Donald Trump & Co. must be worried….
They have probably less than the 8 months till November to get thru the virus, the economy and Trump’s mouth….
Wisconsin WILL vote in primary this coming Tuesday….
Biden has a 30 point lead over Sanders….
A 3 point lead over Trump…Sanders trails Trump by 2 points…
A new poll in Wisconsin shows Joe Biden with a big lead over Bernie Sanders in next week’s Democratic presidential primary, which is moving ahead even though a majority of voters want the state to postpone amid the coronavirus pandemic.
The primary is happening as the state’s governor is ordering residents to stay home to slow the spread of the virus. But among those who said they were likely to vote in the primary, the poll, from Marquette Law School, shows Biden leading Sanders 62 percent to 34 percent. Only 4 percent of voters said they don’t know for whom they would vote or declined to answer.
Sanders, who has been swamped by Biden in the delegate count, likely needs a strong performance in Wisconsin to keep his already-slim hopes of mounting a comeback alive. Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin by 14 percentage points in 2016. Before the coronavirus prompted a pause of the presidential campaign last month, Biden won nearly every state of consequence that voted in March, building and then stretching his delegate lead.
The Democratic race in Wisconsin breaks down along familiar lines. Sanders continues to dominate among the youngest voters: He leads Biden, 73 percent to 27 percent, among voters under age 30. But Biden leads among other age groups, holding a 3-point lead among voters aged 30-44 and commanding 43- and 72-point advantages among voters age 45-59 and 60 and older, respectively.
Despite the statewide lockdown ordered by Gov. Tony Evers to combat Covid-19, officials are going ahead with next week’s primary — which they say would be impossible to postpone because other state and local general elections are being held at the same time, and those can’t be delayed.
Sanders on Wednesday called for the election to be delayed, and voters in the Marquette poll mostly agreed. A bare majority, 51 percent, say Wisconsin should move the April 7 election, including 55 percent of self-identified Democratic voters. Forty-four percent, and 40 percent of Democrats, said the election should be held as scheduled.
Evers has earned high marks for his handling of the virus. More than three-in-four voters, 76 percent, say they approve of the job he is doing handling the outbreak, and his overall approval rating is at 65 percent, up from 51 percent in February….
Not technically a “must win” for Trump.
Yea it IS…..
Without it outright he’d have no cushion if it gets tight….
The math suggests otherwise.
Of the three states there were the “surprises” of 2012, he basically just cannot lose all three. Conventional wisdom is that he would probably win all three again or lose them all.
He can lose WI and MI and still win. Or he can lose WI and PA.
Now, if he loses MI and PA only and keeps WI, we might be looking at 269-269 … but thats only if he loses the one vote from Maine he got.. If he keeps that , he could win 270-268.
As I said….
No cushion….
Yeah, if he loses just Wisconsin and keeps everything else. he’s still at 285.
check that, it would be 296.
Unknown if there actually will a primary in Wisconsin ….
The Gov IS going ahead….
Most want it set back…
Wisconsin WILL have primary it looks like on Tuesday…
“A federal judge Thursday kept next week’s presidential primary on track but allowed more time to count absentee ballots after excoriating Wisconsin officials for not doing more to protect voters during the coronavirus pandemic,” the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
“The ruling by U.S. District Judge William Conley will allow absentee ballots to be counted if they arrive by April 13 — six days after election day. He also gave people until Friday to request absentee ballots and loosened another voting rule as people turn to absentee voting in record numbers.”
Politicalwire…
If Trump loses Wisconsin he’s likely akready lost Michigan and Pennsylvania.