She hasn’t won one single primary…
She has 7 delegates….
She is NOT gonna be the nominee….
It’s not if….
The big question now is who drops out moving forward. Super Tuesday is literally this Tuesday, and among Sanders’s opponents there is an increasing premium on consolidating the non-Sanders vote (though it may not be quite as simple as shrinking the field).
We got our first answer to that Saturday night, with billionaire Tom Steyer dropping out after having his best finish to date in South Carolina but failing to demonstrate momentum in a state in which he had invested heavily.
Klobuchar seems likely to come under pressure for a few reasons. First, she finished a surprisingly strong third in New Hampshire, but otherwise she has been a nonentity. She was fifth in Iowa and sixth in Nevada and now is very far off the pace in South Carolina. Second, she’s the most ideologically similar to Biden, meaning her exit would most apparently accrue to his benefit. And lastly, Buttigieg has a better argument for staying in the race, given he notched a delegate win in Iowa and polls much better than her nationally.
At the same time, given she is far back in the polls, it’s not clear how much Biden might gain by her dropping out. And Biden’s campaign is reportedly encouraging her to stay in, perhaps in hopes that she prevents Sanders from a significant delegate win in her home state of Minnesota on Tuesday. Buttigieg’s support spans both wings of the party, so it wouldn’t so obviously help Biden if he dropped out.
As for Sanders, his supporters will want Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) to drop out, and she like Klobuchar is at risk of losing her home state to Sanders on Tuesday. But she has more of a pulse in this race right now, and just Saturday she got the endorsement of the head of the American Federation of Teachers….