This is but one poll less than 6 months out …
Yet it points to one problem that Joie Biden maybe walking into…
He MUST move to reach MORE voters in the swing /battle ground states that switched from Obama to Trump…Overall polling leads don’t win the Presidency …Swing.battle states DO…
And…
He Biden IS going to HAVE to come across stronger on the nation’s economy….
Something Trump HAS been pushing all along…
It does appear that Americans may NOT be blaming Trump as much for their economic woes from the virus as the media thinks…The economy was ALWAYS going to be BIGGER than the virus in the long run…
Trump maybe in fact winning it his push to downgrade the virus with a public tired of being told to stay home when the weather is getting better…
Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden‘s lead over President Donald Trump now stands at five points, but Trump has an edge in the critical battleground states that could decide the electoral college, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.
In the new poll, 51% of registered voters nationwide back Biden, while 46% say they prefer Trump. Partisans are deeply entrenched in their corners, with 95% of Democrats behind Biden and the same share of Republicans behind Trump. The two are close among independents (50% back Trump, 46% Biden, not a large enough difference to be considered a lead), but Biden’s edge currently rests on the larger share of voters who identify as Democrats.
The former vice president continues to hold healthy leads among women (55% Biden to 41% Trump) and people of color (69% Biden to 26% Trump). The two run more closely among men (50% Trump to 46% Biden) and the President holds a clear edge among whites (55% Trump to 43% Biden). The poll suggests Biden outpaces Trump among voters over age 45 by a 6-point margin, while the two are near even among those under age 45 (49% Biden to 46% Trump).
Though other recent polling has shown some signs of concern for Biden among younger voters and strength among older ones, few have pegged the race as this close among younger voters. The results suggest that younger voters in the battleground states are tilted in favor of Trump, a stark change from the last CNN poll in which battleground voters were analyzed in March, even as other demographic groups shifted to a smaller degree. Given the small sample size in that subset of voters, it is difficult to determine with certainty whether the movement is significant or a fluke of random sampling. Nationally, Biden holds a lead over Trump among voters age 65 and older, a group which has been tilted Republican in recent presidential elections.
Trump’s biggest advantage over Biden in the poll comes on his handling of the economy. Most voters, 54%, say they trust the President to better handle the nation’s economy, while 42% say they prefer Biden. An earlier release from the same CNN poll found the public’s ratings of the economy at their worst level since 2013, as a growing share said the economic damage wrought by the coronavirus outbreak could be permanent. But Biden does have the advantage as more trusted to handle the response to the coronavirus outbreak (51% Biden to 45% Trump) and health care (54% Biden to 42% Trump)….
My Name Is Jack says
What do you suggest Biden do to Uh “come across stronger” on the economy?
As to your certainties as to Trump?Theres a long way to go with this virus, contrary to your absurd “prediction “ that a vaccine will be available by mid summer.
You have no idea how things are going to go with this virus, nor the economy for that matter.
You have no ideas ,nothing but your “Chicken little the sky is falling “ routine that we have all seen before.
This poll?Meaningless.
There’s another one saying Biden is leading by eight points(after saying he was only ahead by two last week).That one is meaningless too.
As I have commented before ,polls more than a month from an election are largely irrelevant and are nothing more than comment generating sideshows for various news and opinion sites like, well,
This one!
jamesb says
I DID say that the poll in THIS linked post is but one of Many….
jamesb says
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
This is the pattern you’d expect in a referendum election. If you dislike Trump, you’re for Biden. If you don’t, you’re for Trump. Suggests that Trump would better off raising both his and Biden’s favorables. Instead, looks like he’s going negative.
My Name Is Jack says
Exactly.
Ultimately ,after all the back and forth on campaign strategy, this election will be a referendum on the presidency of Donald Trump.
jamesb says
I would tend to agree Jack…
But Trump WILL and IS going to try to change the narrative by trying embrace ANY good news on the virus or economy…
Biden is sitting back mostly now…
But he will NOT have that luxury come the summer into the fall election…