Democrats are gain confidence that they could have a majority in the US Senate next year that would unseat Mitch McConnell….
Things could be going their way in Iowa….
The Senate race in Iowa is tightening, according to a new poll that shows Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R-Iowa) lead over her likely Democratic opponent, Theresa Greenfield, narrowing to just 1 point.
The survey from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling shows Ernst leading Greenfield, 43 percent to 42 percent. That suggests a significantly closer race than a previous poll conducted by the firm in December that found Ernst ahead of Greenfield by a 6-point margin.
The poll also shows Ernst’s approval rating in her home state is underwater. Thirty-seven percent of respondents said they approve of the job she’s doing in office compared to 43 percent who disapprove.
That’s a marked change from the December survey, which showed Ernst’s approval at 45 percent and her disapproval at 43 percent.
Ernst’s seat isn’t among Democrats’ four core targets that they see as particularly crucial to recapturing a majority in the Senate. The party is focused primarily on flipping Republican-held seats in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina.
But Democrats also believe that Iowa has the potential to swing in their favor, citing Greenfield’s relatively strong early fundraising numbers and a March Des Moines Register poll that showed Ernst’s approval rating at 47 percent, down 10 points from where it was a year prior.
Still, flipping Ernst’s seat is likely to be an uphill battle for Democrats. Ernst raised about $2.7 million in the first quarter of 2020, while Greenfield pulled in about $2.25 million. And the Iowa Republican has a nearly $3 million cash-on-hand advantage over Greenfield as of the end of March….
image…abcnewsa.go.com
Gardner, McSally and Collins are all toast probably.
Tillis on the bubble. Yeah let’s go after Ernst next.
Biden at the top of the ticket has allowed the Senate map to spread in the Democrats favor.
I have another seat the Democrats are in the game for Scott…
Post coming….
It IS beginning to look good for Schumer come January 1st!
New poll out of Montana shows Steve Bullock leading Daines 46-39, Same poll shows Trump only leading Biden there by 5, He beat Hillary by 19 points in 2016 in MT.
I guess that new rural strategy isn’t working there. Bullock has the advantage of being in charge there at the moment. I am sure this helps his numbers.
Bullock piece in Wire…Democrats gonna REALLY make Schummer take McConnell’s job?
Bullock Grabs Early Lead In Montana Senate Race
A new Montana State University poll shows Steve Bullock (D) leading Sen. Steve Daines (R) by seven percentage points in Montana’s high-profile 2020 U.S. Senate contest, 46% to 39%.
In the presidential race, President Trump leads Joe Biden by just five points, 45% to 40%.
Politicalwire…
Caution on Montana?
(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Eh, I’m gonna wait for more data from Montana… When you see an online poll from an outfit that doesn’t normally do it… Plus a result that doesn’t jibe with anything I’ve read + heard about… Lots of caution should be the rule.