It appears with Joe Biden getting some media coverage finally in the last week or so?
He’s getting bounce in his poll numb era against Donald Trump…
The numbers , 8 months out, also show that Biden still has work to do before the November election…
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by 11 points in a new national survey released by CNN on Thursday.
The poll finds Biden with 53 percent support against 42 percent support for Trump. That’s the largest margin for any poll released this month.
A Monmouth University survey released on Thursday found Biden with a 4-point national lead. Most other recent surveys put Biden’s advantage between 3 points and 8 points.
Trump has a clear advantage in enthusiasm — 70 percent of the president’s supporters say they’re very excited to cast a ballot for him, compared to 50 percent of Biden’s supporters.
Both Trump and Biden have more than 90 percent support from voters within their own parties, but independents broke for Biden in the poll by 12 points. Biden also has a massive 30-point lead over Trump among women, while Trump’s lead among men is only at 7 points.
Biden has 72 percent support among voters of color. Trump leads by 8 points among white voters.
Among voters under the age of 35, Biden leads 62 percent to 31 percent. Among voters over the age of 55, Trump leads 55 percent to 42 percent.
Fifty-two percent of voters said they trust Biden to handle the coronavirus outbreak, compared to 43 percent who said Trump. On the issues of health care and helping the middle class, voters picked Biden over Trump by 18 points in both instances.
However, 50 percent of voters said they trust Trump on the economy, compared to 46 percent who said Biden….
image …USA TODAY Network
If this poll holds and Biden wins independents by 12 points it’s curtains for Trump. Even if he maintains 90% support with the Cult Republican Party.
I KNOW I’m gonna be a pain in the ass here…
But?
I want to KNOW about the following states…
Wisconsin*, Michigan*, Ohio*, Pennsylvania* and Florida*…
Right Now?
* Biden leads…
Joe Biden is doing Good…
Right Now…
Overall poll numbers don’t mean much…
Hillary won THREE MILLION MORE votes and LOST….
That’s true.
However Hillary only defeated Trump by 2% in the popular vote.
Scott’s point ,with which I concur, is if Biden were to defeat Trump by eleven points?That would likely mean that he was taking most of the swing states and would probably win.
I’m not saying that is going to happen,just that an eleven point victory would point to a a fairly comfortable victory.
Yup Jack…
But except for Iowa?
Biden HAS to get the listed swing states ….
Don’t matter what the OVERALL vote would be we now know…
Percents don’t get wins…
State wins do….
We know that…
Most others don’t…
Uh yeah one has to win the electoral vote.
I think most people understand that.
Your comment that most people don’t is dumb.
When this is over Jack?
Go around and ask 10 people how the American President is ACTUALLY elected….
Answers might surprise ya….
The correct answer probably is:
Most people don’t know.
Most voters do know.
(I am at home and unable to connect remotely to work and am waiting for IT to call me eventually. Good times.)
Obama’08–>Romney–Trump states:
Indiana & North Carolina
Obama’08&’12–>Trump states:
Florida
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Michigan
Wisconsin
Iowa
Fox News host Chris Wallace says that if a majority of voters conclude that Trump hasn’t handled the coronavirus pandemic and the economy well,then he will lose the election.
And Joe Biden really has nothing to do with it.
Generally a reelection campaign is a referendum on the incumbent. Even more so with the coronavirus.
And while we have the recent case of George W Bush very narrowly winning reelection in 2004, the only incumbent Presidents to be defeated in past century lost by fairly large margins (GHW Bush in 1992, Carter 1980, and Hoover 1932).
Due to hyper partisanship I think it’s unlikely Trump loses in a landslide. However if the tide is turning against him several of the swing states may all fall in the blue line–thus giving Biden a fairly comfortable margin of victory, if not an actual landslide.
I agree that this election is going to be much more a referendum on Trump than it is about Biden, his programs ,his past or his gaffes.
Trump , his outsized personality , and the current economic situation along with the pandemic ,makes this even more so a referendum on him.
Wallace IS probably right…
People tend to vote NOT for their choice but AGAINST the other guy/Hillary for President….
Actually?
A WHOLE LOT of Trump supporters say exactly the SAME thing…
Trump IS a knucklehead…
BUT?
They won’t vote Democratic…