With the Nevada caucus going on today and polls showing Sanders will most likely win…..
He joins the other candidates in hoping on a plane and moving his campaign on to the Super Tuesday state’s…
Polls show him with slim leads in California and Texas also….
Those two state’s award the largest amount of delegates….
Sanders support in most polls is among young Democrats….
But some of the polls maybe misleading…And Sanders lead maybe much smaller, if at all…
The California poll linked below has +6 MOE and less than 500 respondents ….
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) has an 8 point lead in California less than two weeks ahead of the state’s high-stakes primary, according to a new pollreleased Friday by the University of Massachusetts Lowell.
Sanders gets the support of 24 percent of likely primary voters in the poll. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) with 16 percent, former Vice President Joe Biden with 13 percent, and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigiegand former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg with 12 percent, are all battling for second place. No other candidate breaks double digits in the survey.
Sanders is buoyed by strong support from young and Hispanic voters. The Vermont lawmaker has a 9-point edge over Warren among voters under the age of 45 (31 percent to 22 percent) and has a 16-point lead among Hispanics, who make up a substantial proportion of the primary electorate in California….
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…..former Vice President Joe Biden, led in Texas Democratic presidential polling for nearly a year until last week when a University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll found Sanders ahead, backed by an increasingly polarized voter base and now No. 2 in total delegates after the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries.
That shift leaves the moderates competing for what appears to be a shrinking pool of the Democratic electorate as early voting starts in Texas.
“The number of Texas Democrats who identify as liberal has increased as the Democratic party in Texas has slowly begun to look a bit more like the Democratic party in the rest of the country,” said Jim Henson, director of Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin.
As of February, just 27 percent of Democratic voters in Texas identified as moderate, according to UT/TT polling dating back to 2008 when more than 50 percent considered themselves moderate.
“All things being equal, one feels like there are more moderate voters,” Henson said. “But that’s less true than it used to be.”….
FiveThirtyEight
Early voting is open in California, and 800,000 Democrats have already voted there.