Wether the media ore others like it?
Up to NOW?
NO Democrat or OTHER has become the Democratic parties nominee without getting the parties Black voters support…
Since the 1990’s…
It simply does NOT work that way…
Today’s South Carolina primary maybe just reminder of such…
Joe Biden owns most of it…
In 2008 and 2016, black voters in South Carolina’s presidential primary set the last two Democratic nominees on their way, backing Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton by huge margins. Rival candidates never managed to catch up in the race for delegates to clinch the nomination.
On Saturday, black Democrats are set to play a far different role in the state’s primary vote, coming to the aid of a candidate who is struggling, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. At the same time, it is unclear if that support will be enough to help him win in other states. Black voters are likely to split, perhaps sharply, along generational and ideological lines, and spread their votes across contenders, rather than coalesce once again behind a single candidate.
More broadly, in interviews with African-Americans across the state this past week, many said they were eager to send a message to the national Democratic Party: that their views on electability — which candidate is best suited to beat President Trump — would not be shaped by outcomes in the predominantly white states Iowa and New Hampshire, which backed former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Bernie Sanders in contests earlier in February…
…
“Black voters know white voters better than white voters know themselves,” Mr. Richardson said. “So yeah, we’ll back Biden, because we know who white America will vote for in the general election in a way they may not tell a pollster or the media.”
Among the most important results in South Carolina is the margin of victory in different parts of the state, which will help determine the awarding of delegates; Mr. Sanders currently leads in delegates, followed by Mr. Buttigieg, Mr. Biden and Ms. Warren.
The outcome for Mr. Biden will also determine if he can argue that he has a “firewall” of black support in the highly competitive race; a victory would also help him make his case in other racially diverse primaries, including the big ones in North Carolina and Virginia on Tuesday.
One major factor in the race that won’t be settled in South Carolina is the electoral might of Mr. Bloomberg, who is not competing in the state but will be on the primary ballots on Super Tuesday…
image…Maddie McGarvey/NY Times
New Open Thread is HERE….
RCP…Pre SC Super Tuesday polling averages…
Ca…..Sanders +17
Tx…..Sanders +8.6
NC…..Biden +2.2
Va…..Sanders +5.5
Mn…..Klobuchar…+6
Mi…..Sanders. +9
Fl…..Biden +22.2
Ga…..Biden +18
Note…
Nate Silver over @ 538 is placing Texas, Virgina, Tenn, Alabama, Ok and Arkansas WITH Biden…
The critical thing for Biden is the old/young voter show up…
Sanders is worried about those younger voters numbers…
Early voting g IS over in Texas.…
Bear in mind that Biden LED in Texas up till the end of January…
Sanders began leading in the polls in Feb….
…
40% of Texas Dem’s are latino…Most are Young
76% of Texas Dem’s are black..
Pew…
California ….
Half (51%) of Democratic likely voters are white; 24% are Latino, 12% are Asian American, and 10% are African American. An overwhelming majority (76%)…
Source…
CBS and NBC polling for South Carolina where WTF off….
Both have Sanders far ahead of Biden in SC and Tex….
Emerson and Monmouth where pretty good in South Carolina…
BRAKING…..
As i suspected ….
Pete Buttigieg has dropped out of the Democratic President Nomination race….
Post coming….
Delegate side bar updated…
Sanders 60
Biden…53
Massachusetts Rep. Joe Kennedy (D) holds a six-point lead over longtime incumbent Sen. Ed Markey (D) in the Bay State’s Democratic Senate primary, according to a Suffolk University/WBZ/Boston Globe survey released on Sunday.
Forty-two percent of voters said they supported Kennedy, while 36 percent backed Markey in the poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Around 28 percent of voters said they were “undecided” on if they believed Markey should be reelected, while 19 percent said they were “undecided” on the senator’s job performance…
More…
Massachusetts will not vote tomorrow on the U.S. Senate candidates; the regular primary for Congressional, state & local offices won’t be until September (ditto Rhode Island).
Morning All….
Thanks DSD on the Kennedy/Markey race time table….
Bill Kristol Endorses Joe Biden for President
Bill Kristol: “Though the situation is complex, the answer actually is simple. Whatever the substantive case for either Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren, and despite the flashes of electoral strength each has shown, neither is going to be the nominee. And despite what once seemed a possible, though unconventional, path to the nomination, it’s not going to be Mike Bloomberg either. So it’s Bernie Sanders or Joe Biden. Which means, if you’re inclined toward American constitutional democracy, the rule of law, and a free economic order–as well as a liberal world order anchored by the United States–it’s Joe Biden.”….
Politicalwire…
A word of caution….
All these California (and other state ) polls in the last few days that are posted have Sander WTF ahead in California….
NONE of them are from after Biden’s SC win…
Biden may not win California…
(I expect Biden to win Texas by a very narrow margin)
But I WOULD assume he WILL get some sort of bounce there…
So the polls may be a bit off….
Cameron Easley
NEW post-SC poll from @MorningConsult:
Sanders: 29% (-3)
Biden: 26% (+7)
Bloomberg: 17% (-1)
Warren: 11%
Buttigieg: 10% (-1)
Klobuchar: 3% (-1)
morningconsult.com/2020/03/02/pos…
Conducted March 1 among 2,656 Dem primary voters; MoE +/-2.
Steve Kornacki
NEW post-SC poll from @MorningConsult:
Sanders: 29% (-3)
Biden: 26% (+7)
Bloomberg: 17% (-1)
Warren: 11%
Buttigieg: 10% (-1)
Klobuchar: 3% (-1)
Steve Kornacki
Biden Bounce
Larry Sabato
I’m naive but not naive enough to believe all these Biden endorsements weren’t wired— some before SC, some after—but organized for maximum impact on #SuperTuesday Eve (a semiofficial holiday in 14 states and American Samoa. #AmyKlobuchar #Pete #HarryReid and a bunch more.
Yeah, Harry Reid is going to put Biden over the top.
Why didn’t Reid endorse Biden in Nevada when it might have actually mattered?
It should be noted that Reid, the two Senators, and the Governor of Nevada all did not take part in their state’s caucus and forfeited their “voice” in deciding who should be nominated beyond perhaps sending in an early vote for “Uncommitted.”
I’m guessing Reid was legitimately undecided at that time. It happens.
All these new endorsements would be more honest if they just led with “Not Bernie.”
I read a recent interview with Harry Reid, who of course has a serious instance of cancer.
He said that he sent a personal letter to Mitt Romney after the impeachment vote to say that he was proud of him. I wonder if he also felt it appropriate to apologize for some other things.
Reid also retracted many of the things he said about George W. Bush, during the time he was President, and was fairly complimentary towards him, as a comparison to Trump.
I hope he is at peace in the time he has left and wish him well, but I still believe that sleazy politicians like Reid helped pave the path for Trump.
The Republican Party is responsible for Donald Trump.
They nominated him.
And it was mostly their votes that elected him.
It’s a party you will return to active membership in as soon as Trump is gone.
I wonder how many Republicans will “apologize” to the country for Trump?
Not many would be my guess.
Things don’t happen in a vacuum.
Trump is a political problem to those that dislike him, but beyond that he is a societal problem.
You keep bringing up what I will do in the future. I do not know. My hope is that Trump loses, and the party will seek to change because of that for the future and I can be a part of that, to whatever extent possible.
What I can infer is that whether the GOP changes away from Trump or not, you will be ok with voting for MAGA hat wearing right-wingers for state or local office as long as you think they are better qualified than the lower-tier candidates produced by the party you claim to have walked away from.
A lot of Republicans ought to apologize for Trump.
My sense is many had the teary-eyed mea culpas already written up before the last election, but then he actually won…
Yeah Harry Reid is responsible for the rise of Trump
Not Rush Limbaugh
Not FOX News
Not Lee Atwater
Not Karl Rove
Gimme a break
The Dow Jones is up a little over 800 points today
The markets must like the idea of Joe Biden as a possible President huh?
I mean if Sanders was the cause of last week’s drop…
Lee Atwater was dead long before Trump and I cannot see the Karl Rove tie-in at all. The Republican Party Karl Rove tried to build is diametrically opposed to what Trump appealed to.
Rush Limbaugh and *some* voices on Fox News, yes. You can also add MSNBC to the list. Morning Joe and it’s now anti-Trump woke co-hosts used to give him free reign as a candidate.
Harry Reid also plays a part though by normalizing nasty personal insults in place of trying to simply disagree on an idea as well as the very well-known incident in which he deliberately invented a story, in which a politician on the other side was accused of a crime, simply for political benefit. And then after the fact, he said he was glad he did it.
Trump was also once a top Reid-funder, so the circle is complete.
Oh and how could I forget Sarah Palin in that run down of Republican pre-cursors to Trump?
Is there anyone on the national political scene you approve of?
Rove’s Swift Boating was definitely Trumpian.
The way the left treated Sarah Palin, including constant references to her looks or claims that was “slutty” somehow also helped normalize the Age of Trump and its misogynistic effects.
So did the proliferation of social media and online political blogs in general.
I don’t know what Rove had to do with “Swift Boating” (was pretty much an independent expenditure) or that there were not credible things said about John Kerry and the fact that he had denounced his military experience and all that he rightfully earned from his service, only to reverse course completely as a Presidential candidate.
The people who served with Kerry had the right to speak their minds, pro and con.
I approve most of Mitt Romney even when others here were calling him a “scumbag’ and saying they had no doubt he would fold on matters just to please Trump.
There are also of course Governors who are effective in their jobs who stay out of the national swamp.
Yes because Republicans never mocked Hillary Clinton for her looks
The Republican Party normalized Donald Trump and continues to .
I never mocked Hillary’s looks. As I said, there are people in both parties who helped lay the groundwork for Trump and the times we live in.
If I can admit it about Republicans, it shouldn’t be too hard for you guys to do it about Democrats, but you seem trained to never admit an iota of fault about your tribe.
So essentially except for a solitary US Senator you have no use for anyone else on the national political scene?
Maybe you should find another outlet.
You’re sort of like a baseball fan who dislikes every player except a utility outfielder with a minor league club.
You love national politics just oppose everyone in it?
Ok.
The Democrat Party normalizes Al Sharpton and continues to do so. All the contenders had to bow down to him last week in your state.
I know, I know, Trump was nominated, he was not.
But if Sharpton had been nominated, the overwhelming majority of Democrats would have voted for him against a conservative Republican.
I bet jack will deny he would do so, but there is no doubt that Scott (and others here) would vote for Sharpton over Trump without a second of reflection,
(and no, I would not vote for Trump over Sharpton)
It’s hard to switch “outlets” after being so invested for so many years. But can’t the same be said about you since you left your party?
I still care deeply about the country though. It’s hard to change that, and I enjoy the competition aspect of politics and the unpredictability of campaigns.
I am also a baseball fan who saw my team win the World Series in 2016, which kind of takes away some of the intense desperation I felt before. Now, unless something changes, the team’s games will not even be available on my television.
And even if I “oppose nearly everyone in it”, what is wrong with hoping to find the right people in the system in the future. I choose to be optimistic.
I mean, you just may not understand my perspective of these things. Some of us grow up in a tradition without XMas as a religious holiday, where we are vastly aware of how deep in the minority we are, especially during that time of the year, but yet we seem to manage to deal with it ok.
Speaking of politicians I admire, I just finished the biography of Jack Kemp, written a few years ago (right before Trump) by Mort Kondracke and Fred Barnes.
Parts of it were a bit too policy oriented and dry but there was a lot of interesting things to learn. Kemp of course comes across as very principled person who genuinely cared about the poor, racial minorities, etc.
They also showed how he was perhaps too trusting in the nature of people and how he himself was pretty disorganized and undisciplined as a public official and how those faults held back his ambitions and might not have served him well had he actually become President.
I guess I might have also forgotten that he was to some extent publicly opposed to the U.S. war in Iraq when it began and was even more critical of it in private.
It’s hard to believe he has been dead for almost 11 years now.
If anyone reading your daily posts here would consider you an “optimist?”
I would be astounded.
Indeed you are the soul of pessimism .
And what anything you post here has to do with “finding right people for the future” escapes me.
I feel ur pain Jack….
I often feel like a Pollyanna here. Would would “Cynical Cid” think?
Pollyanna?
That’s funny.
As for “Cynical Cid?” You and him seem to share a lot in common .
Being “cynical” he would likely find your self description as an “optimist” the height of cynicism.
Biden still gets no endorsement from his last boss….
In former President Barack Obama’s conversation with Joe Biden after the South Carolina primary — the first congratulatory call the former president has been able to make to his former vice president during the 2020 campaign — Obama made clear he was planning to stay on the sidelines and not offer an endorsement in the race.
A person close to Obama told CNN that the former president’s view has not changed: He has no immediate plans to offer an endorsement of Biden — or anyone — as the nominating contest heads into Super Tuesday…
More…
Sen. Amy Klobuchar canceled a rally in her home state Sunday night as several dozen protesters chanted “Black Lives Matter,” “Klobuchar has got to go” and “Free Myon” — referencing the case of a black teenager convicted of murder after a flawed police investigation….
More…
( She could win her home state Democratic primary in Minnesota …She’ll probably drop out by the end of the week…)
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
If Biden does like 3-4 points better across the board than our projections and Bernie does 2 points worse, that’s about what it takes to wind up with a delegate count that’s tied post Super Tuesday. That would be a pretty modest error as these things go.
Trying to misdirect from a bruising lost?
Los Angeles Times
@latimes
Bernie Sanders reports big fundraising haul in February, setting him up for Super Tuesday
Hmmmmm?
Money Mike?
Nearly a dozen attendees at a Selma church service commemorating the 55th anniversary of Bloody Sunday turned their backs on presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg as he spoke to the congregation, Fox News reports….
Politicalwire…
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI · March 2, 10:38 AM EST
25,627.06
▲ 217.70 (0.86%)
▼ -2,333.74 (-8.35%) since last Monday 24 February (27,960.80)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI · March 2, 3:18 PM EST
26,147.89
▲ 738.53 (2.91%)
▼ -1,812.91 (-6.48%) since last Monday 24 February (27,960.80)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI · March 2, 5:01 PM EST
26,703.32
▲ 1,293.96 (5.09%)
▼ -1,257.48 (-4.50%) since last Monday 24 February (27,960.80)
Reply
Morning….
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI · March 3, 1:19 PM EST
26,124.67
▼ 578.65 (2.17%)
Market down -790 points this moment…
Market drop goes thru -970 points….
The talking heads are forecasting a BIG PROBLEM…
G-7 people no action….
The Fed rate cut has been a ‘nothing burger’ and Trump (Lying and clueless) is fucking useless….
WE ARE HEADED FOR A RECESSION as I and others have forecasted….
Z?
Your view?…
Trump’s interest rate cut did jack shit.
Guess it’s time for an upper class tax cut!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
26,404.72
▼ 686.14 (2.53%)
March 5, 9:45 AM EST
The Market gets over Biden’s Super Tuesday
Probably on news that Italian schools are closing over Corona virus and possibly British Parliament.
I think it’s going to be a bumpy ride on the stock market the next few months. Up and down but mostly down.
Schumer Apologizes for Threat to Justices
Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-NY) said that he misspoke when he said that two justices appointed by President Trump to the Supreme Court would “pay the price” for a vote against abortion rights, the Washington Post reports.
Said Schumer: “I should not have used the words I used yesterday. They didn’t come out the way I intended them to. I’m from Brooklyn. We speak in strong language. I shouldn’t have used the words I did, but in no way was I making a threat.”
Politicalwire…
That’s not actually an apology.
What he said was appalling.
but at least he walked it back, which is more than Trump typically does.
When Democrats are deliberately going out and trying to out-Trump Trump, just to rile up their base, that is a huge problem.
I have little problem with Schumer’s comment which IS TAME to stuff Trump and other Republican have said ON RECORD….
Get over it…
The Supreme’s where warned…
That’s ridiculous. It’s wrong when Trump does it and it’s wrong when Schumer does it. You will continue to only look at things one way of course.
They were warned with what? He used words and gestures towards the building that seemed to indicate that they would face violent consequences. Are you ok with that?
Delegate count sidebar updated….
A lot of pundits simple cannot accept that Joe Biden IS in the lead and will most probably win the nomination….
It’s nice to see after them leaning for Sanders ….
No….
I’m happy to see Democrats grow some fucking balls….
The ‘turn the other cheek’ thing gets old some times
If you think threatening violence is the solution to policy differences, then you should not being doing this and nobody should be taking part in your ridiculously amateur blog.
What violence?
Chuck Schumer????
You ARE kidding me right?
MOST AMERICANS SUPPORT Roe vs Wade…
This is PURE Political Bull Shit….
Roberts IS getting drawn into politics…
He should shut the fuck up against Schumer AND Trump…
Schumer is a moron for saying this and I will definitely not vote for him for President
Ha, ha, ha…..
Love It Scott!
Just about everyone, from all ideological stripes, is taking Schumer to task for the appalling thing he said and how he said it, but james is ok with it.
Congratulations, you have become the Texan, you have banned from your own site.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI
26,121.28
▼ 969.58 (3.58%)
March 5, 4:11 PM EST
My buddy Jack has been among the missing lately….
Is he recovering from the Biden ascension ?
A federal judge on Thursday strongly criticized Attorney General William Barr’s disclosure of the Mueller report last year, calling early statements about special counsel Robert Mueller’s conclusions “misleading.”
In an order in a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit seeking access to the unredacted report, U.S. District Judge Reggie Walton said Barr’s action caused him “to seriously question whether Attorney General Barr made a calculated attempt to influence public discourse about the Mueller report in favor of President Trump.”
Walton focused on Barr’s initial statement — before the report was released in full — that Mueller’s team did not find that anyone in the Trump campaign conspired with Russian efforts to meddle in the 2016 election. The judge said Barr left out the fact that the report identified contacts between members of the Trump campaign and people connected with the Russian government.
Download the NBC News app for breaking news and politics
Barr’s “lack of candor,” Walton wrote in a 23-page ruling in Washington, calls into question the credibility of Barr and the Justice Department in making redactions to the report….
More…
I’ve made at least one post every day.I have been busy on some other matters.
Unlike you,and as I have stated here on numerous occasions,I voted for Biden.
I predicted he would win the S.C. Primary.I was surprised by the margin as I think most people were.
I’m also glad to have been mistaken about his collapse.It has been a great comeback and I fully support him to be our next President.
So why you would make such a post is baffling.No, strike that.Knowing your weird theories?Its not surprising at all.
Good Morning Jack!….
Just checking on ya….
Glad to hear you voted for a winner…
As always?
Thanks for your ‘checking ‘ on me here😉
Trump today said his rallies are “safe” from the coronavirus.
So come one come all!
Ole Doc Don!
He knows!
Crazy assed few NEWS days!
So much for the damn issue!
Sahil Kapur
@sahilkapur
Every major 2020 presidential candidate is now a septuagenarian.
Sanders — 78
Bloomberg — 78
Biden — 77
Trump — 73
Warren — 70
Our ship of state will travel on at a slow speed with the turn signal on.
Trump IS worried about Biden…
Hunter Biden AND Hillary Clinton are NOW the object of Trump’s political surrogates in the US Senate…
According to his Tweets, Trump remains most concerned about Bloomberg.
that might be tweets
he’s got his guys back Joe and Hillary’s case from the Senate …
For anyone who cares Ivanka Trump has now registered as a Republican
We here do NOT give a shit….
Well that Ivanka and Jared were “Democrats” was once brandied about by some on this board who claimed Trump was somehow not a “real Republican”.
Those days are over now I guess. The Trumps are as Republican as the Bushes. More so in the eyes of rank and file GOP
Chris Mathews over at MSNBC advises on the air tonight is his last night on the air…
He was a anti-Sanders guy….
But he was accused of sexist remarks about fellow woman employee’s…
The story was running under the radar…
But known and a cloud over NBC…
Donna Brazile told RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel to “go to hell” over her baseless claims that the Democratic primary is being “rigged” against Bernie Sanders.
You go Donna!
Former DNC Chair Donna Brazile told Fox News that RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel can “go to hell” over her allegation that the Democratic primaries will be “rigged” against Sen. Bernie Sanders.
Said Brazile: “For people to use Russian talking points to sow division among Americans is stupid. So Ronna, go to hell! This is not about … go to Hell! I’m tired of it!”
PWire…
Jeff Sessions is running in a primary today?
Anybody know anything about it?
Yes, he is likely to finish first but have to face a runoff against former Auburn Football Coach Tommy Tuberville. Roy Moore will finish well in back of the pack.
A Trump Tweet will decide the winner of that runoff.
Not good…..
But Moore would be worst…..
Morning People….
My cheering wasn’t to far off the mark, eh?
Democrats can be proud….
Joe Biden has a LOT of work to do….
Trump says the 3.4% mortality rate that health officials have assigned to the coronavirus outbreak is a “fake” number.Says it’s like 1% although he doesn’t explain where that number came from.
Then in what I guess one can call an uh “gaffe” he indirectly encourages people that have the virus to “go to work.That certainly sounds like a good idea.
Now, in my view, this outlandish statement is a greater “gaffe” that all Joe Biden’s so called “gaffes over the past twenty years or so.
Morning All….
Yeah I saw that. Funny that just yesterday my work made us all go through a mandatory meeting where we were explicitly told NOT to come to work if we have symptoms of the Coronavirus until we were cleared by a doctor (thankfully we have good medical to do so).
For anyone who cares Former GOP Congressman Aaron Schock of Illinois has announced he is gay
I hope he finds peace with his family. His lengthy statement also takes a bit of a Blagojevichan denial of the things he did in office that abused the public’s trust. He is lucky that the charges were dropped.
The one time I met him, he was wearing a lavender belt, so not exactly surprising news in general.
Mitt Romney says that an investigation of Hunter Biden would be political and he wants no part of it.
C’mon Mitt. Get Ridin’ with Biden!
Are you calling for him to ride shotgun on a ticket?
I’d take it over four more years of Trump!
Morning to everyone else ….
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Index: DJI
25,408.07
▼ 713.21 (2.73%)
March 6, 10:11 AM EST
PS, James, this is the 108th post to this Open Thread; might be a good time to open another.