Told ya so…..
Lot of people home because of the virus ain’t gonna have jobs to go back to soon, if ever…
Forget all that Trump Labor Dept. horse shit about how rosey this is/was…
Heck, even the Fed pushing Trillions into the economy did NOT do a darn thing …
Forget predictions that the U.S. economy will enter a recession this year due to the coronavirus pandemic — the UCLA Anderson Forecast says it has happened already.
On Monday, the school revised a forecast it issued just last week that stopped short of predicting a recession. The revised version says the economy has already stopped growing and will remain in recession through the end of September.
This is the first time in the 68-year history of the forecast that it has been updated before its planned quarterly update.
Economists at the UCLA Anderson School of Management — the university’s graduate business school — said they revised the forecast after incorporating a review of how the 1957–58 H2N2 influenza pandemic affected the U.S. economy.
The year started solidly, but the forecast predicted that rapid effects on the economy from the virus would slow first-quarter economic growth to a rate of 0.4% and that the economy would shrink at a 6.5% rate in the second quarter and a 1.9% rate in the third quarter.
Assuming the pandemic ends this summer and supply chains are restored, the forecast predicts the resumption of normal economic activity and an economic growth rate of 4% in the fourth quarter.
Because California has a higher proportion of its economic activity linked to tourism and trans-Pacific transportation, the forecast predicts that the recession will be slightly more severe in the state.
California is expected to shed more than 280,000 of its payroll jobs, with leisure, hospitality and transportation sector jobs accounting for more than one=third of those….
Note…
A 4th Quarter thought of 4% growth is stretching things….
Trump hasn’t had that from the jump….
If the economy goes down sharply and then revives once this crisis has passed, of course the rate of growth will be very large. Simple trampoline principle. And if this happens right before the election, Trump will take credit for himself for it.
Yes he WOULD…
I doubt THAT is gonna happen though
Economists are saying 2nd and 3rd Qtr deep recession…
Even with a recover going on ?
By September ?
Voter’s hurt would be baked in…