This isn’t like 2016….
The sitting President hasn’t even come close to his challenger in the polls….
Not a good look for Donald Trump and his people….
Not a good look for Republicans either…
(Yesterday’s CNN poll was a outlier)
First Read: “The bad news for Trump is that he still has a 50 percent problem in the poll — where half (if not more) of the national electorate is firmly against him. And that’s a tough place for any incumbent to be.”
Consider these numbers:
- 50% of registered voters support Joe Biden on the ballot (versus 41 percent for Trump);
- 52% have a negative view of the president, including 44 percent of all voters who have a “very negative” view;
- 53% disapprove of Trump’s overall job, including 47 percent who do so strongly;
- and 58% disapprove of his handling of the coronavirus.
…
The new Decision Desk forecast predicts that Joe Biden has an 85.6% chance of winning the presidency.
The current forecast is Biden with 313 electoral votes and Trump with 225, very close to our consensus forecast.
…
A new Gallup poll finds President Trump’s approval rate at 42%.
“In addition to measuring Trump’s overall job approval rating, the survey asked Americans to rate the president’s handling of seven different issues. On none of these does Trump receive majority approval; his 48% positive rating for handling the economy comes closest.”
…
Note….
Four years ago0 Clinton was 6.7% ahed of Trump….
From that day until the election she would only increase that margin for 3 days in October….
Trump would hit 45% several times….
Remember…
Hillary Clinton WON the popular vote….
The polls where actually right ….
She lost the Electoral vote which would be reflected in the state polls…
BTW?
And?
On Election Day 2016?
The deference between the 2 was 1.6%…
image…Getty
Jared Rizzi liked
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
I see people are saying it… The undecided category is really small at this point. Biden over 50% in the average is unprecedented for a challenger at this point. Margins are important, but don’t lose track of the %’s each candidate is at.
That Gallup Poll quoted above also shows that a solid 90% of Republicans “approve” of Trumps job performance.
Once again ,despite the many posts here about how Republicans are “moving away” from Trump(mostly simple anecdotes about individuals ) , Trumps support among Republicans remains rock solid.
Indeed, it is almost exactly where i pt was on his Inauguration Day.
So the propaganda you read here that Trumps support is slipping among Republicans is just that.
It’s not.