Bernie Sanders isn’t gonna be the nominee…
And he has asked his supporters to back Joe Biden in order to beat Donald Trump….
The young voters seem to be getting the message….
Biden needs EVERY vote he can get….
There is good news for former Vice President Joe Biden when it comes to younger voters. He’s no longer underperforming where Hillary Clinton ended up in the final 2016 polls.
The big question coming out of the Democratic National Convention is whether they’ll actually start to like him. Going in, young voters still didn’t like Biden, which leaves him susceptible to some of these voters potentially not turning out to vote in the fall.
Biden, at this point, holds a more than 20-point lead with young voters in live interview polls taken in August. Biden’s up by 25 points among 18-29 year-old voters in an average of the most recent CNN/SSRS, Fox News and NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist College polls. It’s a 24-point lead if we look at 18-34 year-olds in the CNN/SSRS, Monmouth University and NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls.
Adding in more polls to build up the sample size (such as a Fox News, Kaiser Family Foundation or Quinnipiac University poll from mid-July), only confirms that Biden’s position with younger voters has clearly improved from the beginning of the spring.
When I looked at the data back in April, Biden had only a 14-point edge over Trump with voters under the age of 35.
Clinton, for comparison, led in the final 2016 polls by 19 points among registered voters under the age of 35 (and under the age 30).
It shouldn’t be too surprising that Biden’s doing better with younger voters now. He was coming out of a primary fight with Sen. Bernie Sanders, who was the preferred candidate of the youngest bloc in the electorate. Now that time has passed, some of these voters may have put aside some of their animus towards Biden.
Young voters moving toward Biden is part of the reason why Biden’s national advantage has widened from about 6 points in the early spring to about 9 points today.
But even as younger voters prefer Biden to Trump, it’s not clear at all that they actually like Biden….
Former Senator Jeff Flake has endorsed Biden. That should help us win Arizona.
Biden Holds Massive Lead Among College Students
A new Knight Foundation poll finds Joe Biden leads Donald Trump among college students by a stunning 52 percentage points, 70% to 18%.
Despite Biden’s wide lead, just 49% of college students said they have a favorable impression of Biden, with 51% saying they had an unfavorable impression.
Kamala Harris certainly didn’t do much to enhance Joe Biden’s reputation.
That’s it, blame the woman of color.
What’s your beef with Kamala Harris DSD?
That performance at the debate where she was clearly (and with great planning and premeditation) trying to cast Joe Biden as some kind of enabler of (if not agree-er with) segregation. “That little girl was me.”
Obviously, that wasn’t enough to stop Joe Biden from making her his running-mate, but it sure didn’t help.
I was harder on her then DSD….
Still thing she’s mean…
But THAT will serve her well….
She’s mean?
Ah, misogyny in the afternoon.
She’s actually one of the nicest people you could ever meet.
Question?
Are men mean, or just aggressive?
Keith?
She maybe to u….
But she comes across as mean….
That IS my view and i have company on this…
Again?
It WILL serve her well as Vice President …
Women are tough, James. That serves them well. Mean is Trump’s word, maybe you could use tough. Remember, being tough will serve her well.
Tough works….
I’ll give ya credit….
Trump calling anyone else “mean” is ,well, you know the old term pot to kettle?
James is correct in that Trump uses the same words as his to describe Harris.
Oh c’mon …
You ever see all that stuff LBJ said about JFK in the preconvention struggle In 1960?
George H Bush called Reagan’s economic program(which he later campaigned for) “voodoo economics?”
And then she’s “mean?”
Compared to Trump she’s as meek as a kitten.
It really is odd how some people are seemingly holding her to a different standard that the White men I mentioned above.
Yeah I look for patterns of behavior. Harris comments on Biden and busing were cutting at the time. But it’s not like she kept it up and continued to needle him. Biden and Harris both got over it.
In the waning days of the 1992 campaign GHW Bush called Clinton and Gore “two bozos”. As former Presidents they became friends and worked on charity events together.
Trump is different in that he repeatedly treats people like shit and Republicans seem to think everyone should just accept it.
Very True Scott and shameful…
While Biden has outperformed Hillary in many demographic groups, Hillary did better among blacks and Latinos than Biden is doing now.
That would be true regardless who Biden chose for his running mate. Biden has a commercial on now that is targeting black voters.
Zreebs. This article from last week shows polling among Latinos at 65% Biden 17% Trump after the Harris pick as opposed to 59% Biden 26% Trump before.
Trump got 30% of the Latino vote in 2016 so at least according to the poll referenced in the Hill article Biden is strongly overperfprming Clinton among Latino voters–at least for now
https://thehill.com/latino/512746-biden-gets-boost-from-latino-black-voters-after-harris-pick-poll
Sanders has asked ALL his supporters to fall in line behind Joe Biden…
From the jump one KNEWW this would happen…
The object of the election is to de-throne Trump….
Working with Biden is damn sure better then beating ur head against the wall against Trump and the GOPer’s
Thanks Scott – I hadn’t seen those numbers.
I’ve often wondered about how polls define “Hispanic” or “Latinos.”
I mean a lot of people with Hispanic names have families that have been in this country for many years.
Is it just how these folks identify themselves?
That type thing would be important in interpreting these numbers to some extent.
Always a tricky question. The 2020 Census (using a Federal standard) says this:
Hispanic or Latino:
The category “Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin” includes all individuals who identify with one or more nationalities or ethnic groups originating in Mexico, Puerto Rico, Cuba, Central and South America, and other Spanish cultures. Examples of these groups include, but are not limited to, Mexican or Mexican American, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Salvadoran, Dominican, and Colombian. “Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin” also includes groups such as Guatemalan, Honduran, Spaniard, Ecuadorian, Peruvian, Venezuelan, etc. If a person is not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin, answer “No, not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin”.
There are individual checkboxes for people who identify as:
*Not of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin
*Mexican, Mexican Am., Chicano
*Puerto Rican
*Cuban
*Another Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin (for example, Salvadoran, Dominican, Colombian, Guatemalan, Spaniard, Ecuadorian, etc.)
More about the Question
We ask the question this way to comply with the federal government’s standards—provided by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget—for collecting data on race and Hispanic origin.
First, the question is based on how you identify. Second, the standards require us to collect and report data for a minimum of two ethnicities: “Hispanic or Latino” and “Not Hispanic or Latino.” The standards define “Hispanic or Latino” as a person of Cuban, Mexican, Puerto Rican, South or Central American, or other Spanish culture or origin, regardless of race.
https://2020census.gov/en/about-questions/hispanic-origin.html