Those who are discounting Joe Biden’s high polling numbers on the South Carolina Democratic vote less than. 48 hours away?
Please read the below….
First Read urges some caution about South Carolina polling, noting it often under-rates the candidate with support from older black voters.
- In 2008, the final poll margin showed Barack Obama up by 12 points, while the actual margin was Obama ahead by 29 points.
- In 2016, the final poll had Hillary Clinton up by 28 points, while the actual margin was Clinton ahead by 48 points.
If that holds this year, Joe Biden could win by a much larger margin than current polls show….
The winner of the Democratic South Carolina primary HAS gone on to be the parties nominee every time since 1992 , except once in 2004….