Bad news for Trump in Michigan….
Bad news for Trump in of all places…Gerogia?
President Trump’s reelection campaign has halted new ad buys in Michigan in recent days as polling shows former Vice President Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, with a widening lead in the state.
Trump’s recent withdrawal from the airwaves in Michigan came as his campaign shifted advertising dollars to other battlegrounds like Iowa. The move was first reported on Wednesday by The New York Times. According to the Times’s report, Biden has more than tripled Trump’s TV ad spending in Michigan over the last month.
A spokesperson for the Trump campaign pointed out that the president still has massive amounts of airtime reserved in Michigan and remains confident in his prospects there. Indeed, the campaign has $11.4 million in television ads reserved beginning in September, and national buys mean that some of the president’s ads will still air in the state.
“Biden can continue to spend a million a week there if he wants to,” the spokesperson said in an email…
I NEVER thought I’d see this …
But the fine print in the polling points to Biden having a fighting(?) chance to pull out a close win in Georgia….
A new poll finds President Trump and Democratic rival Joe Biden tied in Georgia, a traditionally red state that has not gone for the Democratic presidential nominee since 1992.
The latest Monmouth University survey finds Trump and Biden each at 47 percent support, with 3 percent supporting Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and 3 percent undecided.
Forty-two percent of Trump’s supporters say they’re certain to vote for him, compared to 39 percent of Biden’s supporters. Forty-five percent of voters say there’s no way they’ll vote for Trump, and 44 percent said the same of the former vice president.
Both candidates have overwhelming support from within their own parties. Ninety-six percent of Democrats support Biden, and 92 percent of Republicans support Trump.
Biden leads by 22 points among independents, 53 to 31. Black voters support Biden over Trump by 84 points, while Trump leads by 42 points among white voters. Trump has a 51-point advantage among white non-college graduates, and a 23-point advantage among white college graduates.
In the 14 counties that were decided by less than 10 points in 2016, Biden holds a 58 to 38 advantage, bolstered by his huge margins in the Atlanta suburbs.
“There is a lot of parity between the two candidates,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray. “Trump has a lock on his base but Biden is performing much better than Clinton did in key swing areas.”
When the Monmouth poll is adjusted to forecast a high-turnout election, Trump edges Biden 48 to 47. When a low-turnout election is forecast, Trump leads 49 to 46.
Republicans seem to want to lose come November….
A new CNBC/Change Research poll finds most voters in six key swing states support an extension of the $600 per week unemployment benefit, along with another direct payment and state and local government relief.
In addition, a majority of respondents also opposes shielding corporations from coronavirus-related lawsuits….
…
A Joe Biden adviser tells the Washington Post that they have a better chance to expand the electoral map to Georgia than in Texas.
Said the adviser: “Texas is 22 fucking media markets. That is never going to happen. It’s just not going to happen. Everyone knows that. I don’t know why people are still even talking about it.”
The adviser added: “Georgia is real and that’s a decision this campaign will have to eventually make but not until we feel really comfortable about the six core states — and we are going up in Nevada tomorrow just to make sure since it’s a state that gets squirrelly in a recession.”
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Georgia finds Biden just ahead of Trump, 46% to 45%….
the folks on the HHR comment section found a pollster who says that Trump has such a big lead in Michigan there is no need to even poll it.
Musta drank their bull shit drink this morning, eh?
Based on nothing but my own hunches.
Biden VP odds
Harris–50%
Rice–20%
Bass–10%
Duckworth–5%
Demings–5%
Lujan-Grisham–2%
Someone else–8%
I pretty much agree with that assessment.
Despite Bidens consistent lead in most polls ,even before the pandemic, one area where Trump has led is the question of “Do you think Trump will be re-elected?”
Regularly the answer was “yes” by significant margins.Over the pandemic months ,however ,that margin has consistently narrowed and now about as many people think not than think he will.
Such coincides with Bidens increasing margin over Trump in national polls.
A second thing that Trump consistently leads in is being better with the economy…
I don’t get it?
The domestic policy agenda advocated by Democrats are scary to a lot of people who worry about their jobs or 401Ks.
You let this coronavirus keep raging?
And those “worried” people are going to have a lot more to worry about than the Democratic domestic policy agenda!
As to the Republican domestic policy agenda?
It seems to be”Trust Trump.”
Talk about “scary!”
All the things said by both us can be accurate.
In my observation those on both the far left and far right are most likely to think Trump will be reelected.
For the far right it’s the thought that Trump is super human, indestructible, and they proudly state that despite what people tell polls most Americans agree with him.
On the far left they view Trump as super human, indestructible and they fearfully state that despite what people tell polls most Americans agree with him.
Those in the center are more likely to view Trump’s unlikely 2016 victory in less than super hero or super villian terms.
I think there are a lot of people both on the far left and the far right who look at Joe Biden in 2020 and say, “are you kidding? That’s not going to happen.”
But against Trump, it very well might.
Substitute any Democratic presidential candidates name for “Joe Biden.”
And the above post would read the same.
I think there is particular angst on the left specifically about Biden and his abilities. As we know, he was not exactly the preferred candidate of the Twitter crowd.
And many completely in league with Trump are convinced he has advanced stage senility and look at things such as a months old video of him walking holding the arm of his adult granddaughter while wearing sunglasses and who say he must now be blind and unable to move on his own with assistance.
Ah?
Good point CG……
This is ANOTHER issue i would think Biden would have with Harris who hung out with Bernie in the beginning and messed up with her jumping on the Medicare fir All bandwagon only to see it go sideways…,
Harris showed terrible political skills over the last year…
Is THAT better then Rice NOT running?