism seems to have lost it punch ….
The ‘Black Live Matter’ protest’s have eaten into Trump’s race baiting efforts….
And then it’s Trump’s own increasing obvious HUGE virus screw-up that has cost people their health and some their lives…
Donald Trump continues what he has done his entire life…
Fuck things up….
The first week of campaigning after Labor Day is now halfway over, and President Trump is once again playing defense — on the Bob Woodward book, on another whistleblower’s allegations, and on a report that an administration official was trying to muzzle Dr. Anthony Fauci.
It comes after he was already on his heels over the Atlantic article that accused him of disparaging U.S. war dead.
And it comes after Trump tried to play offense on “law and order” after the James Blake police shooting in Kenosha — and he’s still trailing in all-important Wisconsin.
No, this presidential contest isn’t over. But Trump, with 54 days until Election Day, is running out of time to turn the race from a referendum on him to a choice election against Joe Biden.
And what has to concern Trump is that a lot of people in his orbit are talking to Congress (like with the new whistleblower), to the Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg, and to Bob Woodward.
Including the president, who spoke to the famed Watergate journalist 18 different times.
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A big reason why Trump is behind: He’s underperforming with white voters
For all the attention our recent NBC News/Marist poll of Florida got showing Joe Biden slightly trailing President Trump among state Latino voters was an equally important finding that didn’t get as much notice.
Trump is losing Florida seniors by 1 point among likely voters (when he won them by 17 points in 2016, per the exit poll).
What’s more, Biden is getting 41 percent among all white voters in Florida (when Hillary Clinton got 32 percent of them in the Sunshine State).
And it’s just not Florida.
In Pennsylvania, per our NBC/Marist poll, Biden was tied among all white likely voters in the state, 49 percent to 49 percent (when Trump won by them 16 points in 2016).
And in Wisconsin, according to yesterday’s Marquette Law poll, Biden and Trump were also tied among the state’s white voters, 46 percent to 46 percent (when Trump won them by 11 points four years ago).
So for all the attention on Biden’s demographic weaknesses in a race he’s winning, maybe the most important demographic weakness of all is Trump’s underperformance with white voters.
It’s why he’s behind — in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and nationally…..