We KNOW Joe Biden isn’t gonna beat Donald Trump- by 13% points in Florida come November 3rd….
But Trump & Co. HAVE to be worried about this….
@LarrySabato
New FLORIDA Quinnipiac Poll: Biden leads Trump 51% to 38%. BIDEN +13% IN FLORIDA. In late April Biden led Trump in Florida by 46% to 42%.
Larry Sabato
@LarrySabato
OK realistically, a Biden lead of +13% is very probably not achievable. But even if Biden carries FL by a tiny margin, the election’s over. No practical way for Trump to make up those 29 electoral votes.
….
@LarrySabato
Replying to
Trust polling averages. That’s my best advice.
BOATS DONT HAVE PHONES!!!!!!!!!!
THE BOATS! THE TRUMP BOATS! #RIGGEDPOLLS
Of course they DO!
Trump has cancelled the RNC in Florida.
So thanks to Trump the RNC has to pay for two conventions they won’t have?
What a brilliant negotiator!
That’s hysterical, and Trump didn’t even make any money.
Sam
@srq203
As of April 1st, there are now more registered Democrats than Republicans in New Hampshire. First time since 2008 when Dems barely held a registration advantage.
Also the most Democrats ever registered in New Hampshire in the past decade.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
With Fox News’s poll out tonight, we finally have enough Minnesota polls to show an average, and it shows Biden +11. So, no indication the protests have helped Trump out at all there.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
As others have pointed out, there’s also a pretty big split right now between live-caller polls, which show huge margins for Biden, and online polls, which show the race tightening a bit.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
8h
Rather small gap at the moment between tipping-point state polls and national polls:
National: Biden +7.7
Florida: Biden +7.5
New Hampshire: Biden +7.1
Michigan: Biden +7.0
Pennsylvania: Biden +6.7
Wisconsin: Biden +6.6
Nevada: Biden +6.5
It just keeps piling on….
A new Echelon Insights poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally, 53% to 38%.
Trump’s approval rate is 37% to 60%.
Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot, 51% to 37%.
For members: New Electoral College Forecast
Politicalwire…
I said at the beginning if one candidate won both Florida and Wisconsin, that candidate would likely win the election. Many of those older voters in Florida apparently just don’t like how the conservatives have selfishly put their lives at risk.
And ironically, despite their intentions, the governors who opened their states up early have worsened the economy.